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Started by Noz, March 21, 2013, 11:29:45 PM

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LordSneeze

#3945
From the early matches today
Knicks vs Nuggest - Under 211 (Knicks 2 big wins and Nuggets final game of 4 game road trip, possible to be a rusty and sloppy game.)
Timberwolves vs Heat - Timberwolves (No Whiteside means KAT should dominate)
Spurs vs Celtics - Spurs (Will be desperate to reverse a 2 game losing streak)

From the later matches
Warriors vs Clippers - Over 221.5 (Neither team can defend)
Raptors vs Trail Blazers - Trail Blazers (Have shot poorly for the last few matches and still got the victories or been close, coach come out and focused on defence, so expect high intensity defence that limits Raptors outside scoring)
Mavericks vs Jazz - Over 190 (Line feels too low, need a strong start though to make.)
Hornets vs Grizzlies - Over 193.5 (Line feels too low, Hornets win and I think this goes over, Grizzlies win and it might be close.)

LordSneeze

Went 4/7 and broke even for the day.

elephants

Been getting a lot of love hitting positive lines in the NBA so far this season. Given the unpredictability of the comp in general, positive lines seems to be the way to go imo! Magic and Lakers have been good teams to me thus far

WhatMate

Give up trying with your NBA tips and just follow this guy  ;D  :P

https://www.facebook.com/groups/126408244682131/

jvalles69

Quote from: WhatMate on November 02, 2017, 08:22:02 PM
Give up trying with your NBA tips and just follow this guy  ;D  :P

https://www.facebook.com/groups/126408244682131/

He doing ok?  There's another dude there somewhere who hit like 8/9 today.

elephants

Had a big day on the punt! Only Orlando stood between a 2k profit but I'll take half that. Withdrawing hard now ;)




Where's that bloke that absolutely killed it on player performance markets for NBA last yr? Turned 20 bucks into 2k in a week or something mental

WhatMate

Quote from: jvalles69 on November 03, 2017, 01:30:14 AM
Quote from: WhatMate on November 02, 2017, 08:22:02 PM
Give up trying with your NBA tips and just follow this guy  ;D  :P

https://www.facebook.com/groups/126408244682131/

He doing ok?  There's another dude there somewhere who hit like 8/9 today.
Over 20 units up this season  ;D

jvalles69

Quote from: WhatMate on November 05, 2017, 03:39:25 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on November 03, 2017, 01:30:14 AM
Quote from: WhatMate on November 02, 2017, 08:22:02 PM
Give up trying with your NBA tips and just follow this guy  ;D  :P

https://www.facebook.com/groups/126408244682131/

He doing ok?  There's another dude there somewhere who hit like 8/9 today.
Over 20 units up this season  ;D

Nice, followed him randomly but might bail on my own picks as it's too much work!

LordSneeze

I always prefer to follow my own opinions as then I can only blame myself when I get them wrong.

Im always wary of following anyone online as betting is a came of variance and margins, if you can consistently pick the odds which provide a positive VE you are likely to end up ahead in the long run. Anyone is able to have good or bad short term streaks. Me might be 20 units up right now, but there is no guarantee that this is not just an outlier period.

jvalles69

Quote from: LordSneeze on November 06, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
I always prefer to follow my own opinions as then I can only blame myself when I get them wrong.

Im always wary of following anyone online as betting is a came of variance and margins, if you can consistently pick the odds which provide a positive VE you are likely to end up ahead in the long run. Anyone is able to have good or bad short term streaks. Me might be 20 units up right now, but there is no guarantee that this is not just an outlier period.

The guys I tend to follow have some sort of system in place and seem to be much more successful than the casual punter.  If these guys are willing to do the research for me, then it free's up my time and helps me out a lot.  I have taken my time to weed out the casual punter and the systematic approaches though which is very important.

WhatMate

Quote from: jvalles69 on November 06, 2017, 02:02:55 PM
Quote from: LordSneeze on November 06, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
I always prefer to follow my own opinions as then I can only blame myself when I get them wrong.

Im always wary of following anyone online as betting is a came of variance and margins, if you can consistently pick the odds which provide a positive VE you are likely to end up ahead in the long run. Anyone is able to have good or bad short term streaks. Me might be 20 units up right now, but there is no guarantee that this is not just an outlier period.

The guys I tend to follow have some sort of system in place and seem to be much more successful than the casual punter.  If these guys are willing to do the research for me, then it free's up my time and helps me out a lot.  I have taken my time to weed out the casual punter and the systematic approaches though which is very important.
Yeh i generally watch someone for a bit before following them. The guy in question finished over 60 units up last season and has a healthy group of dedicated followers. Those signs give me faith

jvalles69

Quote from: WhatMate on November 06, 2017, 10:53:33 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on November 06, 2017, 02:02:55 PM
Quote from: LordSneeze on November 06, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
I always prefer to follow my own opinions as then I can only blame myself when I get them wrong.

Im always wary of following anyone online as betting is a came of variance and margins, if you can consistently pick the odds which provide a positive VE you are likely to end up ahead in the long run. Anyone is able to have good or bad short term streaks. Me might be 20 units up right now, but there is no guarantee that this is not just an outlier period.

The guys I tend to follow have some sort of system in place and seem to be much more successful than the casual punter.  If these guys are willing to do the research for me, then it free's up my time and helps me out a lot.  I have taken my time to weed out the casual punter and the systematic approaches though which is very important.
Yeh i generally watch someone for a bit before following them. The guy in question finished over 60 units up last season and has a healthy group of dedicated followers. Those signs give me faith

He only got 1/4 today, glad I only got on the 1 winner.  ;D

R.Griffen

Quote from: jvalles69 on November 07, 2017, 12:27:19 AM
Quote from: WhatMate on November 06, 2017, 10:53:33 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on November 06, 2017, 02:02:55 PM
Quote from: LordSneeze on November 06, 2017, 01:10:06 PM
I always prefer to follow my own opinions as then I can only blame myself when I get them wrong.

Im always wary of following anyone online as betting is a came of variance and margins, if you can consistently pick the odds which provide a positive VE you are likely to end up ahead in the long run. Anyone is able to have good or bad short term streaks. Me might be 20 units up right now, but there is no guarantee that this is not just an outlier period.

The guys I tend to follow have some sort of system in place and seem to be much more successful than the casual punter.  If these guys are willing to do the research for me, then it free's up my time and helps me out a lot.  I have taken my time to weed out the casual punter and the systematic approaches though which is very important.
Yeh i generally watch someone for a bit before following them. The guy in question finished over 60 units up last season and has a healthy group of dedicated followers. Those signs give me faith
He only got 1/4 today, glad I only got on the 1 winner.  ;D
Starting to doubt him a bit. Actually got on the other side of the line for the suns game

JBs-Hawks

He's killing my sports bet account

jvalles69

Quote from: JBs-Hawks on November 07, 2017, 07:06:45 PM
He's killing my sports bet account

That's your first problem, gotta be the worst bookie in the country by a mile.