LaHug's Captains 2014 - Round 14

[LaHug]

If you really appreciate my work, please donate to a worthy cause: http://vic.cancercouncilfundraising.org.au/WilliamHuggett

In one sense, it feels like I've been doing this my whole life yet, in another, it feels like my first article was just yesterday. Anyway, I'm back for my fourth straight year of bringing you the most well-researched captains advice in town!

For those new to the forums, each week I will tell you some statistics on a player's last 3 games, their last 3 against this week's opponent, their last 3 at this ground, and the top players in their position against this week's opponent. I will also do a quick overview on my thoughts and have a guess at their score for this week. From all this, I'll give you my top 5 captain choices for the week. If you have any requests, pommyadam will be taking them for you.

The facts:

Kennedy
Last 3: 94, 103, 123 (107 avg)
Last 3 against Richmond: 55, 83, 119 (86 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 103, 83, 50 (79 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Richmond: 113, 119, 131 (121 avg)

Ebert
Last 3: 136, 110, 66 (104 avg)
Last 3 against Bulldogs: 105, 98, 61 (88 avg)
Last 3 at AO: 110, 115, 109 (111 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Bulldogs: 122, 128, 134 (128 avg)

Liberatore
Last 3: 126, 112, 129 (122 avg)
Last 3 against Port: 115, 56, 97 (89 avg)
Last 3 at AO: N/A
Last 3 mids vs. Port: 117, 105, 117 (113 avg)

Beams
Last 3: 76, 126, 113 (105 avg)
Last 3 against Hawthorn: 91, 111, 147 (116 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 76, 113, 107 (99 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Hawthorn: 122, 135, 137 (131 avg)

Pendlebury
Last 3: 114, 100, 113 (109 avg)
Last 3 against Hawthorn: 96, 111, 109 (105 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 100, 119, 91 (103 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Hawthorn: 122, 135, 137 (131 avg)

Swan
Last 3: 103, 114, 101 (106 avg)
Last 3 against Hawthorn: 131, 109, 106 (115 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 114, 101, 102 (106 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Hawthorn: 122, 135, 137 (131 avg)

Ablett
Last 3: 118, 146, 98 (121 avg)
Last 3 against Geelong: 140, 104, 92 (112 avg)
Last 3 at Metricon: 146, 78, 122 (115 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Geelong: 98, 139, 133 (123 avg)

Prestia
Last 3: 139, 107, 130 (125 avg)
Last 3 against Geelong: 136, 54, 27 (72 avg)
Last 3 at Metricon: 107, 116, 104 (109 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Geelong: 98, 139, 133 (123 avg)

Johnson
Last 3: 77, 94, 56 (76 avg)
Last 3 against Gold Coast: 94, 146, 171 (137 avg)
Last 3 at Metricon: 171 (171 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Gold Coast: 108, 106, 113 (109 avg)

Prestia
Last 3: 139, 107, 130 (125 avg)
Last 3 against Geelong: 136, 54, 27 (72 avg)
Last 3 at Metricon: 107, 116, 104 (109 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Geelong: 98, 139, 133 (123 avg)

Barlow
Last 3: 113, 109, 134 (119 avg)
Last 3 against Brisbane: 115, 99, 95 (103 avg)
Last 3 at Subiaco: 109, 98, 80 (96 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Brisbane: 129, 139, 153 (140 avg)

Rockliff
Last 3: 75, 102, 153 (110 avg)
Last 3 against Fremantle: 80, 91, 122 (98 avg)
Last 3 at Subiaco: 80, 73, 91 (81 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Fremantle: 114, 98, 129 (114 avg)

Goddard
Last 3: 157, 74, 114 (115 avg)
Last 3 against Adelaide: 71, 71, 115 (86 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 117, 105, 95 (106 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Adelaide: 126, 109, 130 (122 avg)

Zaharakis
Last 3: 126, 132, 131 (130 avg)
Last 3 against Adelaide: 32, 64, 92 (63 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 132, 93, 79 (101 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Adelaide: 126, 109, 130 (122 avg)

