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Best money bets?

Started by elephants, March 18, 2012, 02:36:04 AM

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Noz

Just need to clarify if I were to pick Carlton on the line at -4 does that mean they have to win by less than 4?

Justin Bieber

Quote from: elephants on April 26, 2012, 10:39:20 PM
Quote from: whatlez on April 26, 2012, 10:09:01 PM
I've 10$ on

Crows 1-39
Blues 1-39
Saints 39+
Hawks 1-39

Thoughts Ele?

I'm a shower punter. Not going to lie. Looks likely enough... What's it paying??

220. On Sportsbet after teams were annouced it was paying 260 :(

elephants

Quote from: Noz on April 26, 2012, 10:51:35 PM
Just need to clarify if I were to pick Carlton on the line at -4 does that mean they have to win by less than 4?
No. They have to win by 4 points or more.

Quote from: whatlez on April 26, 2012, 10:56:44 PM
Quote from: elephants on April 26, 2012, 10:39:20 PM
Quote from: whatlez on April 26, 2012, 10:09:01 PM
I've 10$ on

Crows 1-39
Blues 1-39
Saints 39+
Hawks 1-39

Thoughts Ele?

I'm a shower punter. Not going to lie. Looks likely enough... What's it paying??

220. On Sportsbet after teams were annouced it was paying 260 :(

Damn. I think that looks okay. Picking margins like that generally is risky and if I was doing it I would rather the odds be closer to $3.

Still it really should come off :)

Noz

Quote from: elephants on April 26, 2012, 10:58:34 PM
Quote from: Noz on April 26, 2012, 10:51:35 PM
Just need to clarify if I were to pick Carlton on the line at -4 does that mean they have to win by less than 4?
No. They have to win by 4 points or more.

Oh good was sweating for a bit chucked a couple dollars on for a $374 return.

PowerBug

Won't come off whatlez, the Crows won't win.

upthemaidens

Quote from: Noz on April 26, 2012, 10:51:35 PM
Just need to clarify if I were to pick Carlton on the line at -4 does that mean they have to win by less than 4?
basically when you see i.e. -3.5,+7.5,+48.5 etc. just add that to the score of the team u backed (i.e. carlton -4.5 u add -4.5 to carlton's score and that becomes their final score vs freo's actual score) and that determines the result

Noz

Quote from: upthemaidens on April 26, 2012, 11:10:33 PM
Quote from: Noz on April 26, 2012, 10:51:35 PM
Just need to clarify if I were to pick Carlton on the line at -4 does that mean they have to win by less than 4?
basically when you see i.e. -3.5,+7.5,+48.5 etc. just add that to the score of the team u backed (i.e. carlton -4.5 u add -4.5 to carlton's score and that becomes their final score vs freo's actual score) and that determines the result
Thanks for clearing it up guys cheers for you

Justin Bieber

Quote from: PowerBug on April 26, 2012, 11:10:23 PM
Won't come off whatlez, the Crows won't win.

haha good one ;D

I better not have them all then the Crows loose haha.

crabapples

here's my big bet for the weekend i love placing bets im so full of confidence  ;D... (atm)

whats ppls thoughts on this have a guess at the value??

CARL    (1-39)
WBD    (first to 15 points)
NMFC   (first points)
Saints   (15.5+)
GEE      (15.5+)
WCE     (1-39)
ADEL     (15.5+)

upthemaidens

Quote from: crabapples on April 27, 2012, 10:43:52 AM
here's my big bet for the weekend i love placing bets im so full of confidence  ;D... (atm)

whats ppls thoughts on this have a guess at the value??

CARL    (1-39)
WBD    (first to 15 points)
NMFC   (first points)
Saints   (15.5+)
GEE      (15.5+)
WCE     (1-39)
ADEL     (15.5+)
just a stab in the dark i'll say $65.40,,
  and whether it will come in, well i think u are gambling. personally i wouldnt put so many legs together,but u obviously want to go for the big pay off

crabapples

Yeh thats it $$$

Im trying a new approach after learning on here about hedging bets n that. Iv got a 4 leg multi which will return my original deposit and then ill just play around with the rest. Hopefully it works,

That multi pay $48.89 pretty good i think theres not really any massive long shots

upthemaidens

with the north leg, is that just first team to score? if so that is just coin flipping ,, drop that leg

out of your multi i would go (carlt 1-39/ WB first to 15/ STK 15.5+/ Geel 15.5+/ WC 1-39) 5-leg multi that i think would be a safer bet and pay what? $18 or so?

crabapples

yeah the North leg is first to get any score, was really the only value in that game, $1.60.. but i really feel they'll come out hard first bounce (lets hope so  :))..

your multi is $14.51 on sportingbet..

in my bets the only real value is coming from Carl 1-39 @$2.35..  ADEL 15.5+ $2 the rest are even more measly

upthemaidens

the showdown is tricky,, its been cold and wet in adelaide for most of the week and cant see much changing by sunday. which should mean a low scoring game, so adelaide by 15.5+ not sure about. 1-39 might be a better bet.

 

upthemaidens

now on tonights game for the over/under total match score,
TAB have wised up and have changed the odds from $1.90 to $1.87 (greedy barbies) .. im expecting that freo will try to shut the game down cause they cant go goal for goal against carlton, also night games at subi can be slippery with dew.
   they have set the line at 182.5 pts ,which even though im not that confident i think the under is the better bet.

also theres a bet for most disposals in the WB vs GWS game where they have Boyd at $2.05 vs the field at $1.75, if u think sheedy will put a tagger on boyd than the field bet seems decent(maybe added to multi's)