Keepz Kill Krew - 2014

Started by Keeper27, January 23, 2014, 09:33:37 PM

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Keeper27

Salary cap left: $25,700.
Byes: 3/3/2 - 5/3/2 - 0/1/3 - 2/2/4 = 10/9/11

Sam Mitchell, Michael Hibberd, Ricky Henderson, Shaun Atley, Matt Suckling, Luke McDonald
Jeremy Laidler, Matthew Fuller

Scott Pendlebury, Tom Rockliff, Trent Cotchin, Dayne Beams, Mitchell Grigg, Dale Thomas, Jack Martin, Xavier Ellis
Luke Dunstan, Dayle Garlett

Matthew Lobbe, Aaron Sandilands
Fraser Thurlow, Toby Nankervis

Patrick Dangerfield, Kurt Tippett, Jack Gunston, Matthew Pavlich, Mitchell Clark, Shane Kersten
Dayle Garlett, Lewis Taylor

Super Premo (Captain), Premo, Back to Best/Improvement

DEF
Mitchell - LOCK, tonned up 10 times, 1 time under 70, Standard Deviation of 24
Hibberd - tonned up 8 times, 1 time under 70, Standard Deviation of 17. Consistent.
Hendo - tonned up 5 times, Rnd 14 to Rnd 20 he avg'd 105.42, includes an 85 against WCE, 3 Tons against Collingwood (106), Geelong (160) and Freo (110).  should go 90+
Atley - i know he only avg'd in the low 70's all year, but a move into the Midfield will boost his scores 10-15+, standard deviation of 15.
Suckling - Bargain, should go 85+

MID
Pendles - Tonned up 20 times last year, and the 2 times he didnt was against Freo (96) and GWS (92).
11 times Over 120, with a Standard Deviation of ONLY 22.
Rockliff - tonned up 13 times, 2 time under 70. In the last 9 games he avg'd 128.22 WOW  :o
Cotchin - tonned up 15 times, 2 time under 70, Standard Deviation of 23. Improve 10+ ppg
Beams - tonned up 3 times in 7 games, 1 time under 70, Standard Deviation of 20. Improve 10-15 ppg
Grigg - Take out his score of 29 his avg is actually 95.25. Bargain. Van Berlo out injured, spot open for him??
Thomas - tonned up 2 times in 5 games. Bargain. Improve 15-20 ppg
Martin - Better off to start with him and Downgrade if he stinks it up than finding 100K and upgrading if he starts tearing it up.

RUC
Lobbe - avg'd 113.83 in his last 6 games (including finals), also in an improving team. Minnow 2014??
Sandi - 3 time under 70 (2 sub affected), Bargain.

FWD
Danger - tonned up 13 times, 1 time under 70, 9 times over 120.
Tippett - tonned up 4 times (2 X 120+)  in 10 games, 2 time under 70, improve 10-15.
Gunston - tonned up 8 times, 3 time under 70. Improve 10+ ppg
Pavlich - should get back to his best, full preseason. Improve 15+ ppg
Clarke - Risky, Could be a Bargain if he can go 80+





rate, any advice welcome.

Anthonyyyy

You've said it all buddy!

Team looks very strong!

Defence: Mitchell could be the best in defence by the end of the year! Hibberd is consistent but Hanley or Simpson could be better options. Hendo finished the year extremely strong but watch in NAB CUP too see if he keeps hes scoring up! I had Atley last year and he let me down (I was expecting a break out season) Suckling is a lock and same with McDonald! Like how you only have one rookie defender.

Midfield: At first I didn't want Ablett but if you look at his stats he is a must have in your team! in saying that your first 4 Mids are all solid picks I think Rocky will be one of the best in the game by seasons end! Grigg could destroy or get destroyed im sure not taking the risk all though he could pay off! Thomas absolute gun and should be 85+ Martin is said to be better than Omeara and if that's the case lock him in! Ellis good pick also and he has a good bye round!