Treloar
Last 3: 115, 130, 120 (122 avg)
Last 3 against Carlton: 109 (109 avg)
Last 3 at Showground: 130, 118, 159 (136 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Carlton: 111, 101, 153 (122 avg)

Ward
Last 3: 129, 108, 134 (124 avg)
Last 3 against Carlton: 121, 54, 113 (96 avg)
Last 3 at Showground: 108, 63, 119 (97 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Carlton: 111, 101, 153 (122 avg)

Gibbs
Last 3: 112, 139, 67 (106 avg)
Last 3 against GWS: 93, 85 (89 avg)
Last 3 at Showground: N/A
Last 3 mids vs. GWS: 113, 132, 115 (120 avg)

Priddis
Last 3: 108, 100, 143 (117 avg)
Last 3 against St Kilda: 102, 103, 107 (104 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 111, 107, 74 (97 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. St Kilda: 148, 138, 131 (139 avg)

Harvey
Last 3: 126, 119, 94 (113 avg)
Last 3 against Melbourne: 125, 110, 103 (113 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 108, 109, 106 (108 avg)
Last 3 mids vs. Melbourne: 157, 114, 106 (126 avg)

The thoughts:

Kennedy
JPK's having some season but his form has been a little down in the last three weeks. He's historically poor against the Tigers (fourth worst opponent) and at the MCG (worst ground other than Manuka) which doesn't bode well for him. Finally, aside from Zaharakis, the Tigers haven't given up big scores to the leading mid, which might not even be JPK this week. Prediction - 95

Ebert
He's managed to space out his two poor games this year perfectly to plummet in price. Despite a couple of poor ones in his last 6, he's still in amazing form this year and is averaging a ridiculous 121 at Adelaide Oval. Against the Bulldogs, the Wallis and Picken tags are the big fears. Picken is more of a defender, meaning he's likely to go to someone like Wingard. Wallis, on the other hand, will take the most damaging mid, and I think both Boak and Hartlett are ahead of Ebert in that list. What this means is that Ebert has every chance to be the top mid and, as stats suggest, score very well. Prediction - 125

Liberatore
Libba has increased his streak to 7 straight games scoring 110+. He's in amazing form and should continue this week. He scored 115 on the Power last year but Port have been particularly stingy recently. Expect him to top score for his team but it probably won't be massive. Prediction - 115

Beams
Beamer let down a lot of coaches last week and the week before but, assuming he's back and healthy this week, get ready for redemption! The Hawks are giving up 5 tons a game, predominantly to mids, in the last three weeks. The top few have all been more than solid with some being pretty big. Beams has a great record against the Hawks, scoring 111 and 147 in his dominant 2012, so everything's pointing to a good score. Prediction - 125

Pendlebury
Maybe not the powerhouse we expected him to be but Pendles is chugging along putting out consistently solid scores. He has a fantastic record against the Hawks, averaging 104 over his whole career, so should be in that top group of mids that score well. Prediction - 125

Swan
The pig has a phenomenal record against the Hawks, averaging 109 over his whole career, but let's not get too excited. Swan has even better records against Carlton (102 this year), Fremantle (97), Melbourne (114), and West Coast (101) and his recent form against the Dogs suggested way more than the 103 he got last week. Basically, Swan is struggling (by his lofty standards) and, because of that, I have to predict that he'll continue to do so. Prediction - 105

Ablett
Finally back in form and scored 140 against his old side last year. Has been undoubtedly amazing at Metricon all season (bar that one game) so he should be good this week. He will, however, get the Guthrie tag which, in recent weeks, has held Steven to 57 and Murphy to 84. However, is is breakable, as JPK showed with his 123. GAJ will break the tag and should be good but I reckon it might slow him just enough. Prediction - 120

