Jukes' pre-season diary

[Adamant]

Yep, new team for me as well.

Looks so much better with Swanny in there. 8)

I still feel I'm being too baaaaaaa :P

Just been messing around a bit more, what do you think of this situation guise
Stevie J, Moller, Redden, Goldstein, Tom Mitchell
vs
Breust, Fitzpatrick, Fyfe, McEvoy, Horlin-Smith

Well, you still don't have Ablett, so not too sheepish. There's also a difference between being unique and stupid... no Swan or Ablett is just madness. :P

As for your combo question, here are my predicted averages:

Stevie J (104), Moller, Redden (108), Goldstein (88), Tom Mitchell (70) = 370
vs
Breust (84), Fitzpatrick, Fyfe (105), McEvoy (93), Horlin-Smith (65) = 347

I crossed out Moller/Fitzpatrick as they both cancel each other out.

[Jukes]

I reckon,

I forgot to mention I'm downgrading McEvoy to the best performing player out of Goldy and McIntosh after R3-4.

SJ 102, Redden 108, Goldy 90, Mitchell 70
vs
Breust 93, Fyfe 105, McEvoy 110 (first few), GHS 70

= 370
vs
=378 and the advantage of a severely better R3

NAB will tell a lot about Breust, Fyfe, Mitchell, GHS and Goldy though so hard to tell at this stage.

[Tominator]

very good looking side Jukes

Will Maccaffer play much though? Collingwood have a very good squad so might find it hard to crack in, maybe Menzel could be worth a look? My only other suggestion would be Goldstein to McIntosh too


Just thoughts of mine, but again looks very solid

What do you know about Brett Goodes?

[Jukes]

very good looking side Jukes

Will Maccaffer play much though? Collingwood have a very good squad so might find it hard to crack in, maybe Menzel could be worth a look? My only other suggestion would be Goldstein to McIntosh too


Just thoughts of mine, but again looks very solid

What do you know about Brett Goodes?

I've always doubted Macaffer, but everybody was like hurr durr he's a gun get him, and I had to because he was the best forward rook after Lee and Staker I could afford earlier (I had $0 left with him lol).

Goodes is a mature age (28, 29 in a couple weeks) half-back who should play close to every game after being a long time gun at VFL level for Williamstown. They wouldn't just recruit a 29 year old for nothing.

[Adamant]

Btw, I would re-think your plan of trading out NRoo after the first 4 rounds. I would keep him up until Saint Kilda play North Melbourne - NRoo has an insane record against them.

His last 8 scores against them read:

2008 - 128

2009 - 114 & 120

2010 - 142 & 147

2011 - 99 & 121

2012 - 47

I'm not sure what happened with the 47, but all in all, those are some pretty amazing numbers.

[Jukes]

Btw, I would re-think your plan of trading out NRoo after the first 4 rounds. I would keep him up until Saint Kilda play North Melbourne - NRoo has an insane record against them.

His last 8 scores against them read:

2008 - 128

2009 - 114 & 120

2010 - 142 & 147

2011 - 99 & 121

2012 - 47

I'm not sure what happened with the 47, but all in all, those are some pretty amazing numbers.

Interesting. I might keep Nicky all season tbh. If he can nail a couple 140+ scores in the first 3 and back that up with a few 100s and no scores under 75 before round 10 and he can pick up a huge 150 against them, his confidence will be sky-high and could end up averaging 100.

Round 10 is a long time to wait, though. If he doesn't perform in rounds 4, 5 and 6 he'll probably find himself traded. Maybe get him back in r10?

Good stats anyway ads, cheers.

[Adamant]

Btw, I would re-think your plan of trading out NRoo after the first 4 rounds. I would keep him up until Saint Kilda play North Melbourne - NRoo has an insane record against them.

His last 8 scores against them read:

2008 - 128

2009 - 114 & 120

2010 - 142 & 147

2011 - 99 & 121

2012 - 47

I'm not sure what happened with the 47, but all in all, those are some pretty amazing numbers.

Interesting. I might keep Nicky all season tbh. If he can nail a couple 140+ scores in the first 3 and back that up with a few 100s and no scores under 75 before round 10 and he can pick up a huge 150 against them, his confidence will be sky-high and could end up averaging 100.

Round 10 is a long time to wait, though. If he doesn't perform in rounds 4, 5 and 6 he'll probably find himself traded. Maybe get him back in r10?

Good stats anyway ads, cheers.

No worries.

Yeah, really depends how he goes in the first month or so. I probably won't start with him, but like Stevie J, will look to get both in before round 9/10.

[Jukes]

Btw, I would re-think your plan of trading out NRoo after the first 4 rounds. I would keep him up until Saint Kilda play North Melbourne - NRoo has an insane record against them.

His last 8 scores against them read:

2008 - 128

2009 - 114 & 120

2010 - 142 & 147

2011 - 99 & 121

2012 - 47

I'm not sure what happened with the 47, but all in all, those are some pretty amazing numbers.

Interesting. I might keep Nicky all season tbh. If he can nail a couple 140+ scores in the first 3 and back that up with a few 100s and no scores under 75 before round 10 and he can pick up a huge 150 against them, his confidence will be sky-high and could end up averaging 100.

Round 10 is a long time to wait, though. If he doesn't perform in rounds 4, 5 and 6 he'll probably find himself traded. Maybe get him back in r10?

Good stats anyway ads, cheers.

No worries.

Yeah, really depends how he goes in the first month or so. I probably won't start with him, but like Stevie J, will look to get both in before round 9/10.