Rucks: Reasonably standard like the pick of Lobbe and those stats are making me consider him! Sandi should be a gun!

Forwards: Danger will be one of the most picked players in super coach this season and rightfully so the kid is a gun! Tippet may be affected by Franklin so just watch him in the NAB CUP and I love the Gunsten pick! Pav has been in and out of my team on a regular basis and really I don't think he is worth his price especially saying this season could be his last. As you said Clark is risky but he could be gold this year as the forward cheapys are very few! I like the pick of Kersten should slot straight into the side!

Its a solid team just watch out for the byes!

willsy13

Love the stats and research but, i only see 6 1000% safe picks... i think you have too many super points of difference! Proven premiums at the start of the year then when you upgrade get pods who are in form! I like your team but you need players youll 100% trust... great research though love it

johnnytheboy1

Team Looks very strong with the 2 unique picks in defence and the risky pick in Grigg in the mids.
Backs: Henderson & Atley could average 90 this year.Maybe Hanley over Hibberd
Mids: Very strong with good depth should do well .
Rucks Good decision by picking Lobbe & sandi scored 100+ in his last 3 games last year.
Fwds: Strong here as well can't go wrong with any of those players.

You have a decent team as it has premiums and unique players. i give it an 8/10

mpollock

Some massive POD - very interesting team.

Backs: I think Hibbert/Henderson/Atley are all nice POD individually but together is just to risky.  I would run with one of these three only.  Don't overdo the POD here with so many good back options

Mids: Like the Cotchin pick - seems good value.  Not sold on Grigg but again a nice POD.

Rucks: Lobbe finished the year strongly but i just think there are better options for a cheaper price.  Could come off big time if he continues 2014 the way he finished 2013.

Forwards: Tippett/Gunston/Pavlich - in a similar way to your backline these are nice individual POD - but collectively present to much risk.  They are all KPP as well making it more risky again.  I would go with one of these three, two max.

Overall i actually like this team but just needs a bit more balance in terms of to many POD.  7/10.

DCAK

I love your team mate, though I do have some concerns about having Garlett as both a MID and FWD, unconventional!!!

Keeper27

Quote from: DCAK on January 25, 2014, 01:54:11 PM
I love your team mate, though I do have some concerns about having Garlett as both a MID and FWD, unconventional!!!

lol my bad. Garlett fwd should be honeychurch

Keeper27

#7
Salary cap left: $61,300.
Byes: 4/3/1 - 5/3/2 - 0/1/3 - 2/3/3 = 11/10/9

Sam Mitchell, Brodie Smith, Marley Williams, Shaun Atley, Matt Suckling, Luke McDonald
Jeremy Laidler, Matthew Fuller

Gary Ablett jnr, Scott Pendlebury, Trent Cotchin, Dayne Beams, Dale Thomas, Shane Savage, Jack Martin, Xavier Ellis
Luke Dunstan, Dayle Garlett

Matthew Lobbe, Aaron Sandilands
Fraser Thurlow, Toby Nankervis

Patrick Dangerfield, Lance Franklin, Matthew Pavlich, Jack Darling, Josh Caddy, Jarman Impey
Mitch Honeychurch, Lewis Taylor

Super Premo (Captain), Premo, Back to Best/Improvement

DEF
Mitchell - LOCK, tonned up 10 times, 1 time under 70, Standard Deviation of 24 (KEEPER)
Smith - tonned up 2 times, Standard Deviation of 17. More Midfield time should increase his score 10+
Williams - Standard Deviation of 19, 7th in the club's 2013 best and fairest, should increase 10+
Atley - i know he only avg'd in the low 70's all year, but a move into the Midfield will boost his scores 10-15+, standard deviation of 15.
Suckling - Bargain, should go 85+