Prestia
Prestia's the more in form Sun right now and scored a solid 136 against the Cats last year. He's also 5 from 6 for tons at home this year. He won't be copping the tag which means he's in prime position to top the scoring for the Suns and, with the big scores they've given up to top mids, this could be Dion's week. I'm guessing something big. Prediction - 130

Johnson
Stevie J is in atrocious form and was a late out last week to really piss off his owners. Take a quick glance at those two massive scores against the Suns and then forget all about them. The 146 and 171 were both back in 2011 when the Suns were brand new and useless. Recently, they're not giving up much to mids and, with Stevie as crap as he is at the moment, he won't be scoring big. Prediction - 85

Barlow
Barlow looks to be back in solid form and is blessed to come up against the Lions this week. Brisbane have been giving up huge scores to the top mid and Barlow's been Freo's top mid in at the last three games. He's pretty good at hitting that 130 mark when he's on song and I reckon this will be one of those weeks. Prediction - 130

Rockliff
Rocky's had a couple of poor weeks in a row and has a bad record over in Perth. To make matters worse, he's going to cop the Crowley tag this week. Stay away. Prediction - 80

Goddard
Goddard will continue to step up in Watson's absence but this week all comes down to whether or not he gets tagged by Kerridge. Last week, Kerridge played forward meaning Harvey could rack up a solid 126. The other way BJ can avoid the tag is if it goes to the in form Zaharakis or the obvious choice in Stanton. Top scores have been pretty good against the Crows but it's too hard to say whether or not Goddard will be tagged. I'm guessing it's a 50/50 he cops one. Prediction - 105 (or 120 if free)

Zaharakis
Amazingly, in his last 4 games, last week's 126 was his lowest score. Zaha is in super good form and generally avoids the tag, meaning he's every chance to go big again. Form against Adelaide is hard to judge with that 32 being a green vest and all other scores being 2011 or earlier. However, the Crows are giving up solid scores to top scoring mids that avoid Kerridge and that sounds like Zaha this week. Prediction - 125

Treloar
If it weren't for Carlton's stinginess, Treloar would be my number 1 this week. 115 is his lowest score since the bye, he scored a solid 109 in his only game against them, and has been stupidly good at home. Carlton just aren't allowing big scores (other than Rocky's huge one) which makes it really tough for the young gun. Regardless, he'll still be very good. Prediction - 120

Ward
Just like his team mate, it's only Carlton's stinginess stopping him from a rung up the top of my ladder. Ward is in great form and also has a good record against the Blues. He's been less impressive at his home ground but still more than solid. Maybe, with him and Treloar, this will be a week the Blues give up good points? Prediction - 115

Gibbs
Gibbs was huge two weeks ago and I was sure he was going to take advantage of the Hawks' generosity last week but, instead, he was tagged. Still, he managed a 112 despite the extra attention which means that attention from the Giants shouldn't matter. They're not giving up big scores at the moment so don't expect anything huge but it looks like Gibbs has hit some form and nobody will slow him down. Prediction - 110

Priddis
Priddis' numbers scream mediocrity but the Saints are being smashed each week at the moment and, subsequently, are giving up plenty of massive scores. The Eagles love to massacre weak teams so, if not Priddis, someone from the Eagles midfield will score very big. I'm not going to summarise every player here but keep an eye on any Eagles you have in your team, particularly Josh Kennedy who may kick a bag and go big. Prediction - Someone on the Eagles will score 130+

Harvey
Boomer is having quite a year and is in solid form. He's very serviceable against the Dees and in his rare trips to the MCG. However, with the exception of Goddard and Zaharakis last week, Melbourne haven't actually given up very big scores. Additionally, their tags have been very good, with McKenzie holding Stanton to 68 last week and Beams to 76 the week before. Boomer will cop this tag and, unfortunately, I think that kills his scoring this week. Prediction - 75

The verdict:

1.   Barlow (130)
2.   Prestia (130)
3.   Beams (125)
4.   Pendlebury (125)
5.   Ebert (125)
6.   Zaharakis (125)
7.   Treloar (120)
8.   Ablett (120)


Requests by pommyadam:

