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Brownlow Votes

Started by kilbluff1985, March 21, 2013, 12:17:38 AM

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Ricochet

#465
Looking at the betting markets for most votes (team)

Adelaide
P. Dangerfield 19  @1.01
R. Sloane 10  @10.00
S. Thompson 10   @17.00
R. Douglas 9    @26.00

Brisbane
T. Rockliff 14    @1.28
P. Hanley 9    @3.75

Carlton
K. Simpson 11    @12.00
M. Murphy 11    @2.75
B. McLean 9    @2.75
A. Walker 7    @10.00
C. Judd 6    @2.75
L. Henderson 3    @12.00

Collingwood
S. Pendlebury 27    @2.00
D. Swan 24    @1.80
S. Sidebottom 7    @21.00
H. O'Brien 6    @51.00

Essendon
J. Watson 19    @1.01
B. Goddard 10    @17.00
D. Heppell 8    @12.00
B. Stanton 6    @26.00

Fremantle
N. Fyfe 17    @1.45
M. Barlow 17    @2.50
D. Mundy 11    @8.00

Geelong
J. Selwood 31    @1.05
S. Johnson 20    @7.00

GWS
J. Cameron 3    @1.44
C. Ward 3    @3.50
D. Shiel 1    @12.00
L. Whitfield 1    @21.00
A. Treloar 0    @21.00
T. Scully 0    @41.00
Any other GWS player    @8.00

Hawthorn
S. Mitchell 22     @1.50
J. Roughead 19    @5.00
L. Hodge 12    @3.25
J. Lewis 8    @51.00

Melbourne
N. Jones 4    @1.25
J. Grimes 2    @10.00
J. Watts 1    @6.00
Any other Melbourne player    @8.00

North Melbourne
B. Harvey 15    @1.80
J. Ziebell 11    @8.00
D. Wells 8    @2.20

Port Adelaide
H. Hartlett 13    @7.00
T. Boak 11    @1.15
C. Wingard 11    @7.00
J. Westhoff 6    @51.00

Richmond
D. Martin 14    @3.00
B. Deledio 14    @4.00
T. Cotchin 12    @1.70
B. Ellis 9    @26.00

Saint Kilda
L. Montagna 14    @1.90
J. Steven 10    @2.10
N. Riewoldt 6    @6.00

Sydney
D. Hannebery 16    @2.10
K. Jack 16    @2.00
J. McVeigh 15    @8.00
J. P Kennedy 15    @6.00
R. O'Keefe 15    @51.00

West Coast
M. Priddis 12    @1.36
D. Cox 10    @3.50
S. Selwood 6    @17.00
J. Kennedy 4    @9.00
Masten 0     @16.00

Western Bulldogs
R. Griffen 16    @1.02
T. Liberatore  15    @8.00
A. Cooney 7    @21.00

LF

Libba has nice odds there

Ricochet

The value i see here is...

Carlton
K. Simpson 11    @12.00
M. Murphy 11    @2.75

B. McLean 9    @2.75
A. Walker 7    @10.00
C. Judd 6    @2.75
L. Henderson 3    @12.00

GWS
J. Cameron 3    @1.44
C. Ward 3    @3.50
D. Shiel 1    @12.00
L. Whitfield 1    @21.00
A. Treloar 0    @21.00
T. Scully 0    @41.00
Any other GWS player    @8.00

Hawthorn
S. Mitchell 22     @1.50
J. Roughead 19    @5.00
L. Hodge 12    @3.25
J. Lewis 8    @51.00

Melbourne
N. Jones 4    @1.25
J. Grimes 2    @10.00
J. Watts 1    @6.00
Any other Melbourne player    @8.00

North Melbourne
B. Harvey 15    @1.80
J. Ziebell 11    @8.00
D. Wells 8    @2.20

Port Adelaide
H. Hartlett 13    @7.00
T. Boak 11    @1.15
C. Wingard 11    @7.00
J. Westhoff 6    @51.00

Richmond
D. Martin 14    @3.00
B. Deledio 14    @4.00

T. Cotchin 12    @1.70
B. Ellis 9    @26.00

Saint Kilda
L. Montagna 14    @1.90
J. Steven 10    @2.10
N. Riewoldt 6    @6.00

Sydney
D. Hannebery 16    @2.10
K. Jack 16    @2.00
J. McVeigh 15    @8.00
J. P Kennedy 15    @6.00
R. O'Keefe 15    @51.00

Western Bulldogs
R. Griffen 16    @1.02
T. Liberatore  15    @8.00
A. Cooney 7    @21.00

