So stuck, advice please!

[metroid]

Hey guys,

Been reading here forever, decided today I need some help. Below is my team, already made the move from Mitchell to Burgoyne. I think Burg will be good as a final defender so happy with that instead of Hibberd or similar, but thats where I become stuck...

I'm projected to have roughly 1,300 points, most of my competitions thats projected to win in all except one which is ok... Also have 25 trades in hand + 250k cash following the Mitchell trade...

Can anyone see how I can improve positions, I think I need to do something with Grundy but I don't know where to go with him... appreciate advice overall. I'd hope by the end of the byes I had Bartel, Watson and in the final week I plan to downgrade a few like Dunstan, Mcdonald or JKH and pick up a premium in those spots. Havent lost a game yet btw.




Cheers, Met.

[MontyJnr]

Wow you've really held back from upgrading, only 12 premiums!

Crouch > Hartung/Hallahan
Mitchell > Simpson
Luke McDonald > Hibberd

Then fix up your midfield next week.

[metroid]

Yep played largely teams below 6th so far for most of the season so not had a need to upgrade just let cash grow.

Any reason you'd preference Simpson over Burg?

[MontyJnr]

Since 2011, Burgoyne hasn't averaged more than 85 across a season. He usually starts the season off strong and then drops off. Will he get more attention with a tag now that Mitchell is out? Personally I think Simpson is more reliable.

[metroid]

Fair enough appreciate the input. I'm not sure on the trade down to Hartung / hallahan though wondering if Acres might have more security in a thin st kilda side over the next month?

Those changes give me 1595 with Roughy as VC and Sandi as C but havent given them much thought.

I'm aiming to fix up rucks next week I think Grundy doing my head in.

[MontyJnr]

I'd look at picking up Jacobs or Mumford after their bye

[GCSkiwi]

You need to consider that you currently have 2/3 donuts (fielding 16 players if all play, that includes Clurey... so possibly 15), so upgrading Grundy and LMac would seem like a good idea - however with only 250k that will be hard. I would downgrade LMac and upgrade Grundy, pray like anything Clurey gets named... that or as much as I hate to say it, tank... Think about future upgrades as you have a lot of trades (relatively) but little money so you're going to need downgrades, probably time to start thinking about the longer term...

[metroid]

Just had a look too and the person I play this week is in the same boat as me, even if they trade 3 its not possible for them to have 18, most likely 16.

Knowing Mitchell has to go is fine, so I guess the best option is going to be committing to moving him for eitehr Hibberd or Simpson, moving Crouch for Hartung or Acres depending on selection/subs, and then with my last trade do that Saturday morning where I can either upgrade LMac or downgrade him depending on the selections of opposition.

[GCSkiwi]

I looked at the numbers earlier in relation to someone elses team, and I reckon you're better to keep Crouch and offload Langdon, even though Langdon has a -ve BE. apart from 2 tons, he's typically scored 65. Crouch on the other hand if you take out his first game where he got 45 as the sub, he's scored around 80. So Langdon has a low BE because of a ton last week, but in time I think Crouch can score better and rise more. Given Langdon has more value right now I think he's a better player to turf out. Will make more in the next 2 weeks than Crouch will but beyond that I doubt it...

[tor01doc]

Wow you've really held back from upgrading, only 12 premiums!

Crouch > Hartung/Hallahan
Mitchell > Simpson
Luke McDonald > Hibberd

Then fix up your midfield next week.

Come on Junior,

Cotchin still counts as a premium doesn't he?

Include him and that team has 13 premiums.

[tor01doc]

I think you should get rid of LMcD. High BE - no points this week - lose money next week.

Simpson or Hibberd over Burgoyne for me too.

Sort of hard with no decent def rookies but maybe desperate times call for desperate measures - Gardiner? Or dare I say it the ponytailed shoemaker from Hawthorn??! Eek.

If you don't need to trade and can drop a match up then just get Simpson and Hibberd for Mitchell and LMcD? If you can afford it.

[MontyJnr]

Wow you've really held back from upgrading, only 12 premiums!

Crouch > Hartung/Hallahan
Mitchell > Simpson
Luke McDonald > Hibberd

Then fix up your midfield next week.

Come on Junior,

Cotchin still counts as a premium doesn't he?

Include him and that team has 13 premiums.

I was (perhaps unfairly) not including Heppell. There is every chance he won't be in the top 20 of his position (or even the top 30!).

[tor01doc]

 ;)

[metroid]

So boned. Georgiou not named. Other person appears to be in a worse position for me. As I said Mitchell to Hibberd or Simpson, will hold on the other two to see who the other person names/trades and make a call after the start of the round.

[metroid]

Reviewed my options will most likely go;

Mitchell to Simpson

If Acres isn't sub;

Crouch to Acres

Will give me $363,300 to work with next week.

Next week I think LMac to Hanley as he decreases massively in price potentially. I have plenty to trades to take the risk/reward on hanley with so many already having dropped him. He'll be at roughly $425,000

What do you guys think?