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Started by Noz, March 21, 2013, 11:29:45 PM

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Dave085

Nat Fyfe has blown out to $2.25 as Brownlow favourite now that news breaks he will miss the last 2. Still worth getting on?

I thought the odds would drop seeing as he wont be suspended now. Pretty sure he was below $2 before today.

The_Captain

He should of gotten shorter after today's news! 2 weeks off means suspension possible... Hand him the brownlow now!

Mat0369

I don't bet unless I get a free bet from Centrebet, but I posted this in the NFL thread and figure I would put it here as well


I watched Philly put up 39 points in a half against the Pack. I know it is pre-season and that Rodgers didn't start, but damn it was impressive. It was their 3rd pre-season game in a row where they put up huge points.

I wanted to see what we are paying to win the division and we are now the favourite. Going into the season Dallas were shorter priced favs to win the division (and are at $17 compared to Philly's $21 to win the SB.) It lead me to check out a few other markets with some really good value.

Regular season MVP: JJ Watt $19. I think he has to be the best value pick, that is just ridiculous odds for someone that was so dominant last season. Only argument for him to be that highly priced is the fact he was so dominant and didn't win.

Most receiving yards: Julio Jones $7. Second fav to Brown at $6.50 but I think for yardage totals Julio could be the guy.

Highest scoring team: Philadelphia Eagles $8. The team is scoring at will in the pre-season, again I know it is pre-season, but holy f'ing sheet. At $8 they are ranked  5th and behind the Pats who will be without Brady for 4 games. Value bet easily there. Philly also score in all 3 facets of the game (O, D and ST) so they should put up points regardless and will likely get into a few shootouts.

Most TD's: I have 4 guys for this category

Randall Cobb $17. He has a shoulder sprain, but he should be fine the start of the season. Packers will be missing Jordy and Randall was a TD beast last season catching 12. The fact he gets more looks means he should pull a few more down.

Megatron $21. If Megatron is healthy he is probably the best red zone threat in the league. It looks like he is healthy and won't be playing decoy, with a questionable run game and Tate to take a few looks away I think his TD totals bounce back.

Mike Evans $41. With inconsistent QB play last year, as a rookie Mike Evans still caught 12 TD's. Those numbers are super impressive, if Winston can build some chemistry with Evans there is no reason why that total can't rise, he is probably the riskiest of this bunch, but at $41 he still seems too good in terms of value.

This one is my sneaky fav

Jordan Matthews $51. He caught 8 TD's with Sanchize at QB for most of the year. See if you can watch his catch against the Pack early in the game, it is contested, he clunks it and his body control is amazing. If Philly score tons of points, this guy is going to get on the end of a lot of redzone looks. The kid is a beast and if Bradford is healthy expect those TD numbers to go up.

OBJ at $10 is also pretty good but I think he obviously doesn't present the value that the other guys do. Looking at his stats last year over 16 games he probably is the number 1 WR on the season.

AaronKirk

Pornichet to win in the Chelmsford Stakes at Randwick on Saturday. Should turn the tables on Royal Descent. Kermadec will run well again but loooking for further and gets back in its runs. The favourite Hartnell will need the run.

Saturday Randwick Race 6 Number 2

Current fixed price odds with Sportsbet $4.80

The_Captain

Quote from: AaronKirk on September 03, 2015, 04:36:46 AM
Pornichet to win in the Chelmsford Stakes at Randwick on Saturday. Should turn the tables on Royal Descent. Kermadec will run well again but loooking for further and gets back in its runs. The favourite Hartnell will need the run.

Saturday Randwick Race 6 Number 2

Current fixed price odds with Sportsbet $4.80

How much you put on it?

AaronKirk

Quote from: The_Captain on September 03, 2015, 10:35:35 AM
Quote from: AaronKirk on September 03, 2015, 04:36:46 AM
Pornichet to win in the Chelmsford Stakes at Randwick on Saturday. Should turn the tables on Royal Descent. Kermadec will run well again but loooking for further and gets back in its runs. The favourite Hartnell will need the run.

Saturday Randwick Race 6 Number 2

Current fixed price odds with Sportsbet $4.80

How much you put on it?

Ill be putting $100 on it, I would like the price to drift out a bit. Still $4.80 with sportsbet.

The race has a money back special up to 100 with sportsbet so if it runs 2nd you get your money back.

ADEZ

Staying away from the matches this week but like a few of the player exotics:
Hannebery to win Coaches association @$3 on Williamhill
Ryder 3+ goals @ $6 on SB, paying $2.60 elsewhere
R. Gray 3+goals @ $6.80 on SB, paying $3 elsewhere

The_Captain

Quote from: AaronKirk on September 04, 2015, 02:15:57 PM
Quote from: The_Captain on September 03, 2015, 10:35:35 AM
Quote from: AaronKirk on September 03, 2015, 04:36:46 AM
Pornichet to win in the Chelmsford Stakes at Randwick on Saturday. Should turn the tables on Royal Descent. Kermadec will run well again but loooking for further and gets back in its runs. The favourite Hartnell will need the run.

Saturday Randwick Race 6 Number 2

Current fixed price odds with Sportsbet $4.80

How much you put on it?

Ill be putting $100 on it, I would like the price to drift out a bit. Still $4.80 with sportsbet.

The race has a money back special up to 100 with sportsbet so if it runs 2nd you get your money back.

Chucked 10 on it. cant hurt lol,.


jvalles69

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 08, 2015, 10:12:04 AM
https://www.ladbrokes.com.au/sports/australian-rules/12049148-boxed-trifecta-brownlow-medal-2015/12049148-boxed-trifecta-brownlow-medal-2015/?a=539527&d=TWEET250

ladbrokes offering boxed trifectas

Surely top 3 would be Fyfe, Priddis and Danger?  Can't really see anyone else taking it to those 3.  People keep talking Hanners, but he doesn't have a history of polling yet just like JPK when he was farvourite a few seasons back.

ADEZ

I agree that it will likely be those three but I think I'll avoid the trifectas for now, Hanners did poll 21 in '13...I think Fyfe, Danger, Priddis, Mitchell, Hanners, JPK and Goldy could all potentially push top 3

The_Captain

Fyfe danger hanner at 9s look likely for me, or fyfe danger pendles at 34s for a bit of value!!!

kilbluff1985

logged onto sportsbet this morning and i have a $25 free bet dunno how i didn't even know

not sure what to put it on

jvalles69

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 08, 2015, 05:38:51 PM
logged onto sportsbet this morning and i have a $25 free bet dunno how i didn't even know

not sure what to put it on

West Coast 1-39 would be paying ok!  ;D

kilbluff1985

Quote from: jvalles69 on September 08, 2015, 05:40:45 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 08, 2015, 05:38:51 PM
logged onto sportsbet this morning and i have a $25 free bet dunno how i didn't even know

not sure what to put it on

West Coast 1-39 would be paying ok!  ;D

done #yolo