I'm really starting to love Nicky Riewoldt heading in 2013. Prior to the last two years of mid-80s averages, he has 7 straight years over 88, including a 106.5 :O and 3 other years above 99.

Anyway, OP updated with new side;

Backs: Goddard, Gibbs, Heppell, Lake, Goodes, Stevenson (Docherty, Colquhoun)
Mids: Swan, Cotchin, Pendlebury, Stanton, Fyfe, Horlin-Smith, O'Meara, Viney (Jones, T. Mitchell)
Rucks: McEvoy, Leuenberger (Fitzpatrick, Rowe)
Forwards: Rockliff, N. Riewoldt, Wright, Breust, Cloke, Staker (Macaffer, Lee)
$7,900 left

[Adamant]

I'm really starting to love Nicky Riewoldt heading in 2013. Prior to the last two years of mid-80s averages, he has 7 straight years over 88, including a 106.5 :O and 3 other years above 99.

Anyway, OP updated with new side;

Backs: Goddard, Gibbs, Heppell, Lake, Goodes, Stevenson (Docherty, Colquhoun)
Mids: Swan, Cotchin, Pendlebury, Stanton, Fyfe, Horlin-Smith, O'Meara, Viney (Jones, T. Mitchell)
Rucks: McEvoy, Leuenberger (Fitzpatrick, Rowe)
Forwards: Rockliff, N. Riewoldt, Wright, Breust, Cloke, Staker (Macaffer, Lee)
$7,900 left

Heppell is getting wayyyy underpicked IMO. He is a jet, and should go 90+. I'm tossing up between him, Broughton, Hartlett and Duffield for my D4. I don't like Lake, but I know you're really keen on him, so won't criticize that pick. Goodes is still on the rookie list, isn't he?

Great to see Swanny finally in there, you don't wanna not start him and miss out on his 150+ scores early. Your team just looks so much better overall with him sitting there. I'm not a big Cotchin fan personally, I'd much rather Murphy, but that's just me. Absolutely love the Fyfe pick, I can see him averaging close to Redden and he is like 75k cheaper. GHS is a good smokey, but I can't justify paying 171k for him.

McEvoy is a wicked pick. I upgraded Giles to him in the 2nd half of last year and he was just awesome. Extremely consistent and should smash it early with the Saints easy run. I'm considering him over Sandi. :P I don't like Fitzpatrick at 140k, but keep an eye on NAB form.

I feel you are taking way too many risks in the forward line. NRoo, Wright, Bruest and Cloke are all decent shots at averaging 90+, but come with significant risk (although doesn't really matter with 44 trades). I like NRoo and Cloke, but I don't think Bruest and Wright will finish in the top 6 or so forwards. I suggest either swapping Bruest with Sylvia (Sylvia is actually proven with multiple years of 90+ averages) or downgrade him to Knights/Byrnes and use the cash to get in Mayes/Menzel (whoever you were keen on).

Overall, a very strong team with a stack of POD's. If most of them come off, you'll be laughing.

[Jukes]

They wouldn't just pick up a 29 year old (Goodes) to fill the squad, should play at least 15 games. Was a star for Williamstown.
Stop making me feel immoral with Swanny :(
I reckon GHS has a great chance at playing 20 games and averaging 80-85. Will watch closely in the NAB cup, if he doesn't perform will downgrade to Wines.
I also love McEvoy, should average 105-115 in the first month and who knows beyond that, could find himself a permanent fixture in my side, at least until he tops out in price.
Fitzpatrick is well worth that extra 40k. I can't see any 105k-ish rucks playing 5 games, but Fitzy should play 10-15 as he's the Dees second ruck behind Jamar (and Clark, I guess even though he's a forward).
I feel all those forward risks are calculated and worth it. I may swap Breust to Sylvia, liking his unique-status though. Will watch in the NAB cup the scoring and roles of both those players.

I'd be hoping my side was very strong, I've been in heavy pre-season mode for 5 months and am kind of a DT expert after all those team reviews and player analysis :P

[Jukes]

Update for team 2.0

Backs: Goddard, Gibbs, Heppell, Lake, Goodes, Stevenson (Terlich, Docherty)
Mids: Swan, Cotchin, Pendlebury, Stanton, O'Keefe, Crouch, O'Meara, Viney (Jones, T.Mitchell)
Rucks: McEvoy, Leuenberger (Rowe, Moller)
Forwards: Rockliff, Riewoldt, Martin, Walker, Cloke, Daniher (Macaffer, Lee)
$19,200 remaining


Round 3 will be trading ROK to Fyfe, round 4 Riewoldt to Stevie J unless either prove I should do otherwise through huge scores and/or spudiness of SJ and Fyfey.
O'Keefe averages 125 and 114 against his first two teams before just 72 against NM, Riewoldt 131 and 98 before playing GWS for the first time while Stevie J has scored 2 100s from his last 9 games in the first three rounds of the season.

[Adamant]

What happened to your love of Wright?

Wright easily.

Matty will average 94-97, while Martin probably only 88-91. Easy decision.

[Windigo]

Must have thought it wasn't the Wright decision.

[Jukes]

What happened to your love of Wright?

Wright easily.

Matty will average 94-97, while Martin probably only 88-91. Easy decision.

Who says I wasn't doing that to throw everybody off ;)

Must have thought it wasn't the Wright decision.

7.3/10 alright pun

[Adamant]

Must have thought it wasn't the Wright decision.

Haha nice.