WOBBLERS ROOKS - ROUND 11 [ CARNAGE ROUND #1 ]

[Colliwobblers]

WOBBLERS ROOKS ROUND #11

Here we are again, this time in Round 11, and may the carnage begin.

A QUICK WORD ON TRADING DURING THE BYES

While pretty easy to set your team up for the round 11 bye and things might be looking good at this point, fact is that if you have no donut's for round 11, it means your going to have to trade 6 times to over the next two rounds to minimize your total donuts for the 3 bye rounds to 2.

That is if every player you have plays every round they are supposed to. We already have Pendles out for 1, Waters out for 1, Scotland out for 3, and clouds over Swan, Heppell, JSelwood, Shaw and a number of other players, not to mention the issues surrounding selection for all the rooks we are hoping to play over the 3 rounds.

If like me you are not prepared to trade a round 12 or 13 rook in this week for your round 11 rooks to get down to zero donuts for round 11, knowing that to do so is just to move your donut to a later round, OR to have to re-trade the player you trade in back out again before that round to avoid the donut in the later round. Then the Carnage begins now.

To me TWO trades to avoid ONE Donut is worth it only if you have a LOT of trades left, given the injury onslaught we have faced this season I think it best to hold those trades for the long term prevention of Donuts.

However an example below shows what you should be doing,

Say your Mid is SWAN - STANTON - ABLETT - THOMO - BOYD - horsley (jmac - zorko)

11 = 4 (2 donuts) 12 = 2 ( 0 donuts) 13 = 1 (0 donuts)

You should be trading one of those round 11 rooks to a round 13 premium OR rook- an upgrade/downgrade you likely would do anyway and spares you a donut in round 11.

Then after round 12 you would either downgrade Horsley to a round 11 or 12 rook or upgrade him to round 11 or 12 premium, getting you back to 2 round 13 players and no donuts in your mids for round 13.

So that's just one example of trading through the byes to reduce donuts, but not wasting trades in doing so, making trades to upgrade and downgrade that you would do anyway but at the right times with the right players to avoid unneccessairy donuts.

RUCK SPECIAL

THE ROOKIE RUCKS

#1 Giles, Jonathan $354,900 - AVG 83 - BE 75
#2 Pyke, Mike $239,100 - AVG 81 - BE -15
#3 Hickey, Tom $208,300 - AVG 65 - BE -18
#4 Jenkins, Josh $194,700 - AVG 63 - BE 21
#5 Redden, Jarrad $180,100 - AVG 61 - BE -11
#6 Stephenson, Orren $222,600 - AVG 59 - BE 24
#7 Longer, Billy $220,500 - AVG 59 - BE -11
#8 Phillips, Andrew $148,200 - AVG 40 - BE 28
#9 Fitzpatrick, Jack $186,000 - AVG 21 - BE 80

BARGAIN OPTIONS

#1 Jacobs, Sam $348,900 - AVG 80.4 BE 102 - Having a tough season playing well scoring less than expected EASY run home.
#2 Mumford, Shane $419,000 - AVG 73.7 BE 144 - Massive drop ahead, premium option may be a bargain in a few rounds.
#3 West, Trent $285,400 - AVG 63 BE 61 - Bottomed out now, if he hits form could be a solid affordable bench ruck option
#4 Sellar, James $175,500 - AVG 40 BE 15 - Rookie Priced, played 7games viable downgrade option for Giles to warm the pine
#5 Smith, Zachary $293,000 - AVG 63 BE 72 - Bottomed out and out of form? another viable 3rd Ruck option way under par

THE BEST OF THE BEST

#1 Sandilands, Aaron $442,300 - AVG 102 BE 92
#2 Maric, Ivan $479,300 - AVG 101 BE 75
#3 Cox, Dean $473,200 - AVG 99 BE 119
#4 McIntosh, Hamish $408,800 - AVG 91 BE 105
#5 Ryder, Patrick $390,900 - AVG 91 BE 65


ROOKIE STUD OF THE ROUND: Stephen Coniglio - 115 uP $8,800 New BE 54 Avg 76 cost $339K

For those of us that had him and knew he was the one sure thing in rookie land for 2012 - why did we trade him out! For those that still have him well done hope he was on your field, Now it is time to decide to bench for good or say goodbye.

ROOKIE DUD OF THE ROUND: Kyal Horsley - 38 DowN $5,300 New BE 112 Avg 86 cost $309K

Ok so there were worse rookie scorers this round, but none by players so many of us were starting and counting on a decent score from. Subbed out of the game, lost some cash BE 112 going to lose more, for me he has to stay until after round 12 then he will be turned into Thompson or Boyd or Stanton all with very high breakevens and all who should me a lot cheaper after thier next game. (Swan and Pendles) I already have would be the other obvious choices for getting on after thier next game and price drop.

