Statistics

[c4v3m4n]

Hey everyone,

I have an open question to everyone about the influence of statistics on your choices of SuperCoach or Dream Team players.

What statistics help you decide whether or not you will select a certain player for your SC/DT side?

Is it consistency?
Is it how quickly one can score points?
Is it how high or low some players can score?

I'd really appreciate your thoughts on the matter.

Why the interest you ask? No reason. Just interested....  :)

[bomberboy0618]

My sinister motive sense is tingling... :P
I like consistency myself. Also knowing the ceiling and the floor of a player is good, as it shows what they can do. PPM I dont really care about, but with the sub rule it it slowly coming into more importance.

[roo boys!]

The one I like to look at the most is consistency/standard deviation.

[c4v3m4n]

Thanks for the help so far BB and RB.

[roo boys!]

No problem.

[bomberboy0618]

Glad to help :).

[Ringo]

Consistency is probably the main one to look at including deviations eg Some players may have a score of 130 but next week be down to the 60s so look for pretty consistent players and players whose consistentcy is on the rise eg Burger this year was consistently in the 70s early but last 10 games averaged over 100.  I use the watch section in SC to monitor progress.

[Master Q]

Consistency is the No.1 and then how badly they could score and how high they can score. Also look at how they have played and who they still need to play.

[c4v3m4n]

Seems like consistency is #1 decision maker so far.

Thanks Ringo and Q for your input.

[Master Q]

Are you thinking about making a spreadsheet or something?

[Windigo]

Well in terms of consistency Presti took the cake.  :P

[Cicjose]

i did one last year i may do one again this year (for me consistency is scores no higher or lower than 5 points from their average score in preseason)

eg:

player 1: 75 98 67

v

player 2 75 85 80

i will pick player 2

[CrowsFan]

Honestly it all depends on what your aims for the season are. If you want to do well in your league go for the consistent player, but if you want to get higher in the rankings I see more value going with the inconsistent player. Now you are all probably thinking I'm crazy, but I'll try to explain what I mean...

Say you have 2 players, lets call them Carlos Consistent and Rob Rolercoaster.
Carlos constantly scores between 95 and 110 points, week in week out. Kinda like Marc Murphy back in 2009 for SC. In that year 16 of his scores ranged between 98 and 116. So basically with this player you know what you're going to get.
Then you have Rob, whose scores fluctuate wildly week to week. Sometimes have massive weeks scoring 150+ whilst others he is more subdued and only manages to pump out a 60/70. Similar to Buddy Franklin of 2008. That year he had 8 scores over 130 (4 of them over 160), and 9 scores under 90 (4 of them under 70).

So if you had the choice of 2 players like this who were both going to average the same thing come end of year, but would get there in different fashion and I was going for overall I would pick Rob Rolercoaster. My reasoning is if you could half predict when he would explode you give him the captaincy and reap the rewards, whereas giving Carlos the captaincy doesn't get you very far ahead when just doubling 110 compared to 150+

[Cicjose]

i agree CF it's just about picking the right players and knowing when you could expect Rob Rollercoaster to captain your side or setting Carlos Consistency to do the job

[hawk_88]

The one I like to look at the most is consistency/standard deviation.

When it comes to stats (and I only play SC) I look at very little in terms of on the ground stats.

Tackles - score well in SC and mean the player can score even when his team is without the ball
Kick to handball ratio - kicks are just worth more
Kicking efficiency - important in SC obviously

Then in terms of SC scores

Standard Deviation - reliability is very important, even more important for your premiums/captain. Rookies will always go up and down so you need your core team to score well.

However, these are basically tie breakers. The most important stat is the average filtered with my footy nous in terms of factors that could alter that average over the year, i.e. tactical changes, change in role, injury prone, etc.