Luke Parker Brownlow Medal....?

AaronKirk · July 08, 2014, 07:18:59 PM

In my brownlow spreadsheet projections (which I punt on at the end of the season and have done so for the last 5 years) I have JPK on double the votes of Parker. In between them on 11 votes and second in the Swans brownlow votes is Buddy.

IMO JPK for most Swans votes is a lock.

kilbluff1985 · July 08, 2014, 07:28:37 PM

Quote from: AaronKirk on July 08, 2014, 07:18:59 PM
In my brownlow spreadsheet projections (which I punt on at the end of the season and have done so for the last 5 years) I have JPK on double the votes of Parker. In between them on 11 votes and second in the Swans brownlow votes is Buddy.

IMO JPK for most Swans votes is a lock.

can we see your current top 10? or pm it to me ;)

AaronKirk · July 08, 2014, 08:16:09 PM

As per request KB. Everyone above 8 votes. Works out to be the top 32. This is my own study which involves watching every game, including replays if necessary and then weighting that up against the result and a small weight on stats (but not too much)

kilbluff1985 · July 08, 2014, 08:27:56 PM

wow Rockliff not over 8 votes?

i know cant win but still

AaronKirk · July 08, 2014, 08:31:09 PM

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on July 08, 2014, 08:27:56 PM
wow Rockliff not over 8 votes?

i know cant win but still

You don't get votes when your side gets rolled consistently by big margins (unless your name is Gary Ablett). No votes in the game against Freo a few of weeks ago for example.

FTR I have Rocky on 6 votes, which is tied with Hanley for most Brisbane votes. I'll upload team by team.

kilbluff1985 · July 08, 2014, 08:38:42 PM

you want to make a DP bet Rocky gets votes when he got 45 touches was it vs Freo?

AaronKirk · July 08, 2014, 08:39:37 PM

Team Votes. This shows all votes up to round 16

AaronKirk · July 08, 2014, 08:41:23 PM

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on July 08, 2014, 08:38:42 PM
you want to make a DP bet Rocky gets votes when he got 45 touches was it vs Freo?

I'll think about it. But he won't get votes.

Ricochet · July 08, 2014, 09:23:02 PM

Very nice AK.

Capper · July 09, 2014, 12:41:59 PM

Nice work AK. When the Swans won the GF they polled the most brownlow votes with hawthorn 2nd.

From your sheet looks like Freo, Swans, Hawks, Port top 4 which will be pretty close to it

Capper · July 21, 2014, 12:46:29 PM

http://www.sydneyswans.com.au/news/2014-07-16/swans-brownlow-best

Chunks11 · July 25, 2014, 03:37:55 AM

Quote from: AaronKirk on July 08, 2014, 08:16:09 PM
As per request KB. Everyone above 8 votes. Works out to be the top 32. This is my own study which involves watching every game, including replays if necessary and then weighting that up against the result and a small weight on stats (but not too much)

Can we please have updated version? Also willing to pay $$$ for final count ect

stew42 · August 04, 2014, 10:47:28 PM

Welp, would've got another three votes last week!

Capper · August 05, 2014, 12:34:55 PM

yeah but i think the spread of votes across multiple players will hurt his chances

SydneyRox · August 05, 2014, 01:15:06 PM

Yeah, JPK is in trouble. Needs to pull out some big games and come home strong to have a chance to win.