ROOKIE STUDS:

TOTAL PRICE INCREASE FOR THE SEASON

1     Giles, J    $237,100
2     Shiel, D    $216,800
3     Maric, I    $216,600
4     Greene, T    $211,900
5     Magner, J    $211,700
6     Treloar, A    $207,200
7     McDonald, J    $194,100
8     Horsley, K    $188,900
9     Clarke, M    $176,600
10     Smith, D    $175,400

PRICE INCREASE FOR ROUND #10

1     Zorko, D    $73,200
2     Hall, A    $45,900
3     Pyke, M    $45,200
4     Bootsma, J    $41,600
5     Darley, S    $40,900
6     Jack, K    $38,700
7     Riewoldt, J    $38,700
8     Broadbent, M    $37,700
9     Jenkins, J    $36,900
10     Shaw, R    $36,400

KEEP EM ROOKS Break Evens significantly lower than thier Average - Cash to be made yet...

BOLD - The popular ones

Joshua Bootsma - Avg 57 BE -48
Dayne Zorko - Avg 80 BE -42
Alex Sexton - Avg 48 BE -36
Lee Spurr - Avg 49 BE -35
Jack Crisp - Avg 63 BE -32
Ahmed Saad - Avg 51 BE -24
Aaron Hall - Avg 61 BE -22
Tom Hickey - Avg 65 BE -18
Mike Pyke - Avg 81 BE -15
Sam Darley - Avg 57 BE -13
Jarrad Redden - Avg 61 BE -11
Billy Longer - Avg 59 BE -11
Aaron Young - Avg 31 BE -1
Jesse Stringer - Avg 57 BE 1
Jack Newnes - Avg 50 BE 1
Chad Wingard - Avg 45 BE 3
Jackson Paine - Avg 36 BE 8
Nathan Wilson - Avg 35 BE 8
Adam Treloar - Avg 80 BE 10
Jeremy Cameron - Avg 59 BE 11
Sam Reid - Avg 48 BE 12
Israel Folau - Avg 33 BE 12
Paul Seedsman - Avg 38 BE 15
Nathan Brown - Avg 38 BE 16
Curtly Hampton - Avg 46 BE 20
Dylan Shiel - Avg 72 BE 21
Josh Jenkins - Avg 63 BE 21
Cameron Guthrie - Avg 42 BE 21
Brandon Ellis - Avg 49 BE 21
Arryn Sippos - Avg 41 BE 21
Beau Wilkes - Avg 32 BE 23
Orren Stephensen - Avg 59 BE 24
Tom Simpkin - Avg 50 BE 26
Clay Smith - Avg 51 BE 26
Billie Smedts - Avg 44 BE 28
Terry Milera - Avg 61 BE 31
Cameron Delaney - Avg 53 BE 33
Sam Day - Avg 47 BE 35
Tory Dickson - Avg 61 BE 36

TIME TO GO ROOKS Break Evens nearing thier Average or price increases have slowed as player reached maximum price....

*NOTE: No "In Limbo Rooks" This round just added amongst "Time To Go Rooks"

Kyal Horsley - AVG 86 BE 112
Toby Greene - AVG 86 BE 105
Johnathon Giles - AVG 84 BE 75 (Limbo - slowing in growth)
Tomas Bugg - AVG 71 BE 74
K Hunt - AVG 53 BE 70
Devon Smith - AVG 69 BE 69
Marty Clarke - AVG 73 BE 63 (Limbo - slowing in growth)
Dom Tyson - AVG 53 BE 62
James McDonald - AVG 82 BE 61 (Limbo - slowing in growth)
Will Hoskin-Elliot - AVG 42 BE 57
Jamie Cripps - AVG 40 BE 55
Stephen Coniglio - AVG 76 BE 54 (Limbo - slowing in growth)
Tim Mohr - AVG 50 BE 51
Adam Kennedy - AVG 59 BE 46 (Limbo - slowing in growth)
Darren Pfieffer - AVG 58 BE 45 (Limbo - slowing in growth)
Jacob Townsend - AVG 43 BE 44
Taylor Adams - AVG 68 BE 43 (Limbo - slowing in growth)
Tom Gillies - AVG 57 BE 41 (Limbo - slowing in growth)
Stephen Morris - AVG 56 BE 41 (Limbo - slowing in growth) decreased in value last round.
Jack Hombsch - AVG 58 BE 37 (Limbo - slowing in growth)
Adam Tomlinson - AVG 45 BE 36 (Limbo - slowing in growth)

