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WXV Discussion

Started by ossie85, August 06, 2013, 12:47:24 PM

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GoLions

Quote from: Torpedo10 on July 29, 2016, 01:34:02 PM
Quote from: upthemaidens on July 29, 2016, 01:27:47 PM
I've probably missed something, but why can't we just use the end of year SuperCoach prices as a bases for our salary cap?
     It's more reflective of SC fantasy relevance then the actual AFL salary.
A very good idea!
End of year or start of year?

upthemaidens

Quote from: Holz on July 29, 2016, 01:36:15 PM
Quote from: upthemaidens on July 29, 2016, 01:27:47 PM
I've probably missed something, but why can't we just use the end of year SuperCoach prices as a bases for our salary cap?
     It's more reflective of SC fantasy relevance then the actual AFL salary.

Because its a rolling average formula.

So the last few rounds matter greatly for example.

Bont 107 average priced at 590k
Pendles 118 average priced at 580k
hanners 110 average priced at 490k

also the multipier drops so if someone averaged 100 leading into the season and scored 100 every week their price would drop throught the season.

so Beams 612k 3rd most expensive in the comp.

Sandi 587K, apparently better then Pendles.
So what about the prices at the start of the season instead?  Would they work better?

ossie85

Quote from: GoLions on July 29, 2016, 01:36:39 PM
Quote from: Torpedo10 on July 29, 2016, 01:34:02 PM
Quote from: upthemaidens on July 29, 2016, 01:27:47 PM
I've probably missed something, but why can't we just use the end of year SuperCoach prices as a bases for our salary cap?
     It's more reflective of SC fantasy relevance then the actual AFL salary.
A very good idea!
End of year or start of year?

The end/start of year prices go weird for players that have missed a large part of the season or only played a few games. There's always a few players that way under priced because of injury, and always a few players that are over priced because of a one-off great season

3 years seemed a decent run, what I could do is weight it so that the most recent year is worth 2 years....

That changes things a bit...... These would be the biggest winners:

NamePriceAlternate priceDiff
P Dangerfield$1,204,000$1,241,000$37,000
L Hunter$514,000$551,000$37,000
S Docherty$698,000$734,000$36,000
Z Merrett$611,000$647,000$36,000
S Ross$429,000$465,000$36,000
M Gawn$745,000$778,000$33,000
A Hall$463,000$495,000$32,000
S Kerridge$359,000$391,000$32,000
D Wells$550,000$580,000$30,000
Z Williams$400,000$429,000$29,000
J Lyons$322,000$350,000$28,000
L Neale$941,000$968,000$27,000
J Jenkins$536,000$562,000$26,000
M Crouch$405,000$431,000$26,000


And these the biggest losers...

NamePriceAlternate priceDiff
Jac Redden$644,000$606,000-$38,000
M Murphy$879,000$844,000-$35,000
S Martin$770,000$739,000-$31,000
G Ablett$1,166,000$1,138,000-$28,000
N Dal Santo$798,000$771,000-$27,000
D Mundy$956,000$931,000-$25,000
S Mumford$902,000$877,000-$25,000
B McGlynn$542,000$517,000-$25,000
S Jacobs$959,000$935,000-$24,000
L Shiels$549,000$525,000-$24,000

Thanks Levi for showing me how to format....

ossie85


And going back to Holz comments, and using the original price I came up with, where youth can be disadvantaged because of going back 3 years...

I've added a 20% boost to all players price if they have improved upon (or stayed the same) average for the last 3 years...

I'm just playing around atm...

looking at the midpriced players, has given them a bit of a boost...

