Jobe Watson

Started by essendon2, March 06, 2012, 08:31:26 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

What will Jobe average?

113+
108-113
102-107
96-101
90-95

essendon2

Jobe averaged 117 from the first 8 games last season and we all know he definitely as the potential to be a super premium!
He surely has to be on everyone's radar, most likely as an upgrade target - he's currently sitting in my 5th MID position.

What do you guys reckon he'll average?

If he stays fit, I reckon he'll be up around the 107-110 mark.

Jukes

I reckon he'll average about a consistent 5-7 points less then Stanton, and I reckon Stants is in for a 118 average, meaning Jobe will probably top the 110 average. I'm going Stants and not Jobe, however I reckon Jobe is in for a great season and will captain a premiership.

Justin Bieber

Jukes you rate Stanton so highly. Not many people have cracked 118 before...

TheMailman


TheMailman

No doubt it's just bias  ;)

As for the Watson question, he was certainly pumping them out at the start of the season before that leg injury but he really tailed off after that.

He does carry the Dons midfield a lot though so I'd expect an average higher than 100 but lower than 110

essendon2

Stanton will average 112, Jobe 107 - if they stay fit!

Justin Bieber

Quote from: essendon2 on March 06, 2012, 08:31:26 PM

If he stays fit, I reckon he'll be up around the 110 mark.

TheMailman

Both Jobe and Stants have way too many sub 100 scores to be considered as genuine unique guns

essendon2

Quote from: TheMailman on March 06, 2012, 08:46:54 PM
Both Jobe and Stants have way too many sub 100 scores to be considered as genuine unique guns
if Jobe hadn't gotten injured last year - he had a good chance of averaging 115 and winning the brownlow....

he had the most disposals up until round 10

TheMailman

Essendon started dipping before round 10 anyway.

Yes, Watson is underpriced. From last years efforts he deserved around an 109-110 average.

But look at his scores coming back from injury. He obviously struggled a lot so a simple relapse could trigger some more scores like than. Plus Swan, Boyd/Ablett Selwood Thompson etc. all look set for bigger years.

essendon2

Quote from: TheMailman on March 06, 2012, 08:55:48 PM
Essendon started dipping before round 10 anyway.

Yes, Watson is underpriced. From last years efforts he deserved around an 109-110 average.

But look at his scores coming back from injury. He obviously struggled a lot so a simple relapse could trigger some more scores like than. Plus Swan, Boyd/Ablett Selwood Thompson etc. all look set for bigger years.
yeah I've got Pendles Boyd Ablett Selwood and Watson... he's the best option <500k

Tom_16

Quote from: TheMailman on March 06, 2012, 08:35:56 PM
Quote from: Jukes on March 06, 2012, 08:33:46 PM
I reckon Stants is in for a 118 average


hahaha +1 stanton won't avg 118, probably 112 at the most plus he always has a fair few sub 100 scores.

Jukes

Stanton;
*Averaged 81 when he was 19/20, so been a DT gun from the offset.
*Improving team in Bombers.
*Watson and Heppell will cop the tag before him.
*Average has increased every year in his career of 8 seasons except 1 where it dropped 1.4 points.
*Has missed 6 games in the last 6 years; the two last season were due to a cracked shoulder.
*Kick to handball ratio from 2011 is 1.8:1; last season he kicked more then handballed in every game; against North Melbourne he made 21 kicks and 1 handball.
*Has a relatively easy draw. Plays NM, Port and GC first three rounds.
*His average would be 112 if he hadn't cracked his shoulder against West Coast and gotten subbed off for 34.
*Has evolved into a leader at the bombers, one of the senior players, who the youth players will look to apart from Watto.
*Only topped 30 possessions in a game 4 times last season to average 106. Lots of marks and tackles. If he can see more of the ball his average will skyrocket. E.g. scored 155 from 28 possessions against Collingwood.
*Massive ceiling; topped 150 twice last season and 130 twice also.
*Will be unique. Under 1% of teams have him.
*Cheaper then most premiums but will score similar if not more. Could average 120 if he gets the ball more.
*From round 13 onward last season after he recovered from his cracked shoulder he popped 9 tonnes in 12 games; the other three were 98, 93 and 87.
*Is having a good pre-season apparently. Bulked up a bit.
*Hits 26 in May so is quite young and reaching the DT peak years.
*Before his bye round he only plays teams from last years top 8 4 times; Collingwood (scored 155 against them last year), Eagles (At Etihad, sub-affected 34 and 109 ), Carlton (122 and 93) and Sydney (87 and 112).
*In the DT finals he plays North (107), Carlton (see above), Richmond (69 recovering from cracked shoulder and 135) and Collingwood (108 and 155). Will score massive in DT grand final. All 4 of these games in Melbourne, 3 at the MCG, his highest scoring venue, and the other at Etihad, his second highest scoring venue.
*Not much chance of resting, with the 4th through 10th spots to be quite close this season.
*17 of his 22 games are at either Etihad or the MCG, his two highest scoring venues.

TheMailman

His scores Yo-yo like nothing else.

He gets tagged almost ALL the time. Tagging list goes: 1.Watson 2. Stanton

His draw is pretty standard and pretty much everybody "tears up the track" at preseason.

The reason his average is over 105 is because of the 2 150s and 2 130s

Memphistopheles

If Watson stays fit, and it's a big if, then I think he can average 110+.

However, I don't think he will get through the season injury free.

Stanton might average 100 but not much more.