Breakout Player

[nichsa673]

Last year we saw many break out years from young guns in the competition, with the like of Dangerfield, Sidebottom, Beams, Cotchin, Kennedy, all becoming elites of the comp.

Which players do you think will it be this year. Swallow? Christensen? Dustin Martin 2.0?

[The_Captain]

I reckon Koby Stevens may be a chance. Mitch wallis possibly.

[roti]

Fyfe to become a premium
Once martin gets his head right he will breakout as well, its up to him when it happens

[nichsa673]

Premium as in? Average?

[Phasir]

I'd have to say breakout:
Def: 90+
Mid: 105+
Ruck: 90+
Fwd: 90+

[Ziplock]

the best way to define a premium are by however many positions there are on the field for the player, + 2 or 3, then look at the average. For instance, this year we have 6 defenders, 8 mids, 2 rucks, 6 forwards, so the 8th defender + can be defined roughly as premium, heppell at 85 average, the 8th forward robinson at 93, honestly for mids, only the top 8, 110+ are true premiums, but you can probably get away with top 10, so 105+, while rucks you'd say ryder up, so 90+

so similar to what you have :P

just being a premium doesnt make you a break out though... A. Swallow averaged 103 this year, hitting 105 doesn't mean he's broken out, while mclean only averaged 100, but last year he only averaged 67- that makes him a break out.

basically, it works like this,
Avg. this year             average next year to be a break out
                               
40                                                    75
50                                                   80
60                                                   85-90
70                                                   90-95
80                                                   100
90                                                    105
100                                                  110

that's more of a midfielder guide though... for instance, we've defined premiums as 85+ for defenders, subsequently, if you get a 70 average defender who then averages 85, that can be defined as a break out.

I dunno if that was even the question though.

w.e, you have my answer :P

[popedelio]

possibly the young eagle brigade of the likes of selwood and shuey. both have shown high ceilings and posted solid averages,  just need to show more consistency, which should skyrocket there average :)

[Adamant]

Nat Fyfe to become a 110-115+ player.

[tbagrocks]

Lets see here,

Smith (Ade) 85-95,
Hartlett, if he can keep fit 100-114
Ziebell, 95-110
Darling, 90-100
Martin (Rich) 90-115
Bennell, 95-110
Heppell, 90-100

[Footyrulz]

looking at the types of players that broke out last season, i think the best criteria are:

youth
gradual improvement
average of around 80 to 90

the players that best apply to this and the players i think might breakout are (in order):
1. matthew wright
2. duncan
3. grimes
4. christensen
5. zeibell
6. heppell

[blewy09]

Siposs

[Jroo]

Siposs

+ Sipposs may play the Goddard role.
Hanneberry, Christansen, Conca, Martin, Ziebell, Wallis, C.Beams just a few names

[shorty3264]

Yarran aswell? love Hannebery and Ziebell

[Adamant]

I think Ziebell is very overrated, but that's what everyone was saying about Danger last year...hope he surprises me.

[nichsa673]

Hannabery is an interesting one. with their draw being GWS, GCS, STK, NM and BRI in first 6 rounds he could realy start well.