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Started by Noz, March 21, 2013, 11:29:45 PM

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WhatMate

Quote from: AaronKirk on May 18, 2017, 10:40:09 AM
The 2 Multi's I had were Thiem sets 2-0, Carreno Busta/Bautista Agut Over 22.5 games, Goffin H2H.

The other one was Thiem/Cuevas under 22.5 games, Carreno Busta/Bautista Agut Over 22.5 games, Goffin H2H

Thiem won 7-6, 6-4. Keeps multi 1 alive and kills multi 2. There were 23 games played.
Carreno Busta/Bautista Agut Over 22.5 was easy. Went 30 games
Come on Goffin!
Went both of them two. Placed a hedge bet to make up the losses of multi 2 and also cover multi 1 if it fails  :)

WhatMate

Glad i hedged it now. Hope you did too! Cheers for the tip though mate.

kilbluff1985

looks like the forecast of rain this weekend has gone  lol wtf

AaronKirk

Quote from: WhatMate on May 19, 2017, 01:08:10 AM
Glad i hedged it now. Hope you did too! Cheers for the tip though mate.

Didn't expect Cilic to win that game. Ah well.

Dominic Thiem has just taken the first set in the QF against Nadal. This is after his very competitive performance against Nadal in the Final of Madrid last week.

He is $13 to win the French Open. He should on form be the 2nd favorite and therefore is well over his true odds. If he is drawn on the opposite side of the draw to Nadal I will be having something on him.

His true price should be around $8 now. If he is on the opposite side of the draw to Nadal closer to $5-6 equal 2nd fave with Djokovic.

Alexander Zverev at $51 also seems excessive given his good form.

AaronKirk

For the ladies singles at the French Open Halep probably is the form player going into the tournament but there is no way I would take $4.50 about her when Muguruza and Kerber are both at $10.

Muguruza and Kerber both have won slams and Halep has not.

Kiki Bertens made the Quarter Finals in Madrid and is into the semi finals of Rome. At $51 maybe worth a play.

jvalles69

Got the Swans 40+ again this week paying $9.50. Yew!

Gandalf123

Quote from: jvalles69 on May 20, 2017, 05:33:41 PM
Got the Swans 40+ again this week paying $9.50. Yew!
Not bad, not bad at all

HoleMeal

Quote from: jvalles69 on May 20, 2017, 05:33:41 PM
Got the Swans 40+ again this week paying $9.50. Yew!
very nice

i had $10 on the Giants at 3/4 time at $3.80  ;)

jvalles69

North 1-39 for me today.

LaHug

I need Neale to score 110+ to win $100 on a small multi

Mat0369

Quote from: LaHug on May 21, 2017, 03:06:36 PM
I need Neale to score 110+ to win $100 on a small multi

Neale 140+ and a Freo loss would be nice

WhatMate

Quote from: jvalles69 on May 20, 2017, 05:33:41 PM
Got the Swans 40+ again this week paying $9.50. Yew!
multied that with crows and gws win and Bulldogs/Geelong either team under 25 points for odds of $20

LordSneeze

Quote from: AaronKirk on May 20, 2017, 02:21:02 AM
For the ladies singles at the French Open Halep probably is the form player going into the tournament but there is no way I would take $4.50 about her when Muguruza and Kerber are both at $10.

Muguruza and Kerber both have won slams and Halep has not.

Kiki Bertens made the Quarter Finals in Madrid and is into the semi finals of Rome. At $51 maybe worth a play.

In the womens field here are some of my thoughts.

Ill be having small bets on Mladenovic, Bertens & Siegemund outright. Nothing standsout as a a good chance to make the final, let alone win, so the longer odds might be worth a smaller gamble.

Halep - $4.50 - Rightly Fav to win, but at 4.50 you value is pretty low on a player that has never performed at GS
Muguruza - $10 - Solid value, but questions marks now given a injury withdraw this week.
Svitolina - $13 - very up and down, can beat anyone including herself.
Kerber - $17 - Out of form, never been the greatest clay court player, will be surprised if she in the semis.
Kuznetsova - $17 - Been around the game for a long time, pretty crafty on court, but as Gavrilova showed she is beatable by alot of players
Mlandovic - $17 - Lost to both Halep & Siegemund in Finals in the leadup events. Both tight 3 set matches. Outside chance, but feel better value elsewhere.
Siegemund - $26 - Been good in the leadup except for a very unforced error riddled match vs Halep. Not sure she will be able to run through, but is really good value if draw is favourable
Bertens - $41 - Has the game to beat anyone if her form is on. Might be worth a sneaky chance.

Mens Qualies start tomorrow with draw at 6pm Paris time. Not sure if i will have the time to research 48 matches before work.

LaHug

Quote from: LaHug on May 21, 2017, 03:06:36 PM
I need Neale to score 110+ to win $100 on a small multi

He couldn't manage 18 points in the fourth. Ffs

AaronKirk

Quote from: AaronKirk on May 20, 2017, 02:12:32 AM
Alexander Zverev at $51 also seems excessive given his good form.

Good thing I had a small bet on this. With Crownbet he is into $19. His odds are currently suspended with Sportsbet.