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Started by Noz, March 21, 2013, 11:29:45 PM

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LaHug

Quote from: LordSneeze on March 28, 2017, 02:08:46 PM
but do feel that Collingwood  @ 1.75 is pretty good value.

It's excellent value and I'll probably put it in most of my multis. Grundy is better than Kreuzer and I think our midfield will be exploited against a better ruckman with better contest winners (Pendles, Treloar, Adams, Sidebottom). I'd stay away from line betting because Richmond's defence is good enough to slow Collingwood (much like the Doggies did) and our forwards should get a few goals from pressure alone. I could see something like Collingwood doubling Richmond's inside 50s but only winning by 2 goals.

elephants

Quote from: LaHug on March 28, 2017, 02:16:41 PM
Quote from: LordSneeze on March 28, 2017, 02:08:46 PM
but do feel that Collingwood  @ 1.75 is pretty good value.

It's excellent value and I'll probably put it in most of my multis. Grundy is better than Kreuzer and I think our midfield will be exploited against a better ruckman with better contest winners (Pendles, Treloar, Adams, Sidebottom). I'd stay away from line betting because Richmond's defence is good enough to slow Collingwood (much like the Doggies did) and our forwards should get a few goals from pressure alone. I could see something like Collingwood doubling Richmond's inside 50s but only winning by 2 goals.

Certainly agree, I'll be using them for the tabtouch $50 bonus and potentially looking to multi them with some Friday NRL action

Rusty00

Quote from: jvalles69 on March 28, 2017, 01:48:29 PM
Anyone actually beaten Barry or Wendell on Draftstars yet?
I only played the Thursday night games last week. I tried to match a few of their players and then pick a couple different that I was more confident in. I beat Barry comfortably by picking Nank in the group that he picked Dennis :o I lost to Wendell by 4 points I think.

Cos I'm from SA I can't go in the free ones, so I went in the $1 games and only got back $1.47 for beating Barry :P

Boomz

#3198
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 28, 2017, 01:48:29 PM
Anyone actually beaten Barry or Wendell on Draftstars yet?

I beat Barry on Sunday and got a nice $25 coz he came top 500. Beat Wendell in two but I'm hopeless at NRL so that was just a fluke.


R.Griffen

Quote from: LaHug on March 27, 2017, 09:34:11 AM
Quote from: R.Griffen on March 27, 2017, 01:27:34 AM
took all the overs total game score on Thursday night in a multi huge $$$ wish I put more than $5 on it but huge profit

get on the unders this week? :P

What were the odds? That's a really smart bet with the rules changes and I wish I'd thought of it.




I lost all my bets on Saturday and was down $60 for the weekend. Chucked $50 on a basketball special at $2.50 odds and won, then won Mitchell DT over, Fyfe DT over, and Danger DT over (all just small $10 singles). All of a sudden, up $40 for the weekend :)
$320 odd. Was happy I multied them up. I got the Dockers vs Cats game at 164.5. Think it was 182.5 by the time the game started due to the other high scoring games

WhatMate

#3200
Quote from: elephants on March 28, 2017, 03:10:34 PM
Quote from: LaHug on March 28, 2017, 02:16:41 PM
Quote from: LordSneeze on March 28, 2017, 02:08:46 PM
but do feel that Collingwood  @ 1.75 is pretty good value.

It's excellent value and I'll probably put it in most of my multis. Grundy is better than Kreuzer and I think our midfield will be exploited against a better ruckman with better contest winners (Pendles, Treloar, Adams, Sidebottom). I'd stay away from line betting because Richmond's defence is good enough to slow Collingwood (much like the Doggies did) and our forwards should get a few goals from pressure alone. I could see something like Collingwood doubling Richmond's inside 50s but only winning by 2 goals.

Certainly agree, I'll be using them for the tabtouch $50 bonus and potentially looking to multi them with some Friday NRL action
Going to wait on ladbrokes to see if they offer anything. Go for 24 on Richmond via tabtouch at 2.10 and hopefully 50 on collingwood at 2 via ladrbokes

EDIT: Ladbrokes offering collingwood at 2.30

EDIT: What I said above about putting 24 on Richmond doesnt make sense as i still lose 25  ::) Would take 48 bucks on Carlton for a draw to be the only way money is lost.. Whats everyone thinking on Richmond kicking 60+?

