2015 Ruck Strategy

[muggle25]

NikNat ans Kreuzer just bseems a bit risky injury wise.  Will have Kreuzer and Luey in Fantasy - have the trades to deal with drama's.  Would like the feeling that the rucks I choose in Supercoach have the potential to make it through to the byes at least. Would only go one of NicNat/Kreuer?Leuenberger. 

I like Mumford - solo ruck, proven performer, but am finding it hard to part with the dollars to get him  :-\

[Jackross10]

Still on Goldy and Nat. Have had kreuzer maybe for an hour but that's it, haven't had Belly once.

[SydneyRox]

Still on Goldy and Nat. Have had kreuzer maybe for an hour but that's it, haven't had Belly once.

[RaisyDaisy]

NikNat ans Kreuzer just bseems a bit risky injury wise.  Will have Kreuzer and Luey in Fantasy - have the trades to deal with drama's.  Would like the feeling that the rucks I choose in Supercoach have the potential to make it through to the byes at least. Would only go one of NicNat/Kreuer?Leuenberger. 

I like Mumford - solo ruck, proven performer, but am finding it hard to part with the dollars to get him  :-\

Fair enough

When it comes to all players, but rucks specifically even more, I pick them based on pre-season form, and NN and Kreuz have completed full pre-seasons and are fit and firing, so for their price vs potential they are easily worth the risk IMO

I read recently that Leuey has been managed partially through the pre-season, plus he plays after Belly a lot too so I'm not touching him

Seems a bit odd that NN and Kreuz worry you regarding injuries, but Mumford doesn't. He misses the same if not more than the 2

Bottom line, any ruck can get injured. When I see 2 cheap options in NN and Kreuz who I know have so much upside, and hear that they have been flawless during the pre-season, that's enough for me. I only really need to bank on Kreuzer getting through the first 7-10 rounds, then he is an easy upgrade to a premo, or better yet he becomes a premo

[muggle25]

So many options.  I will keep your advice in mind, watch the NAB closely and cross my fingers that what I end up with works out ok   ;)  Thanks for the advice!

[meow meow]

211cms - hasn't shrunk

Averages more possessions than Todd

Ross said he won't be rested in the first half of the season. Played 21 games in 2014

THE BEST

[muggle25]

Sandi - the forgotten ruckman.   The only problem with Sandi is: NEVER TRUST ROSS

[RaisyDaisy]

Ross said he won't be rested in the first half of the season. Played 21 games in 2014

Great, so he'll be rested in the second half the season  :P

[Mat0369]

If Griffin was cheaper I would have gone Sandi, Nic Nat, Griffin as my 3 rucks.

Wilbur at 9.2 is interesting, didn't he lead the league in hitouts to advantage when he was AA?

[RaisyDaisy]

https://twitter.com/FantasyFreako/status/563177617885376512

[T Dog]

https://twitter.com/FantasyFreako/status/563177617885376512

just goes to show...statistics can be misleading. The fact is right but in reality you've got to be kidding   ;D

[Grufflez]

Honestly kind of hoping Sandi goes down and J.Griffin gets a run mmmm at 250k

[bowyanger]

211cms - hasn't shrunk

Averages more possessions than Todd

Ross said he won't be rested in the first half of the season. Played 21 games in 2014

THE BEST

Big bit above...big blokes don't get smaller as the game goes on..he just stands there and rolls his arms out ... all...the...time

Sometimes he walks backwards whilst doing this crushing everyone in his way...then marks it

and it works

being a giraffe playing footy = profit

[timtim]

This might seem a bit odd, but given that no one really knows the exact impact of rule changes on Rucks' scores this year I've decided to build a predictive model based on NAB cup scoring.

The best I can get the model is with an R-squared value of 78% (i.e. the model explains 78% of the variation in a ruck's score).

To test it with 'real life' data I've entered in scores from tonight's game and want to call them out in a public forum before they're officially released.

Based on my model I think:

- Hickey will score 49 +/-12
- Pierce will score 32 +/-10
- Ceglar will score 118 +/-14
- McEvoy will score 107 +/-14

If these prove to be somewhat accurate we might just have a better insight into Ruck scoring this year...

But then I could be completely wrong, haha!

[RaisyDaisy]

Nice work timtim

Look forward to seeing the actual scores and how they reflect with what you've come up with, although your variation numbers seem quite wide

You're essentially saying for example McEvoy could be anywhere between 93 and 121?