To trade Horsely?

Started by LaHug, June 05, 2012, 05:03:10 PM

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Should Horsely be traded?

Yes
41 (67.2%)
No
20 (32.8%)

Total Members Voted: 6

LaHug

Quote from: Ricochet on June 05, 2012, 06:20:27 PM
Quote from: LaHug on June 05, 2012, 05:56:09 PM
My personal problem is that I can't afford to go Horsely to Swan in one (or even two) trades.
I have 5 premium mids already (Stanton, Ablett, Mitchell, Selwood, Rockliff) so I'd want to get Swan or Boyd as my last spot.
That means, unless I use three trades this week, I'd have to downgrade Horsely.
Is there anyone to whom downgrading would be a viable option?
Who are your other rookies LH?

May as well just go all out and list the full team... Will bold rookies to make it easier.

Def: Lids, Scotland, Goddard, Shaw, Broughton, Morris, Ellis, Townsend, Spurr

Mid: Stanton, Ablett, Mitchell, Selwood, Rockliff, Horsely, Smith, McDonald

Ruc: Maric, Giles, Stephenson, Redden

For: Sidebottom, Buddy, Chappy, Danger, Martin, ROK, Hall, Smith, Zorko

Cash: $78,300

Also need to do something with Scotland...... :/

powersuperkents

Not many great downgrade options out there but I'm gonna go Horsley->Marley Williams

Tom_16

I'm trading him to the underpriced Mitchell this week. As for morris he will become birchall this week rather than waiting until round 13 to avoid a donut as there aren't any round 12 premos i can trust that i don't have (eg. Shaw, broughts or johnson)

glam77

how much $ will horse drop if he only scores a 40-50 this week?

Ricochet

Sorry mate i think you need to keep Horse for now. Just makes your bye structure look so much better with him in there.


LaHug

Quote from: Ricochet on June 06, 2012, 02:18:36 PM
Sorry mate i think you need to keep Horse for now. Just makes your bye structure look so much better with him in there.
Yeah, that was what I was thinking... Problem is, I have to trade Scotland (or do I?!) so, if I downgrade Scotland, I'll be able to go Horse --> Swan. Are there any back downgrade options?

powersuperkents

Should I go Taylor Adams-> Elliot/Walsh and upgrade Jmac-> Kennedy/Mitchell?

Ricochet

Quote from: LaHug on June 06, 2012, 09:01:23 PM
Quote from: Ricochet on June 06, 2012, 02:18:36 PM
Sorry mate i think you need to keep Horse for now. Just makes your bye structure look so much better with him in there.
Yeah, that was what I was thinking... Problem is, I have to trade Scotland (or do I?!) so, if I downgrade Scotland, I'll be able to go Horse --> Swan. Are there any back downgrade options?
Scotland to Heppell this week? you just move the donut from RD13 to RD 12
You'll cop 2 donuts this RD (if everyone plays)

After RD 11
1) downgrade someone like Morris to S.Shaw for 140k-ish profit
2) Ellis should be over 200k after RD11 so you could look at Ellis to Darley for 60k-ish profit (i know its fuk all but it gets rid of a donut in RD13)
3)A.Hall should be 240k-ish after the week. You could trade him to Haynes if named for 90-100k-ish profit
Total in bank could then be roughly 370-380k.
You'll cop 3 donuts this RD (if everyone plays)

After RD 12
Swan is now at 590k with a BE of 148. Anything under 130 he'll drop 10k-ish+.
1) Horse to Swan  ;D  = -280k-ish
0 donuts this RD (again if everyone plays)
and 100k in the bank


Allllllot of IFS there but its the best way to get Swan and minimizing donuts i could think of.
Orrrr you could just go Scotland to Sam Shaw this RD and hope he plays after the byes
Orrrrrrr instead of getting rid of Ellis next week you can get rid of Spurr for next to no profit. Then get rid of Ellis after RD 12. You'd still be able to afford Swan but get rid of another donut from RD12.

LaHug

Quote from: Ricochet on June 06, 2012, 10:04:13 PM
Quote from: LaHug on June 06, 2012, 09:01:23 PM
Quote from: Ricochet on June 06, 2012, 02:18:36 PM
Sorry mate i think you need to keep Horse for now. Just makes your bye structure look so much better with him in there.
Yeah, that was what I was thinking... Problem is, I have to trade Scotland (or do I?!) so, if I downgrade Scotland, I'll be able to go Horse --> Swan. Are there any back downgrade options?
Scotland to Heppell this week? you just move the donut from RD13 to RD 12
You'll cop 2 donuts this RD (if everyone plays)

After RD 11
1) downgrade someone like Morris to S.Shaw for 140k-ish profit
2) Ellis should be over 200k after RD11 so you could look at Ellis to Darley for 60k-ish profit (i know its fuk all but it gets rid of a donut in RD13)
3)A.Hall should be 240k-ish after the week. You could trade him to Haynes if named for 90-100k-ish profit
Total in bank could then be roughly 370-380k.
You'll cop 3 donuts this RD (if everyone plays)

After RD 12
Swan is now at 590k with a BE of 148. Anything under 130 he'll drop 10k-ish+.
1) Horse to Swan  ;D  = -280k-ish
0 donuts this RD (again if everyone plays)
and 100k in the bank


Allllllot of IFS there but its the best way to get Swan and minimizing donuts i could think of.
Orrrr you could just go Scotland to Sam Shaw this RD and hope he plays after the byes
Orrrrrrr instead of getting rid of Ellis next week you can get rid of Spurr for next to no profit. Then get rid of Ellis after RD 12. You'd still be able to afford Swan but get rid of another donut from RD12.

I like your thinking :) Definitely something to consider.

Bluke

as much as I hate his BE I'm having to hold him because of Byes...

its me lads


Colliwobblers

everyone ISN'T playing tho are they.... got to ditch this SPUD now, yes i just get the donut in either round 12 or 13 instead, but I also get the bloke i trade in nows score this week instead of horsleys score in round 12. So not much reason to hold him given he isn't playing

Andrew

I'm ditching him for Ablett. Doesn't affect bye structure, avoids a doughnut, increases scoring immeasurably. I don't really need Horsely once I do Magner -> Boyd next week...

Aaron8

downgrading him to sexton gives me (DPP) link as well :)

ENYGMA

He was like a gift from the Gold Coast Gods bearing tons at rookie prices but once you let him in, he released his stinky soldiers of 50s and 30s.

He is out rd 11 (this week) and rd 13 but I came prepared with 220k in the bank.

I am thinking either Thompson or Watson. I only want the best so no suggestions of smokies or Sam Mitchell!

Thommo has a huge BE from the Crowley tag last week and has Clint Jones to look out for this week too so he will lose even more across the next few rounds.

Jobe is super consistent and priced fairly at 520 with a reasonable 130ish BE.

I already have Swan, GAJ, Boyd, Jelwood and all the good MPP forwards (chappy, robbo, beams, sidey etc)

Should I trade and if so when?