NamePriceAlternate priceDiff
S Docherty$698,000$838,000$140,000
J Ziebell$697,000$837,000$140,000
J Riewoldt$696,000$835,000$139,000
A Rance$694,000$833,000$139,000
J Gibson$687,000$825,000$138,000
TJ Lynch$684,000$821,000$137,000
S Grigg$656,000$788,000$132,000
R Murphy$646,000$775,000$129,000
T Scully$641,000$769,000$128,000
P Cripps$626,000$752,000$126,000
Z Merrett$611,000$733,000$122,000
M Broadbent$609,000$731,000$122,000
T Adams$596,000$716,000$120,000
J Viney$600,000$719,000$119,000
D Rampe$596,000$715,000$119,000
M Robinson$593,000$711,000$118,000
E Betts$588,000$706,000$118,000
R Laird$584,000$701,000$117,000
K Tippett$569,000$683,000$114,000
S Savage$557,000$668,000$111,000
T Walker$557,000$668,000$111,000
J Hogan$548,000$658,000$110,000
J Pittard$544,000$653,000$109,000
T Nicholls$522,000$626,000$104,000
J McGovern$520,000$624,000$104,000
L Hunter$514,000$617,000$103,000
M Walters$514,000$617,000$103,000
R Bastinac$510,000$613,000$103,000
TT Lynch$508,000$610,000$102,000
J Blair$502,000$602,000$100,000
A Fasolo$494,000$593,000$99,000
S Lycett$490,000$588,000$98,000
J Johannisen$486,000$583,000$97,000
Ja Stringer$484,000$581,000$97,000
K Stevens$478,000$574,000$96,000

Levi434

Quote from: ossie85 on July 29, 2016, 01:58:27 PM
Thanks Levi for showing me how to format....

;D

Looks so nice now!

Holz

Quote from: ossie85 on July 29, 2016, 02:16:01 PM

And going back to Holz comments, and using the original price I came up with, where youth can be disadvantaged because of going back 3 years...

I've added a 20% boost to all players price if they have improved upon (or stayed the same) average for the last 3 years...

I'm just playing around atm...

looking at the midpriced players, has given them a bit of a boost...

NamePriceAlternate priceDiff
S Docherty$698,000$838,000$140,000
J Ziebell$697,000$837,000$140,000
J Riewoldt$696,000$835,000$139,000
A Rance$694,000$833,000$139,000
J Gibson$687,000$825,000$138,000
TJ Lynch$684,000$821,000$137,000
S Grigg$656,000$788,000$132,000
R Murphy$646,000$775,000$129,000
T Scully$641,000$769,000$128,000
P Cripps$626,000$752,000$126,000
Z Merrett$611,000$733,000$122,000
M Broadbent$609,000$731,000$122,000
T Adams$596,000$716,000$120,000
J Viney$600,000$719,000$119,000
D Rampe$596,000$715,000$119,000
M Robinson$593,000$711,000$118,000
E Betts$588,000$706,000$118,000
R Laird$584,000$701,000$117,000
K Tippett$569,000$683,000$114,000
S Savage$557,000$668,000$111,000
T Walker$557,000$668,000$111,000
J Hogan$548,000$658,000$110,000
J Pittard$544,000$653,000$109,000
T Nicholls$522,000$626,000$104,000
J McGovern$520,000$624,000$104,000
L Hunter$514,000$617,000$103,000
M Walters$514,000$617,000$103,000
R Bastinac$510,000$613,000$103,000
TT Lynch$508,000$610,000$102,000
J Blair$502,000$602,000$100,000
A Fasolo$494,000$593,000$99,000
S Lycett$490,000$588,000$98,000
J Johannisen$486,000$583,000$97,000
Ja Stringer$484,000$581,000$97,000
K Stevens$478,000$574,000$96,000

hmm not sure on that one

Oz if you could get the ages for each player would that be your ideal scenario?

J Riewoldt   $696,000   $835,000   $139,000
J Gibson   $687,000   $825,000   $138,000
S Grigg   $656,000   $788,000   $132,000
M Robinson   $593,000   $711,000   $118,000
E Betts   $588,000   $706,000   $118,000


not exactly youth.


ossie85

#4071
I'm not hugely sold on Age as a factor to be honest. I want people to have some incentive to go young, not old. Youth have a bigger ceiling for sure, but they also have big floor.

