WXV Discussion

[RaisyDaisy]

Birchall back in after the byes.

fingers crossed ill be able to name a full squad for the first time in a long time.

I reckon Birch's best SC days are well behind him now

Can't see him doing any better than 80. Still good for WXV, but not what he used to produce

[Purple 77]

I'll leave this here.

[meow meow]

All my players are having good scores this round. Can I trust Lester to back up his 129? Absolutely not! Vardy is the only one I've got full faith in.

[Nige]

I'll leave this here.

The absolute madman.

[meow meow]

Jack Steele, Chris Masten and Brayden Fiorini can't get a game.
Griffen, Wells, B Murphy, Clay, McVeigh and Silvagni are injured.

They have Jeff.

We have Waite.

If Cairo can't beat us they are an absolute disgrace.

[Nige]

Jack Steele, Chris Masten and Brayden Fiorini can't get a game.
Griffen, Wells, B Murphy, Clay, McVeigh and Silvagni are injured.

They have Jeff.

We have Waite.

If Cairo can't beat us they are an absolute disgrace.

Look, I definitely agree, but you still have Bryce Gibbs and Nathan Wilson, it should still be a contest.

[iZander]

Jack Steele, Chris Masten and Brayden Fiorini can't get a game.
Griffen, Wells, B Murphy, Clay, McVeigh and Silvagni are injured.

They have Jeff.

We have Waite.

If Cairo can't beat us they are an absolute disgrace.

Look, I definitely agree, but you still have Bryce Gibbs and Nathan Wilson, it should still be a contest.

They have Nathan Vardy as well, you guys have pretty much already lost

[Levi434]

How will the ladder shape up?
A comprehensive guide to how the final WXV ladder may look.

None of these are my predictions, but instead purely stats based. I simulated the final 5 rounds of the 2017 WXV Season and found some interesting results.

What would happen if: The team higher on the ladder at Round 12 won their games?
The number in the bracket is where the team is currently ranked(after WXV Round 12).

Position	Name	Wins	Losses
1	New Delhi Tigers(1)	15	2
2	Dublin Destroyers(3)	13	4
3	New York Revolution(2)	13	4
4	Rio de Janeiro Jaguars(5)	13	4
5	Seoul Magpies(4)	12	5
6	Pacific Islanders(7)	10	7
7	Mexico City Suns(8 )	10	7
8	Cairo Sands(6)	9	8
9	Christchurch Saints(10)	9	8
10	PNL Reindeers(11)	9	8
11	Berlin Brewers(9)	8	9
12	Toronto Wolves(12)	7	10
13	Moscow Spetsnaz(13)	6	11
14	Beijing Thunder(14)	6	11
15	Cape Town Cobras(15)	5	12
16	London Royals(16)	5	12
17	Tokyo Samurai(17)	2	15
18	Buenos Aires Armadillos(18)	1	16

Notes:
- With this result we see 3 teams finish equal 2nd. Bringing percentage into it Dublin(107.82) would move to 2nd and push New York(103.18) to 3rd. Rio(102.89) could see themselves move up if they have a few big wins.
- Pacific(106.84) would hold 6th comfortably over Mexico(101.92).
- Cairo(102.36) would hold onto 8th due to superior percentage over Christchurch(97.96) and PNL(97.77)

What would happen if: The team averaging the most points won?
The number is what ranking the team is in points per game(after WXV Round 12).

Position	Name	Wins	Losses
1	New Delhi Tigers(1)	15	2
2	Dublin Destroyers(2)	13	4
3	Seoul Magpies(3)	13	4
4	Rio de Janeiro Jaguars(5)	12	5
5	Pacific Islanders(4)	11	6
6	New York Revolution(10)	11	6
7	Cairo Sands(7)	10	7
8	Mexico City Suns(8 )	10	7
9	Toronto Wolves(11)	9	8
10	Berlin Brewers(9)	8	9
11	Christchurch Saints(12)	8	9
12	PNL Reindeers(13)	7	10
13	Beijing Thunder(6)	7	10
14	Moscow Spetsnaz(14)	6	11
15	Cape Town Cobras(15)	5	12
16	London Royals(17)	4	13
17	Tokyo Samurai(16)	3	14
18	Buenos Aires Armadillos(18)	1	16

Notes:
- Dublin(107.82) would be just ahead of Seoul(106.55) due to percentage. Which could be a deciding factor in the Qualifying Final they'd play.
- Pacific(106.84) move above New York(103.18).
- Cairo(102.36) hold on for 7th over Mexico(101.92).

