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Started by Noz, March 21, 2013, 11:29:45 PM

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jvalles69

Quote from: WhatMate on August 15, 2017, 07:08:04 PM
Anyone follow any tipping services?

What do you mean "tipping"?  Footy tipping or bet tipping? PM me...

WhatMate

Quote from: jvalles69 on August 15, 2017, 07:40:21 PM
Quote from: WhatMate on August 15, 2017, 07:08:04 PM
Anyone follow any tipping services?

What do you mean "tipping"?  Footy tipping or bet tipping? PM me...
PM'd, but bet tipping for anyone else that wasnt sure

jvalles69

#3872
Thoughts on Crows vs Swans, I'm thinking Crows get the job done by a small margin.

Crows @ $2 on Ladbrokes - $50
Swans +10.5 @ $1.92 - $52

Crows win by over 10.5 break even.
Swans win lose $6.
Crows win by under 10.5 $96 profit.

Or

Crows @ $2 on Ladbrokes - $50
Swans @ $2.35 - $42.50

Crows win $7.50 profit
Swans win break even

Or

Crows @ $2 on Ladbrokes - $50
Swans 1-39 @ $2.95 - $34

Crows win $16 profit
Swans win 1-39 break even
Swans 40+ lose $84

jvalles69

A few other bits of research.

I see Bombers winning their games by bigger margins than Melbourne and therefore Bombers finish 8th based on %.  Demons paying $5 to miss the 8, Bombers paying $2.10 to make the 8.

Got on Roo's to finish last @ $6.50.  Lions got the win last week.  Can't see North getting another win, but can see Blues upsetting Hawks this weekend, if all goes to plan its a lock.

I built-a-bet on William Hill: Bombers make the 8; Demons miss the 8; Roos woodern spoon @ $26.  Giddy up!

elephants

Quote from: jvalles69 on August 18, 2017, 04:57:43 PM
Thoughts on Crows vs Swans, I'm thinking Crows get the job done by a small margin.

Crows @ $2 on Ladbrokes - $50
Swans +10.5 @ $1.92 - $52

Crows win by over 10.5 break even.
Swans win lose $6.
Crows win by under 10.5 $96 profit.

Or

Crows @ $2 on Ladbrokes - $50
Swans @ $2.35 - $42.50

Crows win $7.50 profit
Swans win break even

Or

Crows @ $2 on Ladbrokes - $50
Swans 1-39 @ $2.95 - $34

Crows win $16 profit
Swans win 1-39 break even
Swans 40+ lose $84

Yeah love these, but I do think the Swans have more to play for given their position on the ladder, get their skipper back this week. I reckon they edge this in a really tight one!

Quote from: jvalles69 on August 18, 2017, 05:19:23 PM
A few other bits of research.

I see Bombers winning their games by bigger margins than Melbourne and therefore Bombers finish 8th based on %.  Demons paying $5 to miss the 8, Bombers paying $2.10 to make the 8.

Got on Roo's to finish last @ $6.50.  Lions got the win last week.  Can't see North getting another win, but can see Blues upsetting Hawks this weekend, if all goes to plan its a lock.

I built-a-bet on William Hill: Bombers make the 8; Demons miss the 8; Roos woodern spoon @ $26.  Giddy up!

Not too bad, but Melb surely too good for the Pies with a finals spot on the line?

Spose @ $26 you've got to have a dig haha!

jvalles69

QuoteYeah love these, but I do think the Swans have more to play for given their position on the ladder, get their skipper back this week. I reckon they edge this in a really tight one!

So I should take Crows @ $2 and Swans +10.5.

QuoteNot too bad, but Melb surely too good for the Pies with a finals spot on the line?

Don't forget what happened last year, lol!

WhatMate

Quote from: jvalles69 on August 18, 2017, 06:09:34 PM
QuoteYeah love these, but I do think the Swans have more to play for given their position on the ladder, get their skipper back this week. I reckon they edge this in a really tight one!