MID
Ablett - tonned up 17 times, 1 time under 70. MUST HAVE. avg'd 132.7 over the last 6 years. (KEEPER)
Pendles - Tonned up 20 times last year, and the 2 times he didnt was against Freo (96) and GWS (92). (KEEPER)
11 times Over 120, with a Standard Deviation of ONLY 22.
Cotchin - tonned up 15 times, 2 time under 70, Standard Deviation of 23. Improve 10+ ppg (KEEPER)
Beams - tonned up 3 times in 7 games, 1 time under 70, Standard Deviation of 20. Improve 10-15 ppg (KEEPER)
Thomas - tonned up 2 times in 5 games. Bargain. Improve 15-20 ppg, ankle looks good for now
Savage - should improve with more mid time.
Martin - Better off to start with him and Downgrade if he stinks it up than finding 100K and upgrading if he starts tearing it up.

RUC
Lobbe - avg'd 113.83 in his last 6 games (including finals), also in an improving team. Minnow 2014?? Injury to Redden boost his status(KEEPER)
Sandi - 3 time under 70 (2 sub affected), Bargain. Looking Fit and ready to go

FWD
Danger - tonned up 13 times, 1 time under 70, 9 times over 120. (KEEPER)
Franklin - tonned up 9 times, improve 10-15. back to his best without contract talks. (KEEPER)
Pavlich - should get back to his best, full preseason. Improve 15+ ppg (KEEPER)
Darling - tonned up 5 times, Improve 10+
Caddy - Midfield time should improve his score 20+


i know my backline is risky, but i think D2-D5 will increase by 10+, early upgrades.
Darling to Zorko as he gets more midfield time
Savage to Grigg maybe?? Take out his score of 29 his avg is actually 95.25. Bargain.




rate, any advice welcome.

westy501

Heres your problem.... You have 8 defined 'keepers'... out of 30 players... you really need 13-15 'keepers' if you want to do well... too much risks I think... tone it down just a bit... I like your first team better so ill comment on that...

Defence: one more premium(blue) either atley or suclinkg need to be upgraded(which means finding cash)
Mid:dont have a problem with. Everyone is saying pendels or ablett or both(as you did in your second)... maybe try planning instead... both have rd 8 bye... so only 7 games you potentially don't have them... save the cash now and do a double/triple downgrade in round 8 and then a double upgrade to both in round 9... risky theory im looking at now... gives so much more cash to play with now though...
Rucks: im not sold on lobbe... redden going down helps but once he is back what happens to lobbe? 80avg... a wasted trade...
Fwd: is good... F5 is a big rick in Clarke but im struggling with my F5 and Clarke is better than mine


Go back to your first team and rework it... I really don't like your second team... Good Luck!

westy501

Quote from: Keeper27 on February 07, 2014, 10:49:52 AM
Savage - Take out his score of 29 his avg is actually 95.25. Bargain. Van Berlo out injured, spot open for him??

Where did you pull that from?? his scores are hopeless... in 15 games he got 2 tons and 8 under 70s... new club is only upside but way too inconsistant

Keeper27

Quote from: westy501 on February 07, 2014, 12:37:45 PM
Quote from: Keeper27 on February 07, 2014, 10:49:52 AM
Savage - Take out his score of 29 his avg is actually 95.25. Bargain. Van Berlo out injured, spot open for him??

Where did you pull that from?? his scores are hopeless... in 15 games he got 2 tons and 8 under 70s... new club is only upside but way too inconsistant

my bad that was for Grigg

Baggers2012

Quote from: westy501 on February 07, 2014, 12:37:45 PM
Quote from: Keeper27 on February 07, 2014, 10:49:52 AM
Savage - Take out his score of 29 his avg is actually 95.25. Bargain. Van Berlo out injured, spot open for him??