What "COULD" happen? #WorstCase

Team	Highest Finish	Lowest Finish	Predicted Finish
New Delhi Tigers	1	9	1
Dublin Destroyers	1	12	2
Seoul Magpies	1	12	3
Rio de Janeiro Jaguars	1	12	4
New York Revolution	1	11	5
Pacific Islanders	1	14	6
Cairo Sands	1	12	7
Mexico City Suns	1	14	8
Christchurch Saints	5	17	9
Berlin Brewers	5	17	10
Toronto Wolves	5	18	11
PNL Reindeers	5	17	12
Beijing Thunder	8	18	13
Moscow Spetsnaz	7	18	14
Cape Town Cobras	8	18	15
London Royals	10	18	16
Tokyo Samurai	11	18	17
Buenos Aires Armadillos	12	18	18

Notes:
- No team has clinched a finals berth yet! Even the mighty NDT could somehow fall out of the 8!
- 15 teams are still theoretically in contention for the 8! Some more likely than others.
- London, Tokyo and Buenos have been eliminated but could each move up 6 spots if they have strong finishes to the year.



If you would like to complete your own predictions simply put a 1 next to each team you think is going to win and I can simulate a ladder for you. Simply change the "0" to a "1"

Round 13, AFL Round 15
Rio de Janeiro Jaguars	0	Cape Town Cobras	0
Pacific Islanders	0	Buenos Aires Armadillos	0
Mexico City Suns	0	Christchurch Saints	0
New York Revolution	0	Toronto Wolves	0
PNL Reindeers	0	Moscow Spetsnaz	0
Dublin Destroyers	0	Berlin Brewers	0
Tokyo Samurai	0	London Royals	0
Beijing Thunder	0	Seoul Magpies	0
Cairo Sands	0	New Delhi Tigers	0
Round 14, AFL Round 16
Home Team	Score	Away Team	Score
Cape Town Cobras	0	New Delhi Tigers	0
Seoul Magpies	0	Cairo Sands	0
London Royals	0	Beijing Thunder	0
Berlin Brewers	0	Tokyo Samurai	0
Moscow Spetsnaz	0	Dublin Destroyers	0
PNL Reindeers	0	Toronto Wolves	0
Christchurch Saints	0	New York Revolution	0
Mexico City Suns	0	Buenos Aires Armadillos	0
Pacific Islanders	0	Rio de Janeiro Jaguars	0
Round 15, AFL Round 17
Home Team	Score	Away Team	Score
Toronto Wolves	0	Cape Town Cobras	0
Christchurch Saints	0	Moscow Spetsnaz	0
Buenos Aires Armadillos	0	Berlin Brewers	0
Rio de Janeiro Jaguars	0	London Royals	0
Seoul Magpies	0	Pacific Islanders	0
New Delhi Tigers	0	Mexico City Suns	0
New York Revolution	0	Cairo Sands	0
Beijing Thunder	0	PNL Reindeers	0
Tokyo Samurai	0	Dublin Destroyers	0
Round 16, AFL Round 18
Home Team	Score	Away Team	Score
Cape Town Cobras	0	Christchurch Saints	0
Buenos Aires Armadillos	0	Toronto Wolves	0
Moscow Spetsnaz	0	Rio de Janeiro Jaguars	0
Berlin Brewers	0	Pacific Islanders	0
London Royals	0	Mexico City Suns	0
New York Revolution	0	Seoul Magpies	0
New Delhi Tigers	0	PNL Reindeers	0
Cairo Sands	0	Dublin Destroyers	0
Tokyo Samurai	0	Beijing Thunder	0
Round 17, AFL Round 19
Home Team	Score	Away Team	Score
Tokyo Samurai	0	Cape Town Cobras	0
Dublin Destroyers	0	Beijing Thunder	0
PNL Reindeers	0	Cairo Sands	0
New Delhi Tigers	0	New York Revolution	0
Mexico City Suns	0	Seoul Magpies	0
Pacific Islanders	0	London Royals	0
Berlin Brewers	0	Rio de Janeiro Jaguars	0
Buenos Aires Armadillos	0	Moscow Spetsnaz	0
Christchurch Saints	0	Toronto Wolves	0

[GoLions]

[Levi434]

By request.

What would happen if: The team averaging the most over the last 5 rounds won?
The number in the bracket is where the team is ranked in total points over the last 5 rounds(WXV Round 7 thru 12).

