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Expensive rookies

Started by twinkle, March 22, 2012, 01:49:17 PM

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twinkle

so intially I was shying away from the expensive rookies (e.g. Coniglio, Caddy) believing in the arguement that a $100K rookie can get to $350K easy enough but a $200K rookie needs to get to $450K to match that return which is a hard ask.

Fair enough but...

...there is a significant risk that many cheap rookies will score poorly or play limited game time (bar a few exceptions like Magner); but I think there is only little risk that, for example, Coniglio and Caddy will score very poorly and/or not play most games.

So I wonder if once you average it out this more reliable good scoring and regular game time will offset the increased initial cost anyway.

Also If I pick these same 2 players and they pump out 80'ish scores each week, but my opponents are playing $100K rookies in the early rounds that only pump out 60's. Then I am at a significant advatage in these early rounds and could win a lot of the leagues games early to be sure of playing finals. Potentially I can also offset this strategy and 'give in' to losing a bye game (as I should be sitting comfortable on the ladder from the early wins) allowing me to pick a stronger overall team with those bye players.

thoughts? Cheers

Clark U

I like your thinking, Coniglio will hopefully be spared from the GWS rotations (if they do rotate), wheras some of the 100k rookies are more likely to be rested, affecting their cash gains. Come round 9-11 , Coniglio and Caddy should be right to cash in on as they'va had atleast 6 weeks of price gains, but a rested rookie would still need some more time to fatten up.

I know I'm paying the extra.

thewizz

You are also 100K closer to getting your premium?