Lance "Buddy" Franklin (by Toga)
Last 3: 122, 56, 113 (average 97)
Last 3 against Richmond: 47, 97, 100 (average 81)
Last 3 at MCG: 41, 97, 57 (average 65)
Fwds vs Richmond: 91, 119, 130. A last 3 average of 113 looks handy, compared to a season average of of 101. Strike rate of 9/12 for 90+s, and 6/12 for tons
Prediction: MCG form is patchy at best, and that 47 against Richmond looks like an abberation. BUT I'm not sure whether he'll be leading FWD scorer (Parker, McGlynn, Bird, Buddy all in that bracket). Tough to call but - 90

Marc Murphy (by Toga, and Alka)
Last 3: 88, 84, 153 (average 108)
Last 3 against GWS: 70, 94 (average 82)
Last 3 at Showground: Never played
Mids vs GWS: 103, 132, 115. An last-3 average of 116 is actually lower than their season average of 118, but 6/12 over 120.
Prediction: Honestly looking at low scores in this game, so I'd steer clear of any captaincy option. Poor form against GWS, and Showground history is non-existant (but not that well anyway, 0 tons vs Sydney and Melbourne, but gave up 60 of them when they lost to Richmond). I'm going off on a tangent anyway - 95

Nick Riewoldt (by jvalles69)
Last 3: 41, 88, 86 (average 72)
Last 3 against WestCoast: 84, 89, 103 (average 92)
Last 3 at Etihad: 86, 64, 98 (average 83)
FWDs vs WestCoast: 77, 163, 108. A last 3 average of 116 is WAY above their season average of 100. Only 7/12 above 90 (and 2/12 over 110)
Prediction: Is he playing injured? Honestly the numbers peg him for a reasonable 90 if fit, but I'm not sure he's 100% - 70

Joel Selwood(by jvalles69)
Last 3: 70, 79, 104 (average 84)
Last 3 against GoldCoast: 83, 105, 135 (average 108)
Last 3 at Metricon: 105, 116 (average 111)
Mids vs GoldCoast: 108, 106, 113. A last 3 average of 109 is dwarfed by their season average of 123. Coincidentally, the last 2 games are the only 2 where the opponent hasn't scored at least 110 (10/12 now)
Prediction: Oh how I wish.. This just might be the game that puts Jelwood into form again, at a DT friendly Metricon. GC also look a bit meh (losing to WC, and should have lost heavily to Sydney). However, he starts the freakin' game as a forward - 105

Dustin Martin (by Alka)
Last 3: 111, 123, 105 (average 113)
Last 3 against Sydney: 112, 87, 85 (average 95)
Last 3 at MCG: 111, 105, 115 (average 110)
Mids vs Sydney: 133, 146, 104. An average of 128 is in line with their season average of 126, and 6/12 being over 130. But is Dusty classed as a mid or forward?
Prediction: Is this the season he can finally last for a full game? Probably not based on his last few, getting off to quick starts before fading, but not so much at least. In good form, and does well at the MCG, and I can see that continuing - 105

Jimmy Bartel (by Alka)
Last 3: 148, 80, 87 (average 105)
Last 3 against GoldCoast: 119, 102, 90 (average 104)
Last 3 at Metricon: 102, 67 (average 85)
Defs vs GoldCoast: 120, 92, 114. A last-3 average of 108 is actually better than a season average of 102. GoldCoast give up an average of 4 tons per game (SJ, Jelwood, Bartel and Stokes??)
Prediction: Looks in great touch, but scores are inflated with SJ out of the side. Has a good record against GC, and an okay-ish one at Metricon (bear in mind that 67 was in 2011 when GC were easybeats) - 105