Where did you pull that from?? his scores are hopeless... in 15 games he got 2 tons and 8 under 70s... new club is only upside but way too inconsistant

I believe Savage actually averaged around 85 if you take out games where he was the sub/subbed. almost all of those under 70's your referring to are due to the red or green vest. He's not inconsistent like you suggest. He also will not be the sub/subbed much, if at all at St Kilda. Like many I believe he will average somewhere between 80-95, not enough for me to pick him though, Daisy is a must and I don't like the idea of two mid price midfielders, particularly with the value up forward.

Keeper27

Salary cap left: $42,700.
Byes: 4/3/1 - 4/3/3 - 0/1/3 - 2/1/5 = 11/7/12


Sam Mitchell, Ricky Henderson, David Swallow, Shaun Atley, Matt Suckling, Luke McDonald
Jeremy Laidler, Matthew Fuller

Gary Ablett jnr, Scott Pendlebury, Tom Rockliff, Dayne Beams, Thomas Curren, Dale Thomas, Jack Martin, Xavier Ellis
Luke Dunstan, Dayle Garlett

Hamish McIntosh, Aaron Sandilands
Fraser Thurlow, Toby Nankervis

Patrick Dangerfield, Lance Franklin, Matthew Pavlich, Dayne Zorko, Josh Caddy, Jarman Impey
Jay Kennedy-Harris, Lewis Taylor


Super Premo (Captain), Premo, Back to Best/Improvement

DEF
Mitchell - LOCK, tonned up 10 times, 1 time under 70, Standard Deviation of 24.  (KEEPER)
Hendo - tonned up 5 times, Rnd 14 to Rnd 20 he avg'd 105.42, includes an 85 against WCE, 3 Tons against Collingwood (106), Geelong (160) and Freo (110).  should go 90+  (KEEPER)
Swallow - looks likely to get more MID time. increase 10+
Atley - i know he only avg'd in the low 70's all year, standard deviation of 15, but a move into the Midfield will boost his scores 10-15+
Suckling - Bargain, should go 85+

MID
Ablett - tonned up 17 times, 1 time under 70. MUST HAVE. avg'd 132.7 over the last 6 years  (KEEPER)
Pendles - Tonned up 20 times last year, and the 2 times he didnt was against Freo (96) and GWS (92).  (KEEPER)
11 times Over 120.
Rockliff - tonned up 13 times, 2 time under 70. In the last 9 games he avg'd 128.22 WOW  :o  (KEEPER)
Beams - tonned up 3 times in 7 games, 1 time under 70, Standard Deviation of 20. Improve 10-15 ppg  (KEEPER)
Curren - in his last 4 games he avg'd 99 and didnt go under 70, should increase 15+
Thomas - tonned up 2 times in 5 games. Bargain. Improve 15-20 ppg, ankle looks good for now
Martin - Better off to start with him and Downgrade if he stinks it up than finding 100K and upgrading if he starts tearing it up.

RUC
McIntosh - killing the preseason, 85-90
Sandi - 3 time under 70 (2 sub affected), Bargain. Looking Fit and ready to go

FWD
Danger - tonned up 13 times, 1 time under 70, 9 times over 120. (KEEPER)
Franklin - tonned up 9 times, improve 10-15. back to his best without contract talks. (KEEPER)
Pavlich - should get back to his best, full preseason. Improve 15+ ppg (KEEPER)
Zorko - more midfield time, back to his 2012 form??  (KEEPER)
Caddy - Midfield time should improve his score 20+




rate, any advice welcome.

tor01doc

Very nice write up. Are you selling this team to yourself or others?

My only suggestion (personal preference) would be Zorko and Caddy into Wingard and whoever you can afford.

Also KK is a likely sort from several reports, so maybe same logic you use for Martin could be applied here. Atley out?

Rucks are going to be popular if they seem fit.

Nice.

Keeper27

#14
cheers for the help.
I seriously love this line up.
I think its seriously strong on all lines.
bit risky in some areas but I'd rather take a few risks than have a cookie cutter team.
got a few solid PODs who I think can avg very decent scores.