How many right priced players are there ??? I'll give two, any special bargains?

Started by Sabretooth Tigers, December 28, 2012, 11:48:49 PM

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Sabretooth Tigers

 By right priced players I mean those that are priced LOWER than this seasons finishing price ie:-
Dayne Beams finished  $685,700 starts 2013  $656,700
Patrick Dangerfield       $646,500                  $636,000





Can anyone add to these ????

28 reads for no response so how about within 20k  ????

nostradamus


CrowsFan

Don't really know if that means they are right priced, just means they finished off the season strongly averaging more in their final few games than they did for the entire season. Plus the magic number has changed this year, so kinda irrelevant.

But anyway going by your criteria here are some others...


Player'12 End Price'13 Start Price
David Mundy510,000477,300
Toby Greene532,300506,300
Bryce Gibbs525,100509,800
Paul Duffield527,900496,700

My Chumps

Quote from: CrowsFan on December 29, 2012, 12:47:37 AM
Don't really know if that means they are right priced, just means they finished off the season strongly averaging more in their final few games than they did for the entire season. Plus the magic number has changed this year, so kinda irrelevant.
Now let's lock this thread and never speak of it again :P

Footyrulz

I actually think this head is very relevant but maybe should be looked at in different way.

If they finished off the previous season really well (eg. beams and Stanton in 2011), they a quite likely to continue that form the next year.

A better way to analyse it might be to just look at averages, but I guess it's the same thing!

I'm strongly considering dangerfield, beams, mundy, duffield and Gibbs. I think they have a good chance of continuing their form from late 2012 and therefore they are underpriced.

Sabretooth Tigers

G'day Crowesfan,  I don't understand what you mean by the magic number changing, and what I was really after was a spread of players who appear to be well priced v the rest.  Starting v finishing price was the best I could come up with.  Just as an example, Wellingham at WCE may get far more midfield exposure than at Collingwood and blossom in to a real SC gem, and at a great price. Didn't make things as clear as I should have, guess it's a cross tween crystal balls and prices. Cheers.

Presto

Quote from: Footyrulz on December 29, 2012, 09:42:07 AM
I actually think this head is very relevant but maybe should be looked at in different way.

If they finished off the previous season really well (eg. beams and Stanton in 2011), they a quite likely to continue that form the next year.

A better way to analyse it might be to just look at averages, but I guess it's the same thing!

I'm strongly considering dangerfield, beams, mundy, duffield and Gibbs. I think they have a good chance of continuing their form from late 2012 and therefore they are underpriced.
+1

Compare the average of the last few games in 2012 with the average they are priced at:
For example:
Mundy priced at 477100 when his ave for the last 6 games was 115.2, which should have priced him at 616,000
Hawkins (508,800) 122.4 and 654,900
Duffield (496,700) 118.7 and 635,100
In short (as Footyrulz said) players that average more in the last few games than during the season
Here is a full list of premium players that improved their ave by at least 5:
Player                  Ave 2012    last 6 games
Mundy, David             89.2        115.17
Hawkins, Tom             95.1   122.40  (last 5 games
Sandilands, Aaron   112.6   144.67  (last 3 games
Duffield, Paul             92.8   118.67
Giles, Jonathan             93.3   115.33
Dangerfield, Patrick   118.9   142.67
Gibbs, Bryce             95.3   113.83
Beams, Dayne            122.9   143.00
O'Keefe, Ryan           103.8   120.50
Harvey, Brent             95.5   110.50
Grimes, Jack             88.3   101.50
McLean, Brock           106.3   121.33
Pavlich, Matthew           111           126.50
Waite, Jarrad             97.2   110.60 (last 5 games
Redden, Jack           102.8   116.33
Hale, David                     95.6   107.83
Johnson, Steve             96.6   108.20 (last 5 games
Naitanui, Nic           114.2   127.33
Thompson, Scott D.     87.8   97.83
Murphy, Marc           112.7   124.83
Goldstein, Todd             93.1   102.40 (last 5 games
Cotchin, Trent           116.3   127.50
Ablett jnr, Gary           138.4   149.50
Griffen, Ryan           106.1   113.67
Goddard, Brendon   101.2   108.00
Sewell, Brad           101.4   108.17
Riewoldt, Jack             90.8   96.67
Maric, Ivan                   113.4   120.50
Tuck, Shane           114.6   121.33


Ringo

Well done - Just one thing though need to factor in the opposition played in the last 6 games, Just see how they went against top sides in Reddens case he scored 121 v West Coast and 140 v Adelaide the only top 8 sides Brisbane played in the last 6 rounds,

Sabretooth Tigers

Well done, top stuff and thanks Presto.
Just what I was looking for. Cheers.

meow meow

Adam Treloar didn't really have a preseason. He got fitness throughout the season which is very difficult to do, especially for a 1st year player.

His average in 2012 was 83.2. He is priced accordingly, however he averaged 107.2 in the final five games of the season. Bargain?

Sabretooth Tigers


Good point well taken personcat, the last 5 were  Collingwood,Port Adelaide, Gold Coast, St Kilda and North Melbourne. Reckon bargain he is and at his worst will still make money and more than likely score well at the same time. Cheers.

Capper

Quote from: Sabretooth Tigers on December 29, 2012, 12:06:47 PM
G'day Crowesfan,  I don't understand what you mean by the magic number changing, and what I was really after was a spread of players who appear to be well priced v the rest.  Starting v finishing price was the best I could come up with.  Just as an example, Wellingham at WCE may get far more midfield exposure than at Collingwood and blossom in to a real SC gem, and at a great price. Didn't make things as clear as I should have, guess it's a cross tween crystal balls and prices. Cheers.
The magic number is a common number used (i think it is about 5117) and you multiple that number by the players average to get their price

Quote from: Sabretooth Tigers on December 28, 2012, 11:48:49 PM
By right priced players I mean those that are priced LOWER than this seasons finishing price ie:-
Dayne Beams finished  $685,700 starts 2013  $656,700
Patrick Dangerfield       $646,500                  $636,000

Can anyone add to these ????

28 reads for no response so how about within 20k  ????
It looks like every Swans 2013 players starting price is more than their 2012 finishing price


Vicious Sandwhich Attack


Sabretooth Tigers


Thanks vicious, great thing about FF is there is always something to learn. Cheers.