Nathan Fyfe (by matt1985)
Last 3: 110, 94, 65 (average 90)
Last 3 against Brisbane: 77, 22, 95 (average 65) - note 22 was shoulder dislocation, average jumps to 89 without it
Last 3 at Subiaco: 94, 109, 106 (average 103)
Mids vs Brisbane: 129, 139, 153. Last 3 averager of 140 is slightly better than a season average of 139.5, and they give up 5 tons per game (Fyfe, Barlow, Pav/Balla/Mundy/Sandi (3 of))
Prediction: Not as in-form as Barlow, but more impressive at home. So should still see a high one, even if he isn't top Freo mid - 120

Robbie Gray (by steve99)
Last 3: 95, 124, 91 (average 103)
Last 3 against WB: 34, 78, 71 (average 61)
Last 3 at AO: 124, 78, 99 (average 100)
FWDs vs WB: Is he a Fwd or Mid? Fwds last 3 average of 93, season average of 97. Mids last 3 average of 128, season average 119. Fwds have a 6/12 100+s this season, 
Prediction: In reasonable form, and does well at AdelaideOval, but has a POOR record against WB (but since when have Port been good?) Unfortunately, he's scored as a forward - 90

Dayne Zorko (by strikes91)
Last 3: 71, 76, 114 (average 87)
Last 3 against Fremantle: 60 (only game)
Last 3 at Subiaco: 60, 95 (average 78)
FWDs vs Freo: 111, 66, 109. That last-3 average of 95 tells you all you need to know. Can give up big scores (a 153 being a highlight) but also keeps them low (a 54 in rd1)
Prediction: Looks like he hates the trip out west, and has had a poor game vs Freo (2YBs though?). Incoming nice %age booster though, and a not very DT friendly Lions score - 80

List of Requests:
Nathan Fyfe - 120
Joel Selwood - 105
Jimmy Bartel - 105
Dustin Martin - 105
Marc Murphy - 95
Robbie Gray - 90
Lance Franklin - 90
Dayne Zorko - 80
Nick Riewoldt - 70

[LaHug]

I made it a top 8 this week because I thought a few of my options were just way too unique. Prestia and Zaharakis have earned their spots on the ladder and Treloar should be more than solid. It's weird seeing Ablett all the way down there when he seems to be back in form but that's where my analysis led me.

[Toga]

Nice work as always Huggy, will probably be between Ablett and Pendlebury for me this week. Could I request a look at Franklin and Marc Murphy please? :)

[HBTD22]

I'm thinking of backing in Ablett but I'm bringing in Barlow this week and he's looking like a mighty fine option...

[jvalles69]

Nroo and Jelwood please...a last ditch effort at keeping them in my team otherwise they are goneski!

[Ricochet]

Johnson
Stevie J is in atrocious form and was a late out last week to really piss off his owners. Take a quick glance at those two massive scores against the Suns and then forget all about them. The 146 and 171 were both back in 2011 when the Suns were brand new and useless. Recently, they're not giving up much to mids and, with Stevie as crap as he is at the moment, he won't be scoring big. Prediction - 85

I just bring in Johnson and you give me this!! Words cannot describe how disappointed I am with you LH

:P ;)

[Alka]

This actually put me off my planned trade to SJ this week. Might wait on him to get back into form.

Can I please request Marc Murphy, DMart and Bartel?

[pommyadam]

REQUESTS

Lance "Buddy" Franklin (by Toga)
Last 3: 122, 56, 113 (average 97)
Last 3 against Richmond: 47, 97, 100 (average 81)
Last 3 at MCG: 41, 97, 57 (average 65)
Fwds vs Richmond: 91, 119, 130. A last 3 average of 113 looks handy, compared to a season average of of 101. Strike rate of 9/12 for 90+s, and 6/12 for tons
Prediction: MCG form is patchy at best, and that 47 against Richmond looks like an abberation. BUT I'm not sure whether he'll be leading FWD scorer (Parker, McGlynn, Bird, Buddy all in that bracket). Tough to call but - 90