For every Bontempelli (I priced him at $732k), you have a Toumpas (priced at $287k)

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: ossie85 on July 29, 2016, 02:16:01 PM
I've added a 20% boost to all players price if they have improved upon (or stayed the same) average for the last 3 years...

Probably a bit too much ambiguity with that. Defining if and how a player has improved is purely speculation and one persons opinion. Reckon we need to use cold hard facts/stats


ossie85


I have O'Meara and Viney both priced at $600k... which seems fair, given Viney averages less but O'Meara hasn't played in 2 years. Who has the bigger upside? I certainly can't tell.

Holz

Quote from: ossie85 on July 29, 2016, 02:27:43 PM
I'm not hugely sold on Age as a factor to be honest. I want people to have some incentive to go young, not old. Youth have a bigger ceiling for sure, but they also have big floor.

For every Bontempelli (I priced him at $732k), you have a Toumpas (priced at $287k)

true im definately not saying the 18 year olds needs to be pricey.

its more the 22-26 year olds guys. then expenonentially a greater discount as they get older. So a 26 year old full price. 27

28 maybe 97%
29 maybe 95%
30 92%
31 88%
32 84%
33 80%
34 75%

etc..

RaisyDaisy

So what's the actual point of changing from cap to salary?

I don't really buy into the whole equality thing because there isn't a comp in the world that has everyone on a level playing field and that's simply because there isn't enough top players to go around all teams

We've seen teams go up and down, and that's done through the coaches vision and ability

Like meow said earlier, it's the coaches direction which puts them in the position they are in - not the cap

My Chumps

Bloody love the amount of thought, contribution and effort going into all this!

Quote from: ossie85 on July 29, 2016, 02:27:43 PM
For every Bontempelli (I priced him at $732k), you have a Toumpas (priced at $287k)
I got sad reading this then remembered I gave up Colin Sylvia for him :-X

Holz

Quote from: My Chumps on July 29, 2016, 03:03:51 PM
Bloody love the amount of thought, contribution and effort going into all this!

Quote from: ossie85 on July 29, 2016, 02:27:43 PM
For every Bontempelli (I priced him at $732k), you have a Toumpas (priced at $287k)
I got sad reading this then remembered I gave up Colin Sylvia for him :-X

Round 1
1. Seoul - Thomas Boyd
2. Beijing - James Aish
3. Pacific - Matt Scharenberg
4. New York - Kade Kolodjashnij
5. New York - Luke McDonald
6. PNL - Jack Billings
7. Seoul - Josh Kelly
8. Pacific - Marcus Bontempelli


Bont is worth pick 3 and 8.


some big losers in that group unfrotunately

19. Wellington - Patrick Cripps
27. PNL - Zach Merrett
65. Toronto - Ben Brown

ossie85

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on July 29, 2016, 02:45:01 PM
So what's the actual point of changing from cap to salary?

I don't really buy into the whole equality thing because there isn't a comp in the world that has everyone on a level playing field and that's simply because there isn't enough top players to go around all teams

We've seen teams go up and down, and that's done through the coaches vision and ability

Like meow said earlier, it's the coaches direction which puts them in the position they are in - not the cap

And that's a fair point, it may not be worth changing. I got excited when the numbers I pulled out actually reflected the ladder a bit, something the points cap has struggled with at times.


Adding current values I have (which in the 3 rounds I don't have, will likely go up for most)

Round 1
1. Seoul - Thomas Boyd $305k
2. Beijing - James Aish $358k
3. Pacific - Matt Scharenberg $208k
4. New York - Kade Kolodjashnij $497k
5. New York - Luke McDonald $363k
6. PNL - Jack Billings $429k
7. Seoul - Josh Kelly $462k
8. Pacific - Marcus Bontempelli $732k

Bont is worth pick 3 and 8.


some big losers in that group unfrotunately

19. Wellington - Patrick Cripps $626k
27. PNL - Zach Merrett $611k
65. Toronto - Ben Brown $403k


upthemaidens

Zero chance of us trading Bont for pick #3+#8  haha  :)