ON THE BUBBLE ROOKS Played 2 games price rises next game they play

Koby Stevens - Avg 55 / BE -43
George Horlin-Smith - Avg 49 / BE -30
Cory Del'olio - Avg 39 / BE -22
Tommy Walsh - Avg 41 / BE -14
Shaun Edwards - Avg 36 / BE -3
Liam Sumner - Avg 43 / BE 3
Brodie Martin - Avg 54 / BE 6
Peter Yagmoor - Avg 26 / BE 12
Zeph Skinner - Avg 24 / BE 21
Alic Magin - Avg 24 / BE 68
Bradley McKenzie - Avg 13.5 / BE 40
Ben Griffiths - Avg 35 / BE 33
Jaarad Bouman - Avg 19 / BE 30
Daniel Pearce - Avg 21 / BE 23
Tom Young - Avg 51 / BE 21
Bradley Hill - Avg 22.5 / BE 20
Andrew Collins - Avg 52 / BE 17
Jesse Crichton - Avg 61 / BE 2
Aaron Black - Avg 48 / BE 2
Jamie Elliot - Avg 56 / BE -46
Sam Shaw - Avg 69 / BE -69
Marley Williams - Avg 64 / BE -71

SEEN THESE ONES ONCE Played one game we get one more look at them

Anthony Miles - 89 / BE -110
Elliot Yeo - 54 / BE -44
Josh Tynan - 46 / BE -28
Ben Warren - 60 / BE -24
Josh Bruce - 36 / BE -4
Luke Rounds - 53 / BE 14
Andrew Moore - 6 / BE 88
Matthew Buntine - 17 / BE 72
Sam Kerrige - 6 / BE 52
Johnathon Simpkin - 12 / BE 44
Thomas Ledger - 33 / BE 41
Hayden Crozier - 16 / BE 33
Ryan Neates - 20 / BE 28
Harry Cunningham - 19 / BE 18
Lincoln Mccarthy - 25 / BE 15
Jordan Schroder - 31 / BE 6
Nick Haynes - 53 / BE -6

ON THE RADAR ROOKS - Yet to Debut, expecting big things, watch out for these ones.

Tom Mitchell - Sydney mifdfielder smashing it in the seconds, will play soon.
Sam Gibson - Nth Melbourne midfielder shone in the NAB cup may get his chance at some stage.
Thomas Couch - Melbourne Mid/Fwd, also shone in the NAB cup many expected to see him sooner.
Mark Baguley - Essendon Mid/Def, needs a LTI to be elevated and included looked good preseason.
Elliot Kavanagh - Thanks to TheHanger - On the Main List can debut any time.
Jeromey Webberley - Richmond defender also showed a bit in NAB cup last in a long list, but form or injury may see him debut.
Sam Docherty - Brisbane Mid/Def - Has been playing in reserves for awhile now, expected an earlier debut from him.
Anthony Morabito - Fremantle midfielder, we should see him this round or next and he should cement a spot.

THE GWS ROOKS STILL TO COME

In approximate order of liklihood to play / hold a spot.

Jonathon Patton - FWD
Stephen Clifton - MID
Tim Golds - MID/DEF
Kurt Aylett - MID/DEF
Sam Frost - DEF
Tom Downie - RUCK
Josh Growden - MID/FWD
Rhys Cooyou - FWD
Tim Segrave - DEF
Sam Shulz - MID
Gerald Ugle - DEF
Mark Whiley - DEF

THIS WEEKS TRADES - WILL UPDATE DAILY

MOST POPULAR TRADES (IN - OUT)

1     Ablett, G     Pendlebury, S    1,705 (2%)
2     Williams, M     Horsley, K    1,041 (1%)
3     Elliott, J     Smith, D    916 (1%)
4     Ablett, G     Horsley, K    901 (1%)
5     Williams, M     McDonald, J    790 (1%)
6     Watson, J     Pendlebury, S    751 (1%)
7     Elliott, J     Kennedy, A    648 (1%)
8     Ablett, G     McDonald, J    479 (0%)
9     Sandilands, A     McIntosh, H    478 (0%)
10     Goddard, B     Scotland, H    476 (0%)

MOST TRADED IN

1     Ablett, G    6.45%
2     Elliott, J    5.30%
3     Williams, M    4.16%
4     Goddard, B    2.49%
5     Mitchell, S    2.31%
6     Zorko, D    2.30%
7     Nicholson, D    2.23%
8     Riewoldt, J    2.03%
9     Watson, J    1.96%
10     Shaw, S    1.84%

MOST TRADED OUT

1     Pendlebury, S    6.44%
2     Horsley, K    4.91%
3     Smith, D    4.89%
4     McDonald, J    3.63%
5     Scotland, H    3.35%
6     Kennedy, A    2.82%
7     McIntosh, H    2.68%
8     Bugg, T    2.51%
9     Hargrave, R    2.26%
10     Porplyzia, J    1.94%

*Updated 5:00PM Wednesday

FREAKO'S RAVE:   http://freako.championdata.com/2012/Fantasy_Freako_Rd10.pdf

Well that's all folks, look out for the "ask the coaches" threads and any of the guys around giving plenty of advice on all things Fantasy Football.