LF

Yeah Simpson could poll well for the Blues might be worth a punt as well.
Ellis could poll well for the Tigers
I think Sydney`s votes will be tight but ROK paying that much is crazy

kilbluff1985

yeah there is some value there to bad we cant multi lol

hanging out for the quinella and trifecta markets :P

dmac07

#470
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 03, 2013, 10:58:02 AM
cool mate

it's the round 1 game that has me worried about Jelwoods votes who did you give the votes to in Hawks vs Geelong round 1?

the only value I see in the Brownlow teams bets are

Mitchell, Harvey, Montagna and K Simpson is an outside chance at Carlton rest are not worth the odds

I have Boak ahead of Hartlett in ports count and think he is pretty good value.

Edit - just checked the odds and saw you made a typo, thought $7 boak was too good to be true!

Ricochet

Quote from: dmac07 on September 03, 2013, 12:04:30 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 03, 2013, 10:58:02 AM
cool mate

it's the round 1 game that has me worried about Jelwoods votes who did you give the votes to in Hawks vs Geelong round 1?

the only value I see in the Brownlow teams bets are

Mitchell, Harvey, Montagna and K Simpson is an outside chance at Carlton rest are not worth the odds

I have Boak ahead of Hartlett in ports count and think he is pretty good value.

Edit - just checked the odds and saw you made a typo, thought $7 boak was too good to be true!
Oh yeh I fixed it on the second one but not the first post

kilbluff1985


Ricochet

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 03, 2013, 12:09:21 PM
I made a typo or Ric?
Me mate. Had Hartlett at 1.17 and Boak at 7.00

dmac07

Rnd 1 Haw v Gee
3. Mitchell
2. Selwood
1. Mackie

Rusty00

Quote from: Ricochet on September 03, 2013, 10:54:55 AM
Quote from: dmac07 on September 03, 2013, 10:40:18 AM
I have my own count which is similar but has the top 4 a little closer together, wouldn't be surprised of swan is within a vote or two. Will upload my count later to compare.
That'd be cool to see actually.
Heard somewhere last week that Swan's numbers this year are either similar or better than his numbers in the year he won the brownlow
Yeah I saw that as well regarding Swan's numbers this year. Can't remember where it was, maybe the Footy Show.

kilbluff1985

Quote from: dmac07 on September 03, 2013, 12:12:05 PM
Rnd 1 Haw v Gee
3. Mitchell
2. Selwood
1. Mackie

Yeah that's interesting I went

Selwood 3
Mitchell 2
Chappy 1

dmac07

My Brownlow leaderboard. A few of the results might surprise people including number Swan at the top. But the top 4 are so close in my opinion that any of them could win it. Swan and Pendles will steal votes off each other, but unlike last year Beams wont be around stealing 14-15. Sidebottom, Cloke, O'Brien will all get 5-6 votes but no other serious vote getters.

29 -
D. Swan
28 -
G. Ablett
S. Pendlebury
27 -
J. Selwood
26 -
25 -
24 -
23 -
22 -
M. Barlow
21 -
20 -
J. Watson
19 -
S. Mitchell
K. Jack
D. Hanneberry
D. Mundy
T.Rockiff
18 -
S. Johnson
R.Griffen
17 -
L. Hodge
N. Fyfe
16 -
L. Montagna
P. Dangerfield
15 -
J. Roughead
T. Boak
T. Cotchin
14 -
D. Martin
B. Harvey
13 -
12 -
M. Stokes
K. Cornes
B. Goddard
D. Cox
11- J. McVeigh
P. Hanley
H. Hartlett
M.Murphy
T. Libertore
10 -
9 -
L. Fanklin
J.P.Kennedy
S. Motlop
A. Swallow
R. Sloane
H. Bennell
D. Wells
D. Petrie
8 -
N. Riewoldt
J. Steven
C. Wingard
A. Walker
B. Ellis
D. Jackson
L. Shuey
M. Priddis

dmac07

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 03, 2013, 12:28:38 PM
Quote from: dmac07 on September 03, 2013, 12:12:05 PM
Rnd 1 Haw v Gee
3. Mitchell
2. Selwood
1. Mackie

Yeah that's interesting I went

Selwood 3
Mitchell 2
Chappy 1

Selwood and mitchell will sow up the 3 & 2. Could be either order but think since it was such a close game they will still give the 3 votes to mitchell in a losing side. Any of 3 or 4 players couldve got the 1.

kilbluff1985