The case for Lobbe

[tor01doc]

Consider this

Last year Lobbe scored over 100 4/19 games (21%)
Last year NicNat scored over 100 6/11 games (55%)

Lobbe six top scores are 154 127 127 118 110 and 102
NicNat six top scores are 185 164 163 153 148 and 142.

I know who I want.

PS I have not included finals I think.

Good luck.

[Bully]

Risk : reward.

Imagine NicNait getting back to where he was. And him being in your team. Now that is nice.

Saves you trades later. Makes you points now.

If he doesn't fire, then grab someone else and cut your losses.

With Grundy, he will cost you 2 trades to upgrade to a keeper even if he does make you $100k. He surely can't be a keeper yet?

Sand islands is the big risk but again low price makes him tempting too.

Let's hope Dixon can show something so he can be F4.

I posted something about Lobbe scoring over 100 in a low proportion of his games. I think he is the risky option given his starting price and lack of genuine consistency thus far.

But the 2 trades may also be required on another line, then there's the chance Nicnat is 'managed' and you find yourself needing to burn 1 trade with what could be a 1 week absence. Dixon is great in theory but again, I think it's better to trade him in when disaster strikes. So there's another trade wasted, not mention exposing what will surely be a weak forward line bench.

[Vinny]

You have to pick Naitanui if he is fit around 1, his potential is crazy. Imagine he was putting out those crazy scores week in week out haha. Doc is right, well said. Get on, if you don't and he goes nuts you are flowered haha.

[eaglesman]

You have to pick Naitanui if he is fit around 1, his potential is crazy. Imagine he was putting out those crazy scores week in week out haha. Doc is right, well said. Get on, if you don't and he goes nuts you are flowered haha.

and if he is picked round 2? u getting him straight in?

[Vinny]

That's an a weird scenario to give, could apply to any play. Naitanui should play round 1 at this stage.

[Bully]

You have to pick Naitanui if he is fit around 1, his potential is crazy. Imagine he was putting out those crazy scores week in week out haha. Doc is right, well said. Get on, if you don't and he goes nuts you are flowered haha.

There's certainly risk/reward but I'm not comfortable starting with two injury prone rucks and not having any reliable back-up. 

[eaglesman]

That's an a weird scenario to give, could apply to any play. Naitanui should play round 1 at this stage.

haha but if he doesnt play round 1 ... and then comes straight in if his potential is so out of this world ... why wouldnt u just jump straight on if picked round 2?

just curious what you would do ? i alllow for a few corrective trades every year (last year started with longer round 1 hahaha then round 2 went luey. still won WA $5000 prize haha)

[sniper]

I'm going Saucelands + Dixlow at this stage.

Sauce??  :o
After his stellar 2013 season and his unprecedented 54 points in the obliteration of an opponent without their ruck no.1, I can see why...

Please. Don't do that to yourself. Sauce 2013 survivor here. Never forget.

My read on the rucks at this stage is with all the injury risk at the top end and no upside (due to the top rucks already have broken out in 2013), I'm happy for a ruck that plays 22 games, holds his average, and lets me waste money everywhere else.

I survived 2013 too but I forgive him.

Really? His average plummeted last year?  ???
What injury risk at the top end? You're taking Sandi who has to be the biggest injury risk in the pack? NicNat is the only other one with a bit of a cloud over him... Minson? Cox? Goldy?

Jacobs did plummet last year, but he won't plummet again this year, he'll at least hold his average.

Injury risk: Kreuzer - has missed a sason, Maric - has a long term groin issue which is being managed, Berger - has missed a season twice, nicnat - groin, sandilands - write a book about him, zac clarke - injured at a friggin rock concert, mumford misses 3-8 games a year...

[HotTiges]

Long term 2013 Sauce investor. well, till round 14 or so. Got Minson.. say no more..

Lobbe has potential to be Sauce 2014 for some reason, however I think he works a bit harder then "Uselessauce".. One of the tough decisions in my side..

[Vinny]

Haven't seen you around here in so long HT, hahaha.

[HotTiges]

Haven't seen you around here in so long HT, hahaha.

haha thanks for the intro. yeah, trying to lay off this SC business till later on but got sucked in.. THANKS NAB

[GCSkiwi]

Jacobs did plummet last year, but he won't plummet again this year, he'll at least hold his average.

Injury risk: Kreuzer - has missed a sason, Maric - has a long term groin issue which is being managed, Berger - has missed a season twice, nicnat - groin, sandilands - write a book about him, zac clarke - injured at a friggin rock concert, mumford misses 3-8 games a year...

Well, it's your team, that's all I can say...
The 3 players I mentioned were Minson, Cox and Goldy. I'm sure you can write an injury list out of the other 90 people in the rucks. If you're happy copping a 60-80 on a consistent basis from your R1, then go for it, I just really don't understand why you would do that. Not making money, not scoring big points, not worth it.

Consider this

Last year Lobbe scored over 100 4/19 games (21%)
Last year NicNat scored over 100 6/11 games (55%)

Lobbe six top scores are 154 127 127 118 110 and 102
NicNat six top scores are 185 164 163 153 148 and 142.

I know who I want.

It's Lobbe, right? You want Lobbe? Ya know, because potential and stuff... RIGHT?

[tor01doc]

Don't be such a Lobbe.  >:(