So I should take Crows @ $2 and Swans +10.5.

QuoteNot too bad, but Melb surely too good for the Pies with a finals spot on the line?

Don't forget what happened last year, lol!
Why dont you take the swans on Ubet. If your team leads at half time and loses = cash back. Crows have been finishing games off strongly so highly possible.

WhatMate

Quote from: jvalles69 on August 18, 2017, 05:19:23 PM
A few other bits of research.

I see Bombers winning their games by bigger margins than Melbourne and therefore Bombers finish 8th based on %.  Demons paying $5 to miss the 8, Bombers paying $2.10 to make the 8.

Got on Roo's to finish last @ $6.50.  Lions got the win last week.  Can't see North getting another win, but can see Blues upsetting Hawks this weekend, if all goes to plan its a lock.

I built-a-bet on William Hill: Bombers make the 8; Demons miss the 8; Roos woodern spoon @ $26.  Giddy up!
I hope hawks get up, chucked a small bet on them to make the 8  :P Got it covered with essendon who im pretty certain will make the 8

Still possible though a few things have to go their way  ;D

jvalles69

Quote from: WhatMate on August 18, 2017, 06:37:22 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on August 18, 2017, 06:09:34 PM
QuoteYeah love these, but I do think the Swans have more to play for given their position on the ladder, get their skipper back this week. I reckon they edge this in a really tight one!

So I should take Crows @ $2 and Swans +10.5.

QuoteNot too bad, but Melb surely too good for the Pies with a finals spot on the line?

Don't forget what happened last year, lol!
Why dont you take the swans on Ubet. If your team leads at half time and loses = cash back. Crows have been finishing games off strongly so highly possible.

Not a bad idea!

WhatMate

Quote from: jvalles69 on August 18, 2017, 06:44:37 PM
Quote from: WhatMate on August 18, 2017, 06:37:22 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on August 18, 2017, 06:09:34 PM
QuoteYeah love these, but I do think the Swans have more to play for given their position on the ladder, get their skipper back this week. I reckon they edge this in a really tight one!

So I should take Crows @ $2 and Swans +10.5.

QuoteNot too bad, but Melb surely too good for the Pies with a finals spot on the line?

Don't forget what happened last year, lol!
Why dont you take the swans on Ubet. If your team leads at half time and loses = cash back. Crows have been finishing games off strongly so highly possible.

Not a bad idea!
Didnt do a great job at explaining it but i think you understand :P

jvalles69

Quote from: WhatMate on August 18, 2017, 08:06:37 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on August 18, 2017, 06:44:37 PM
Quote from: WhatMate on August 18, 2017, 06:37:22 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on August 18, 2017, 06:09:34 PM
QuoteYeah love these, but I do think the Swans have more to play for given their position on the ladder, get their skipper back this week. I reckon they edge this in a really tight one!

So I should take Crows @ $2 and Swans +10.5.

QuoteNot too bad, but Melb surely too good for the Pies with a finals spot on the line?

Don't forget what happened last year, lol!
Why dont you take the swans on Ubet. If your team leads at half time and loses = cash back. Crows have been finishing games off strongly so highly possible.

Not a bad idea!
Didnt do a great job at explaining it but i think you understand :P

Ended up going Crows @ $2 and Swans +10.5 @ $1.90...so bloody close!

CrowsFan 2.0

If you want some free money...


WhatMate

Know nothing about UFC, what makes you so sure?

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: WhatMate on August 27, 2017, 01:01:00 PM
Know nothing about UFC, what makes you so sure?

That's his brother ;)

CrowsFan 2.0

#3884
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on August 27, 2017, 01:36:20 PM
Quote from: WhatMate on August 27, 2017, 01:01:00 PM
Know nothing about UFC, what makes you so sure?

That's his brother ;)
Yes exactly haha.
Turns out william hill has much better odds too. Got him listed at $2.20.
TAB and bet365 have him as $2.25...
A shame I already bet with sports bet  :'(