Boomz

Quote from: WhatMate on March 28, 2017, 07:58:39 PM
Quote from: elephants on March 28, 2017, 03:10:34 PM
Quote from: LaHug on March 28, 2017, 02:16:41 PM
Quote from: LordSneeze on March 28, 2017, 02:08:46 PM
but do feel that Collingwood  @ 1.75 is pretty good value.

It's excellent value and I'll probably put it in most of my multis. Grundy is better than Kreuzer and I think our midfield will be exploited against a better ruckman with better contest winners (Pendles, Treloar, Adams, Sidebottom). I'd stay away from line betting because Richmond's defence is good enough to slow Collingwood (much like the Doggies did) and our forwards should get a few goals from pressure alone. I could see something like Collingwood doubling Richmond's inside 50s but only winning by 2 goals.

Certainly agree, I'll be using them for the tabtouch $50 bonus and potentially looking to multi them with some Friday NRL action
Going to wait on ladbrokes to see if they offer anything. Go for 24 on Richmond via tabtouch at 2.10 and hopefully 50 on collingwood at 2 via ladrbokes

EDIT: Ladbrokes offering collingwood at 2.30

EDIT: What I said above about putting 24 on Richmond doesnt make sense as i still lose 25  ::) Would take 48 bucks on Carlton for a draw to be the only way money is lost.. Whats everyone thinking on Richmond kicking 60+?

I reckon they will get 60 easy, Collingwood's backline is pretty weak.

WhatMate

Getting on Chievo (Italian Serie A) and RedBull Lezpig (German Bundesliga) in a nice little multi this weekend paying over $2

Chievo playing at home against Crotone who have only managed 2 points away in 14 games.

Lezpig playing at home against Damstadt who have 0 away points away in 12 games

jvalles69

Round 2 AFL Tabtouch
Pies over Tigers @ $1.75
Swans over Dogs @ $2.50 (cos they'll be pissed losing to Port and they won't score under 60)
Crows over Hawks @ $1.67
GWS over GC @ $1.12 (prob not worth going after this one at all)
Eagles over Saints @ $1.16 (as above)
Lions over Bombers @ $2.95 (think Bombers win, but Lions got some confidence last week)
Cats over Roos @ $1.22 (see GWS and Eagles)
Dees over Blues @ $1.20 (see GWS, Eagles and Cats)
Power over Dockers @ $1.30 (see GWS, Eagles, Cats and Dees)

LordSneeze

Pies, Swans, Crows looks like a nice little multi

LaHug

William Hill special: Dusty & Treloar to combine for 65+ possies and 3+ goals @$7. Should be pretty safe, no?

Rusty00

Quote from: LaHug on March 29, 2017, 04:22:39 PM
William Hill special: Dusty & Treloar to combine for 65+ possies and 3+ goals @$7. Should be pretty safe, no?
It does seem good value. After last week Collingwood might try and put some work into Dusty, not sure who could slow him down though?

elephants

Quote from: LaHug on March 29, 2017, 04:22:39 PM
William Hill special: Dusty & Treloar to combine for 65+ possies and 3+ goals @$7. Should be pretty safe, no?

Not bad, is there a max bet?

LaHug

Max bet $50. Even if we think Collingwood might try to slow Dusty, they're ludicrous odds. You'd think around $3-4 at worst for something like that. 33 possies each last week so it's definitely the disposals that make it tough.

Last year:
Dusty - 30 & 1, 34 & 1
Treloar - 32 & 0, 24 & 0

Maybe not as good as I thought?

elephants

Quote from: LaHug on March 29, 2017, 05:21:21 PM
Max bet $50. Even if we think Collingwood might try to slow Dusty, they're ludicrous odds. You'd think around $3-4 at worst for something like that. 33 possies each last week so it's definitely the disposals that make it tough.

Last year:
Dusty - 30 & 1, 34 & 1
Treloar - 32 & 0, 24 & 0

Maybe not as good as I thought?

Yeah well it is paying $7 so it's no guarantee :P I personally won't touch it (banned from WH anyway) and I reckon they're taking advantage of people getting sucked into the Dusty hype. Especially if they try to lock him down hard through the middle he could just slide forward and kick 3 or 4 from 20-25 possies, therefore forcing Treloar to need 40+ to get the win.

I'm happy to leave it, could be worth a tenner depending if I am able to watch the game or not.