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NFL Season 2014/2015

Started by Jay, March 15, 2014, 07:58:17 PM

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Mat0369

I am looking at the games for my Pick Em' this week. Atlanta vs New Orleans has danger game written all over it. The Saints struggled out of the Dome last year. I am picking the Saints but with no confidence

These are the games I don't like this week

Pack @ Hawks (gone Seattle since it is in Seattle)

Bengals @ Baltimore (these division games always tend to be tough ones, have gone Bengals)

Washington @ Houston (this game will depend on the QB's. Washington has a crappy defense and question with RG III,

Houston has a good D but ishy QB. Have gone the Skins)

Ten @ KC (Kansas are missing Bowe and a chunk of their O-Line, Titans are in a prime position to steal this but the Chiefs D should rattle Locker, have gone Chiefs)

Oakland @ Jets (Jets suck, terrible QB play, terrible secondary, Raiders are starting Carr so it brings it to an even playing field
and teams from Cali hate traveling across the country, I have gone the Raiders tentatively)

Browns @ Steelers (Browns have an alright D, Steelers are struggling offensively, I have gone Steelers but this is another one of those division games.)

Vikes @ Rams (No Bradford but a decent D at home against a Vikes team which can be inept on both sides of the ball. I am going Vikes with no confidence.)

Panthers @ Bucs (Lovie will have this D firing, Panthers will struggle through the air unless Benjamin breaks out in week 1. I see a low scoring game with the Bucs squeaking it out. Also the NFC South no champ has ever repeated)

Indy @ Denver (Luck got the win in Indy last year, no Welker or Prater, no more Moreno but they have stocked up on D while Indy have a couple options back on offense (Wayne and Bradshaw), while also bringing in the often broken Nicks, have gone Denver at home)

SD @ Cards (Cards are predicted to finish well while the Chargers were a playoff team last year. It is a game that I got no idea who to pick, Cards will be favourites at home but I have gone the Chargers in an upset)

The other games I figure are straight forward with Chicago, Pats, Philly, 9'ers and Detroit winning. Detroit is the one out of that bunch that tends to drop games they should win but the Giants have looked terrible on Offense and struggling to grasp the new game plan. Their D is retooled though so they might not get totally obliterated in that aspect.


Jukes

Love how we get Packers-Seahawks, Falcons-Saints, Niners-Boys and Colts-Broncos live on 7 this weekend :D four games that will all (hopefully) be awesome!

Packers-Seahawks and Colts-Broncos might be the NFC and AFC Championship Games; Falcons-Saints divisional rivals and have two top 5 (imo) qbs in Matty Ice and Brees; and ofc the niners are playing.

No patriot games, must be big teams only this week :3

Skins-Texans should be great too, Cushing+Watt+Clowney will be great to see for the first time. If only the texans took Carr over some random Hawaiian they'd be a great outfit.

Mat0369

It also looks like Fox aren't showing their 2 Sunday games anymore, just Thursday night, Sunday night and Monday night football.

Jay

Here's who I'd pick out of those games you listed, mat...
Saints over Falcons. I really like the Saints this year, think Bird is a huge signing.
Baltimore over Bengals. The Ravens are pretty awesome at home.
Washington over Houston. Its the same team that lost 14 straight games last year.'
KC over Titans. Think Titans will be pretty awful, although KC will regress, their home-field advantage is still pretty good.
Jets over Oakland. Jets wont be that bad tbh, will have a great run defense and CJ2K wil help them run the football. Geno Smith cant get any worse, right?
Steelers over Browns. No Josh Gordon, Cleveland will suck.
Vikings over Rams. Rams gonna be starting a QB even worse than Sam Bradford.. Oh and Vikes have a RB who is pretty good at football.
Panthers over Buccs. Everyone say Carolina will regress dramatically but they still have a great defense and Newton is a beast.
Denver over Colts. Indy are being way overrated and Denver only get better in off-season.
SD over Cards. Am I the only one who thinks Chargers can win that division? Their offense is awesome.


Quote from: Jukes on September 03, 2014, 06:56:27 PM
No patriot games, must be big teams only this week :3
Unfortunately people dont like watching a 30-point blowout where TB12 throws 4 TDs for 450 yards.

Jukes

inb4 DPOTY



He'll be top three imo, although Kuechly and Watt will probably just beat him out.

Go packers.

Jay

I'll back Gerald McCoy for DPOY.

Go Seattle btw

Jukes

That implies DTs are valuable at all :3

Jay

Sherman not thrown to all game, lol

Ricochet


Jay

Brady on our injury list with a sore ankle, I think it is.

Luckily he always plays through these niggling injuries and is still a beast ;)

Jukes

Quote from: Jayman on September 05, 2014, 03:43:53 PM
Brady on our injury list with a sore ankle, I think it is.

Luckily he always plays through these niggling injuries and is still a beast ;)

Belichick always lists players as questionable though, probably just a scratch.

Such a beast that he was SEVENTEENTH in QBR and not even top 10 in total QBR last season? That's shower-tier like Cam Newton.

I have respect for Brady and his career but he's not elite any more.

Mat0369

Pats list everyone as questionable with BS injuries. They should be fined but of course the league is soft with them

Jay

Quote from: Jukes on September 05, 2014, 03:49:25 PM
Quote from: Jayman on September 05, 2014, 03:43:53 PM
Brady on our injury list with a sore ankle, I think it is.

Luckily he always plays through these niggling injuries and is still a beast ;)

Belichick always lists players as questionable though, probably just a scratch.

Such a beast that he was SEVENTEENTH in QBR and not even top 10 in total QBR last season? That's shower-tier like Cam Newton.

I have respect for Brady and his career but he's not elite any more.
Guess who was 3rd in passing DVOA  in the second half of last season? TB12, behind Manning and Foles. And that's without Gronk too. The guy is still elite.

Led a team with Julian Edelman as their best receiver to being a top 5 offense in football.

Jukes

DVOA? In the second half of a season? Stop finding obscure stats to prove an inexistent point. QBR and T-QBR are the only stats that matter beyond the simple numbers.

Peyton, Brees, Godgers, Luck, Ryan, BEWD, Stafford and Rivers are all definably better players than Brady at this point. That's 8. Then there's a big group of good qbs in Wilson, Kaep, Dalton, Romo, Flacco, Big Ben and Brady which is pretty close.
tl;dr he'd be lucky to be considered top 10.

Mat0369

Quote from: Jukes on September 05, 2014, 03:49:25 PM

Belichick always lists players as questionable though, probably just a scratch.

Such a beast that he was SEVENTEENTH in QBR and not even top 10 in total QBR last season? That's shower-tier like Cam Newton.

I have respect for Brady and his career but he's not elite any more.

You actually posted this as I was typing up the post below yours.


Quote from: Jayman on September 05, 2014, 04:48:20 PM
Guess who was 3rd in passing DVOA  in the second half of last season? TB12, behind Manning and Foles. And that's without Gronk too. The guy is still elite.

Led a team with Julian Edelman as their best receiver to being a top 5 offense in football.

Umm, Gronk actually played most of the 2nd half of the season. So that is wrong. He also had only one really elite performance in the 2nd half of the year against the Steelers. He had 2 other games with a QB rating over 100 in that time, Brees had 6