LINK:

DT:  (waiting for thread to go up)

SC:  http://www.fanfooty.com.au/forum/index.php/topic,56617.0.html

Feel free to check out the player research thread, I am doing my best to get requests answered as quickly as possible.

LINK:  http://www.fanfooty.com.au/forum/index.php/topic,45731.0.html

And Ricochet's "actual price changes and break even write up.

LINK:  http://www.fanfooty.com.au/forum/index.php/topic,61299.0.html

And Jukesy's Captains.

LINK:  http://www.fanfooty.com.au/forum/index.php/topic,61438.0.html

[Dutchie64]

Awesome stuff as per usual Colli.......thanks & given you a few cheers again :)

[Danstar]

thanks mate

[HappyDEZ]

Thorough stuff Colliwobblers +1. Just seeing the likes of Miles, Clifton, Gibson & Couch on 1 & 0 games is enough to make ya wanna eat some MRB donuts & be patient. +1

[elephants]

Bringing in Crozier this week... Am I crazy?

[Colliwobblers]

Bringing in Crozier this week... Am I crazy?

depends on why your doing it and whether it will save you a donut or not, won't you just get a donut in round 12 instead of 11 or are you planning to trade crozier or another round 12 player in his line out after round 11?

[elephants]

Bringing in Crozier this week... Am I crazy?

depends on why your doing it and whether it will save you a donut or not, won't you just get a donut in round 12 instead of 11 or are you planning to trade crozier or another round 12 player in his line out after round 11?

Its the 200k from Jmac that tempts me... By trading here I have the dough for an upgrade than in turn saves a donut in round 11.

My head hurts.

[Colliwobblers]

wait and see if tom motchell or anthony morabito are named first or marley williams would be the best cash making bye covering option going, should get a few more games while swan and or pendles are out cost nothing and will go straight up next round if he gets a game round 13 you'll have made $100k or so from him.

unlikely he will hold his spot but could cover for the byes and make you some cash, but if you want someone to keep for the bench hope tmitchell or amorabito are named because they will be a lot more likely to hold thier spots and provide bench cover for you later in the season, especially morabito.

if you didn't care about the round 11 donut you'd downgrade to miles, he should be back from injury round 12 but MASSIVE risk picking him without knowing if he will be back or named for round 12. Clifton is another that can't be far away

[Dudge]

Awesome stuff Colli, great work mate

[picker_man]

wow this is blue label johnny walker stuff (i.e top shelf).  Great read again colli +1

edit: haha accidently cheered ele instead, will have to wait an hour and add it

[ShaynoB]

Great work as usual mate!!

Williams And Elliott... Interesting! Didn't even think about trading them in but obviously alot of over ppl have

[elephants]

wow this is blue label johnny walker stuff (i.e top shelf).  Great read again colli +1

edit: haha accidently cheered ele instead, will have to wait an hour and add it

I'll cheer you back Pickers for that hahah!

wait and see if tom motchell or anthony morabito are named first or marley williams would be the best cash making bye covering option going, should get a few more games while swan and or pendles are out cost nothing and will go straight up next round if he gets a game round 13 you'll have made $100k or so from him.

unlikely he will hold his spot but could cover for the byes and make you some cash, but if you want someone to keep for the bench hope tmitchell or amorabito are named because they will be a lot more likely to hold thier spots and provide bench cover for you later in the season, especially morabito.

if you didn't care about the round 11 donut you'd downgrade to miles, he should be back from injury round 12 but MASSIVE risk picking him without knowing if he will be back or named for round 12. Clifton is another that can't be far away

Yeah great thinking Colli! If Mitchell is named I'll look to slot him in, thanks mate!!

[Justin Bieber]

All these people getting rid of Pendles for Ablett.

haha they missed out on his big 186 ;D

[treebeard]

Thanks for this.

No great downgrade options at the moment are there?

[Ricochet]

amazing as always Col, it truly is going to be carnage over the next 3 weeks
cheer