Position	Name	Wins	Losses
1	New Delhi Tigers(3)	15	2
2	Dublin Destroyers(2)	13	4
3	Seoul Magpies(1)	13	4
4	Rio de Janeiro Jaguars(5)	13	4
5	Pacific Islanders(7)	10	7
6	New York Revolution(9)	10	7
7	Cairo Sands(8 )	10	7
8	Mexico City Suns(11)	10	7
9	Toronto Wolves(6)	10	7
10	Berlin Brewers(10)	8	9
11	Moscow Spetsnaz(12)	8	9
12	Christchurch Saints(14)	7	10
13	Beijing Thunder(4)	7	10
14	PNL Reindeers(13)	6	11
15	Cape Town Cobras(15)	5	12
16	London Royals(17)	4	13
17	Tokyo Samurai(16)	3	14
18	Buenos Aires Armadillos(18)	1	16

Notes:
- Dublin(107.82) would be just ahead of Seoul(106.55) due to percentage and both ahead of Rio(102.89).
- Massive log jam from 5th to 9th.
- Pacific(106.84) have the best percentage of those 5 teams so they go to 5th.
- New York(103.18) the next best. Tough to see them going ahead of Seoul's percentage but they certainly could fall.
- Cairo(102.36) have a very tough finish to the year and could see their percentage hurt. 3 out of 5 wins guarantees a finals berth I recon.
- Mexico(101.92) would fancy their chances to get into the 8 and will be a danger game for whoever plays them in finals.
- Toronto(99.38) whilst don't have the percentage, have probably the easiest run home of all these teams and would like to think their percentage would go up.

[Purple 77]

Destined to finish 9th or 10th it seems :-/ very interesting insights Levi

[Torpedo10]

Eagles dogging the boys by not playing Partington?

Or just Moscow?

;)  :'(

[GoLions]

@Purple 77



Watch Guthrie knock out an 80+

Guthrie > Smith confirmed

[Purple 77]

@Purple 77



Watch Guthrie knock out an 80+

Guthrie > Smith confirmed

Impressive! It only took him 15 weeks to get a debut this year!

Joel Smith is returning to the Vfl this week. Just see how long it takes for him to get back in the form team of the comp ;) (except for Sydney)

[Ricochet]

With absolutely zero research, and done in about 2 minutes, i'll go with...

Round 13, AFL Round 15         
Rio de Janeiro Jaguars   1   Cape Town Cobras   0
Pacific Islanders   1   Buenos Aires Armadillos   0
Mexico City Suns   1   Christchurch Saints   0
New York Revolution   0   Toronto Wolves   1
PNL Reindeers   1   Moscow Spetsnaz   0
Dublin Destroyers   1   Berlin Brewers   0
Tokyo Samurai   0   London Royals   1
Beijing Thunder   0   Seoul Magpies   1
Cairo Sands   0   New Delhi Tigers   1

Round 14, AFL Round 16         
Home Team   Score   Away Team   Score
Cape Town Cobras   0   New Delhi Tigers   1
Seoul Magpies   1   Cairo Sands   0
London Royals   0   Beijing Thunder   1
Berlin Brewers   1   Tokyo Samurai   0
Moscow Spetsnaz   0   Dublin Destroyers   1
PNL Reindeers   0   Toronto Wolves   1
Christchurch Saints   1   New York Revolution   0
Mexico City Suns   1   Buenos Aires Armadillos   0
Pacific Islanders   1   Rio de Janeiro Jaguars   0

Round 15, AFL Round 17         
Home Team   Score   Away Team   Score
Toronto Wolves   1   Cape Town Cobras   0
Christchurch Saints   1   Moscow Spetsnaz   0
Buenos Aires Armadillos   0   Berlin Brewers   1
Rio de Janeiro Jaguars   1   London Royals   0
Seoul Magpies   0   Pacific Islanders   1
New Delhi Tigers   1   Mexico City Suns   0
New York Revolution   1   Cairo Sands   0
Beijing Thunder   1   PNL Reindeers   0
Tokyo Samurai   0   Dublin Destroyers   1

Round 16, AFL Round 18         
Home Team   Score   Away Team   Score
Cape Town Cobras   0   Christchurch Saints   1
Buenos Aires Armadillos   0   Toronto Wolves   1
Moscow Spetsnaz   0   Rio de Janeiro Jaguars   1
Berlin Brewers   0   Pacific Islanders   1
London Royals   0   Mexico City Suns   1
New York Revolution   0   Seoul Magpies   1
New Delhi Tigers   1   PNL Reindeers   0
Cairo Sands   0   Dublin Destroyers   1
Tokyo Samurai   0   Beijing Thunder   1

Round 17, AFL Round 19         
Home Team   Score   Away Team   Score
Tokyo Samurai   0   Cape Town Cobras   1
Dublin Destroyers   0   Beijing Thunder   1
PNL Reindeers   0   Cairo Sands   1
New Delhi Tigers   1   New York Revolution   0
Mexico City Suns   0   Seoul Magpies   1
Pacific Islanders   1   London Royals   0
Berlin Brewers   0   Rio de Janeiro Jaguars   1
Buenos Aires Armadillos   0   Moscow Spetsnaz   1
Christchurch Saints   1   Toronto Wolves   0