Marc Murphy (by Toga, and Alka)
Last 3: 88, 84, 153 (average 108)
Last 3 against GWS: 70, 94 (average 82)
Last 3 at Showground: Never played
Mids vs GWS: 103, 132, 115. An last-3 average of 116 is actually lower than their season average of 118, but 6/12 over 120.
Prediction: Honestly looking at low scores in this game, so I'd steer clear of any captaincy option. Poor form against GWS, and Showground history is non-existant (but not that well anyway, 0 tons vs Sydney and Melbourne, but gave up 60 of them when they lost to Richmond). I'm going off on a tangent anyway - 95

Nick Riewoldt (by jvalles69)
Last 3: 41, 88, 86 (average 72)
Last 3 against WestCoast: 84, 89, 103 (average 92)
Last 3 at Etihad: 86, 64, 98 (average 83)
FWDs vs WestCoast: 77, 163, 108. A last 3 average of 116 is WAY above their season average of 100. Only 7/12 above 90 (and 2/12 over 110)
Prediction: Is he playing injured? Honestly the numbers peg him for a reasonable 90 if fit, but I'm not sure he's 100% - 70

Joel Selwood(by jvalles69)
Last 3: 70, 79, 104 (average 84)
Last 3 against GoldCoast: 83, 105, 135 (average 108)
Last 3 at Metricon: 105, 116 (average 111)
Mids vs GoldCoast: 108, 106, 113. A last 3 average of 109 is dwarfed by their season average of 123. Coincidentally, the last 2 games are the only 2 where the opponent hasn't scored at least 110 (10/12 now)
Prediction: Oh how I wish.. This just might be the game that puts Jelwood into form again, at a DT friendly Metricon. GC also look a bit meh (losing to WC, and should have lost heavily to Sydney). However, he starts the freakin' game as a forward - 105

Dustin Martin (by Alka)
Last 3: 111, 123, 105 (average 113)
Last 3 against Sydney: 112, 87, 85 (average 95)
Last 3 at MCG: 111, 105, 115 (average 110)
Mids vs Sydney: 133, 146, 104. An average of 128 is in line with their season average of 126, and 6/12 being over 130. But is Dusty classed as a mid or forward?
Prediction: Is this the season he can finally last for a full game? Probably not based on his last few, getting off to quick starts before fading, but not so much at least. In good form, and does well at the MCG, and I can see that continuing - 105

Jimmy Bartel (by Alka)
Last 3: 148, 80, 87 (average 105)
Last 3 against GoldCoast: 119, 102, 90 (average 104)
Last 3 at Metricon: 102, 67 (average 85)
Defs vs GoldCoast: 120, 92, 114. A last-3 average of 108 is actually better than a season average of 102. GoldCoast give up an average of 4 tons per game (SJ, Jelwood, Bartel and Stokes??)
Prediction: Looks in great touch, but scores are inflated with SJ out of the side. Has a good record against GC, and an okay-ish one at Metricon (bear in mind that 67 was in 2011 when GC were easybeats) - 105

Nathan Fyfe (by matt1985)
Last 3: 110, 94, 65 (average 90)
Last 3 against Brisbane: 77, 22, 95 (average 65) - note 22 was shoulder dislocation, average jumps to 89 without it
Last 3 at Subiaco: 94, 109, 106 (average 103)
Mids vs Brisbane: 129, 139, 153. Last 3 averager of 140 is slightly better than a season average of 139.5, and they give up 5 tons per game (Fyfe, Barlow, Pav/Balla/Mundy/Sandi (3 of))
Prediction: Not as in-form as Barlow, but more impressive at home. So should still see a high one, even if he isn't top Freo mid - 120

Robbie Gray (by steve99)
Last 3: 95, 124, 91 (average 103)
Last 3 against WB: 34, 78, 71 (average 61)
Last 3 at AO: 124, 78, 99 (average 100)
FWDs vs WB: Is he a Fwd or Mid? Fwds last 3 average of 93, season average of 97. Mids last 3 average of 128, season average 119. Fwds have a 6/12 100+s this season, 
Prediction: In reasonable form, and does well at AdelaideOval, but has a POOR record against WB (but since when have Port been good?) Unfortunately, he's scored as a forward - 90

