Is 2014 Rocky better than 2012 Swan?

Started by pommyadam, August 24, 2014, 04:03:28 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

pommyadam

okay.....

in 2012, Dane Swan was a machine, averaging 133.55 per game
We thought no one would get close to that

in 2014, we find a new challenger, rival to his "pig" status, averaging more, but still a game to go
That man is Tom Rockliff

In order to beat Swan, he MUST score 112 vs Geelong
An easy task you say? Geelong have only given up 2 scores over that mark since rd17 - to Barlow 137 and Hoskin-Elliott 113
if he scores 111, then he fails

Which pig are you backing?

GoLions


Nige


RiOtChEsS

he is better, that was peak Swan, Rockliff could average 150 based on the last 8 weeks

Flame


Mailman the 2nd

Swan was better in 2012, only went under 100 once and that was because he got injured

strikes91

If he hadn't conceded the third most free kicks in the comp he'd be there.

GoLions

Quote from: Mailman the 2nd on August 24, 2014, 06:30:34 PM
Swan was better in 2012, only went under 100 once and that was because he got injured
Swan rarely got tagged though (only 4 times in 2012 I think), whereas Rocky has been tagged a few extra times (about 7). Rocky has had only the 3 games under 100, and one of them he had a tagging role on Smitch, so you would've expected him to go 100+ easily in that considering he ended on 96. Also, Rocky is in a team getting beaten most weeks, whereas the Pies were dominating in 2012 which IMO helps a bit, especially when you have guys like Pendles and Beams feeding the ball to you.

Mailman the 2nd

Quote from: GoLions16 on August 24, 2014, 06:40:15 PM
Quote from: Mailman the 2nd on August 24, 2014, 06:30:34 PM
Swan was better in 2012, only went under 100 once and that was because he got injured
Swan rarely got tagged though (only 4 times in 2012 I think), whereas Rocky has been tagged a few extra times (about 7). Rocky has had only the 3 games under 100, and one of them he had a tagging role on Smitch, so you would've expected him to go 100+ easily in that considering he ended on 96. Also, Rocky is in a team getting beaten most weeks, whereas the Pies were dominating in 2012 which IMO helps a bit, especially when you have guys like Pendles and Beams feeding the ball to you.

Swan was favorite for the Brownlow in 2012 as well. He was the best player in the competition in 2012. Rocky isn't.

GoLions

Quote from: Mailman the 2nd on August 24, 2014, 06:42:25 PM
Quote from: GoLions16 on August 24, 2014, 06:40:15 PM
Quote from: Mailman the 2nd on August 24, 2014, 06:30:34 PM
Swan was better in 2012, only went under 100 once and that was because he got injured
Swan rarely got tagged though (only 4 times in 2012 I think), whereas Rocky has been tagged a few extra times (about 7). Rocky has had only the 3 games under 100, and one of them he had a tagging role on Smitch, so you would've expected him to go 100+ easily in that considering he ended on 96. Also, Rocky is in a team getting beaten most weeks, whereas the Pies were dominating in 2012 which IMO helps a bit, especially when you have guys like Pendles and Beams feeding the ball to you.

Swan was favorite for the Brownlow in 2012 as well. He was the best player in the competition in 2012. Rocky isn't.
But let's be honest, if Rocky was playing for a team like the Hawks this year with this kind of output (and ignoring his suspension), he'd probably be a brownlow favourite as well.

Mailman the 2nd

Quote from: GoLions16 on August 24, 2014, 06:48:51 PM
Quote from: Mailman the 2nd on August 24, 2014, 06:42:25 PM
Quote from: GoLions16 on August 24, 2014, 06:40:15 PM
Quote from: Mailman the 2nd on August 24, 2014, 06:30:34 PM
Swan was better in 2012, only went under 100 once and that was because he got injured
Swan rarely got tagged though (only 4 times in 2012 I think), whereas Rocky has been tagged a few extra times (about 7). Rocky has had only the 3 games under 100, and one of them he had a tagging role on Smitch, so you would've expected him to go 100+ easily in that considering he ended on 96. Also, Rocky is in a team getting beaten most weeks, whereas the Pies were dominating in 2012 which IMO helps a bit, especially when you have guys like Pendles and Beams feeding the ball to you.

Swan was favorite for the Brownlow in 2012 as well. He was the best player in the competition in 2012. Rocky isn't.
But let's be honest, if Rocky was playing for a team like the Hawks this year with this kind of output (and ignoring his suspension), he'd probably be a brownlow favourite as well.

Its a hypothetical, but I'd still say no. Swan had a more consistent season. Rockcliff's has been back loaded a ton in the past 2 months

Master Q

Rocky. Imagine when Brisbane get average, his scores will increase by like 20 points  :P

pommyadam

I meant more for DT purposes when I set this poll

but anyway... raw figures:
Swan 2012: 18 games played, 17 tons, 14 over 110, 10 over 120, 9 over 130, 7 over 140, and 5 over 150, maximum of 187 and a standard deviation of 27.36, post-rd10 average of 141.7

Rocky 2014 (as of rd22): 18 games played, 15 tons, 14 over 110, 12 over 120, 11 over 130, 9 over 140, 7 over 150, maximum of 190, and a standard deviation of 33.89, post-rd10 average of 141.8

what can we say....
Swan's more likely to get you the ton (having failed on one occasion, and even then he made 95)
but Rocky's the better C option, passing 150 on 7 occassions

nrich102


RiOtChEsS

ppl love going off topic, clearly Rockliff better, bigger average, bigger potential :-X