Stuck on who to field...check this out!

m_zulian · July 24, 2013, 08:30:44 PM

tossing up on who to field? underperforming premium vs rookie in good form
click the following link from the boys at Dreamteamtalk http://dreamteamtalk.com/2013/07/23/tbettas-bullets-round-17-2/
According to their formula, although its very close they recommend starting Nicholls over Dean Cox this week. NicNat being out should be considered though.
If you're not very good with stats or won't have much time between now and lockout I'm happy to crunch the numbers for you if you have a request as I have the next two days off work.

Projected scores
Barlow 105.3
Boyd 108.4
Clisby 49.9
Cox 80.3
Deledio 75.1
Dwyer 83.1
Gibbs 94.5
Grimes 77.9
Harbrow 80.8
Hartlett 61.6
Ibbotson 78.3
Mayes 71.4
Murphy 92.8
Nicholls 81.5
Robinson 78.5
Roughead 88.2
Scotland 75.4
Staker 80.9
Stokes 86.5
Thompson (Ade) 87.7
Titchell 87.9

pinochio · July 24, 2013, 09:14:21 PM

sounds great :)

gibbs v grimes

thx

its me lads · July 24, 2013, 09:29:22 PM

I had a quick read of that, not bad but I'm too lazy to work it out. If you're bored then could you do this one Grimes VS Hartlett. It's not necessary anymore with Hanley out I need to play both but interested to see who would get more.

m_zulian · July 24, 2013, 10:07:06 PM

Quote from: pinochio on July 24, 2013, 09:14:21 PM
sounds great :)

gibbs v grimes

thx

Done for you. Opponents are at opposite ends in average DT points allowed. Play Gibbs as players have been smashing it against GC recently.

m_zulian · July 24, 2013, 10:10:33 PM

Quote from: its me lads on July 24, 2013, 09:29:22 PM
I had a quick read of that, not bad but I'm too lazy to work it out. If you're bored then could you do this one Grimes VS Hartlett. It's not necessary anymore with Hanley out I need to play both but interested to see who would get more.

Done for you. Grimes should score more. I didn't include his injury game in his past 5 or mean season average.

pinochio · July 25, 2013, 08:38:15 AM

thanks hypes man!

pretty convincing for gibbs :)....still im obv hesitant on the crap he has dished out last 3 weeks!

with nicnat prob out you reckon cox over nicholls?

m_zulian · July 25, 2013, 09:11:44 AM

Quote from: pinochio on July 25, 2013, 08:38:15 AM
thanks hypes man!

pretty convincing for gibbs :)....still im obv hesitant on the crap he has dished out last 3 weeks!

with nicnat prob out you reckon cox over nicholls?

Yeah. Field cox

Ricochet · July 25, 2013, 11:05:44 AM

Could you do Staker v Harbrow? Cheers mate!

m_zulian · July 25, 2013, 02:57:29 PM

Quote from: Ricochet on July 25, 2013, 11:05:44 AM
Could you do Staker v Harbrow? Cheers mate!

Done for you. Very Close....Staker 80.9. vs Harbrow 80.8. Staker by the smallest of margins. Harbow more consistent last 5 games but Staker has easier opponent.

ADEZ · July 25, 2013, 04:44:20 PM

Hey would appreciate Titch vs. Marc Murphy, and Ibbo (compare with Grimes)
Cheer for you mate!

m_zulian · July 25, 2013, 05:16:46 PM

Quote from: ADEZ on July 25, 2013, 04:44:20 PM
Hey would appreciate Titch vs. Marc Murphy, and Ibbo (compare with Grimes)
Cheer for you mate!

Tichell 87.9 vs Murphy 92.8. Excluded Murphys injury game. GC have been leaking points the past 5 rounds so Murphy is the go. Ibbotson 78.3 vs Grimes 77.9. It's a close call, but main factor is Kangaroos have been most difficult to score against the past 5 rounds so field Ibbo

ADEZ · July 25, 2013, 05:49:21 PM

Top work! Cheers

henry · July 25, 2013, 06:38:34 PM

Staker vs robbinson please :) cheers mate

Alka · July 25, 2013, 06:44:47 PM

Titch v Deledio please. Great work mate. Any idea how accurate this is though? Would be great to have seen some comparison to past rounds.

m_zulian · July 25, 2013, 06:52:46 PM

Quote from: Alka on July 25, 2013, 06:44:47 PM
Titch v Deledio please. Great work mate. Any idea how accurate this is though? Would be great to have seen some comparison to past rounds.

Don't know. But, for the players I have compared I have noticed their opponent is a big factor.