Dayne Zorko (by strikes91)
Last 3: 71, 76, 114 (average 87)
Last 3 against Fremantle: 60 (only game)
Last 3 at Subiaco: 60, 95 (average 78)
FWDs vs Freo: 111, 66, 109. That last-3 average of 95 tells you all you need to know. Can give up big scores (a 153 being a highlight) but also keeps them low (a 54 in rd1)
Prediction: Looks like he hates the trip out west, and has had a poor game vs Freo (2YBs though?). Incoming nice %age booster though, and a not very DT friendly Lions score - 80

Jack Redden (by jalapeno)
Last 3: 103, 128, 120 (average 117)
Last 3 against Fremantle: 86, 77, 112 (average 92)
Last 3 at Subiaco: 86, 109, 77 (average 91)
Mids vs Fremantle: 114, 87, 129. A last 3 average of 110 compared to a season average of 120. 7/12 over 120, but also 2/12 under 90.
Prediction: In good form, but the trip out West seems to phase him slightly (yes, even against WC). Thinking Rocky will cop the Crowley tag, and this could be a decent week for him (but Mzungu....) - 95

Matthew Pavlich vs Chad Wingard (by ADEZ)
Pav: 83 average over the last 3, but plays a Brisbane side that gives up plenty (100 average to leading forward and 5 tons per game), but will Balla outscore him?
Wingard: 90 average over his last 3 completed games (ignoring his concussed 18 - taken off in 3rd quarter though), and plays a WB side that gives up a 97 average with 3 tons per game (but Westhoff, Schulz, Gray are alternative forwards though) - Picken tag might not be useful, given that he scored 106 on him last year (43 in Q1 though)
Pav: 90, Wingard: 85

Kieren Jack (by killbluff1985)
Last 3: 117, 106, 123 (average 115)
Last 3 against Richmond: 128, 68, 69 (average 88)
Last 3 at MCG: 116, 91, 99 (average 102)
Mids vs Richmond: 113, 111, 131. A last 3 average of 118 is slightly down on their 125 season average. Perfect strike record (12/12) with scores over 110, and 5 of them are 130+
Prediction: In great form, and doing well at the MCG. His Richmond history is poor though, that 128 being the only score over 75, but he has moved away from tagging in recent seasons. Richmond give up consistent scores, and if not JPK (or Hanners being out) then positive signs - 120


List of Requests:
Kieren Jack - 120
Nathan Fyfe - 120
Joel Selwood - 105
Jimmy Bartel - 105
Dustin Martin - 105
Marc Murphy - 95
Jack Redden - 95
Robbie Gray - 90
Matthew Pavlich - 90
Lance Franklin - 90
Chad Wingard - 85
Dayne Zorko - 80
Nick Riewoldt - 70

edit: WAIT LaHug, can you make Prestia #1 for the curse?

[matt1985]

Would you mind doing fyfe mate? He should be amongst it with Barlow too surely?

[pommyadam]

Requests have been updated, personally think Barlow is a slightly better option, but still like the looks of Fyfey

[matt1985]

Requests have been updated, personally think Barlow is a slightly better option, but still like the looks of Fyfey

Thanks mate! Might stick with Barlow, just glad to have both. Just don't want them to bomb   ::)

[steve99]

Any chance if getting Robbie Gray please?

[strikes91]

Zorko please for a wild option ?

[LaHug]

edit: WAIT LaHug, can you make Prestia #1 for the curse?

I'm not the curse. Nails is!!! And why do you want Prestia to do badly anyway?

[pommyadam]

edit: WAIT LaHug, can you make Prestia #1 for the curse?

I'm not the curse. Nails is!!! And why do you want Prestia to do badly anyway?

Given that Nails made his 2 options last week based on #1 (70odd) and 2(late withdrawal), I'm steering clear
I'm putting the C on Barlow, and I don't want him cursed
The fact that Prestia is the next best option is purely irrelevant

Requests have been updated too