Brownlow Predictions Round 24: Judd to win, but wait there is more

[Usman]

Round 21

Stk v Coll
3   Davis
2   Swan
1   Montagna
   
Carl v Fre
3   Judd
2   Gibbs
1   Walker

Haw v Port
3   Rioli
2   Franklin
1   Shiels
   
Ess v WB   
3   Stanton
2   Boyd
1   Watson
      
BL v GC
3   Black
2   Luenberger
1   Rockliff
   
Melb v WCE
3   Priddis
2   Cox
1   Gaff
   
Rich v Syd   
3   Cotchin
2   Houli
1   Deledio
   
Adel  v Geel
3   Sloane
2   Corey
1   Knights

Usman's Leaderboard

32 Judd
28 Mitchell
25 Pendlebury
23 Murphy
22 Dal Santo
22 Boyd
21 Priddis
20 Swan
19 Ablett
19 Cox
19 Thomas
19 Selwood

[Usman]

Club's Leaderboard

Adelaide

14 Thompson
5 Vince
4 Dangerfield
4 Van Berlo
3 Sloane
3 Rielly
1 Johncock
1 Knights

Total 35

Brisbane

15 Black
5 Rockliff
4 Brown
3 Redden
3 Power
2 Lueunberger
2 Clark
1 Rich

Total 35

Carlton

32 Judd
23 Murphy
11 Gibbs
6 Robinson
4 Walker
3 Scotland
3 Betts
2 Carrazzo
2 Kruezer
1 Simpson

Total 87

Collingwood

25 Pendelbury
20 Swan
19 Thomas
7 Cloke
5 Davis
4 Beams
4 Blair
3 Sidebottom
3 Shaw
3 Wellingham
3 Ball
2 Krakour
1 Dawes
1 Fasolo

Total 100

Essendon

18 Watson
6 Hocking
6 Stanton
4 Zaharakis
3 Monfries
3 Reimers
3 Melksham
2 Howlett
2 Myers
2 Bellchambers
1 Hille
1 Crameri
1 Lonergan
1 Ryder
1 Mcveigh

Total 54

Fremantle

15 Fyfe
13 Pavlich
5 Lower
4 Sandilands
3 Mundy
2 Ballantyne
2 Griffin
2 Mzungu
1 Mcpharlin
1 Broughton
1 Barlow

Total 49

Geelong

19 Selwood
12 Johnson
9 Bartel
9 Corey
6 Kelly
6 Enright
6 Chapman
6 Podsiadly
5 Stokes
5 Christensen
2 Ling
2 Ottens
1 Wojcinski

Total 88

Gold Coast

19 Ablett
5 Rischitelli
5 Brennan
1 Swallow
1 Iles

Total 32

Hawthorn

28 Mitchell
14 Hodge
14 Franklin
7 Rioli
6 Sewell
3 Savage
3 Suckling
3 Lewis
3 Guerra
3 Birchall
3 Shiels
2 Burgouyne

Total 83

North Melbourne

17 Swallow
10 Wells
9 Ziebell
8 Petrie
7 Goldstien
6 Harvey
1 Rawlings
1 Edwards
1 Bastinac

Total 60

Melbourne

15 Moloney
4 Sylvia
4 Trengove
4 Martin
3 Pettard
3 Green
3 Jamar
3 McKenzie
3 Watts
1 Maric

Total 43

Port Adelaide

4 Brogan
3 Schulz
3 Westoff
3 Boak
1 Gray
1 Hartlett
1 Cassisi

Total 16

Richmond

14 Cotchin
9 Martin
6 Foley
6 Deledio
2 Newman
2 Nahas
2 Houli
1 Riewoldt

Total 42

St Kilda

22 Dal Santo
12 Montagna
8 Goddard
5 Milne
3 Schnieder
2 Hayes
2 Armitage
2 Riewoldt
1 Mcevoy
1 Koschitzke

Total 58

Sydney

14 Goodes
13 Bolton
13 Okeefe
6 Kennedy
3 Seaby
3 Mcveigh
2 Mumford
2 Mcglynn
2 Jack

Total 58

Western Bulldogs

22 Boyd
13 Griffen
6 Ward
4 Gian
3 Higgins
3 Cooney
1 Gilbee

Total 52

West Coast

21 Priddis
19 Cox
8 Shuey
6 Embley
6 Kerr
5 Lecras
3 Natanui
3 Kennedy
3 Lynch
2 Hurn
1 Rosa
1 Gaff

Total 72

[LaHug]

Rich v Syd   
3   Cotchin
2   Houli
1   Deledio

I disagree with this game. I was there and I saw it quite differently (not expecting you to change things, just my thoughts). I didn't have Cotchin in the best 3 at all. I had Rance in there as either getting 2 or 1 with Bachar taking the 3 and Lids either getting 2 or 1.

Probably Houli 3, Rance 2, Deledio 1. Just my 2 cents :)

[Usman]

All 3 were very good watched the whole thing too except not at the game (wish I was their though you lucky barbie) and they were all playmakers cotchins clearances under the noses of the umpire got him over the line.

[LaHug]

Fair enough. Probably hard to see Rance getting votes just in a general sense anyways.

[Usman]

Rance will go very close to best on in richmonds b&f he didn't put a step wrong all day and stopped goodes impact when he went forward but in terms of brownlow votes it's probably not likel when those other 3 aswell as jpk were so attacking today

[LaHug]

Yeah. I guess Brownlow votes aren't always an indication of the best players in any particular game.
It was amazing though and I'm so happy that I went ;D

[upthemaidens]

thankyou  Usman,  for your work..  after a terrible year of betting the brownlow is my chance to get alittle back off the bookies ::)
  centrebet have just started opening the markets for team votes, they only have north melbourne's up so far,but the rest will be coming soon.
they have the price at  A.Swallow- $1.63
                                  D.Wells-$3.60
                                  D.Petrie-$8
                                  J.Ziebell-$12
                                  T.Goldstein-$13
                                  B.Harvey-$34
                                  B.Rawlings-$126

[Hippo]

Good work once again Usman!

Upthe.... the market has been open for some time now on Centrebet, its only showing North because obv there odds don't change when they don't play.

Allot of teams are set in stone now with my eyes closely watching:

Goodes... as long as ROK doesnt get another BOG he will have his imo

Fyfe/Pav... looking more and more likely that you will DEF have to hedge your bets here

Port.... If they lose the remaining games in the same style i will have a go at Westhoff on a couple of multis but thats it...too many players to cover

Cotchen/Martin... will be one of these 2 but too hard to tell and 2 dangerous too leave one out, Hedge here too!

Priddis/Cox... "      same same as above                                                                                                  "

North... Swallow in a couple but not really interested in Hedging him


Is this similier to others mindsets with the teams???

[upthemaidens]

oh ok hippo,,  i dont check it to often and it wasnt there last time i looked.  i will probably bet with TAB anyhow and they dont have team odds up yet.
are there any really good odds on any of the favourites?  i remember Boyd being a great price last year

[Hippo]

oh ok hippo,,  i dont check it to often and it wasnt there last time i looked.  i will probably bet with TAB anyhow and they dont have team odds up yet.
are there any really good odds on any of the favourites?  i remember Boyd being a great price last year

unfortunatly there are no good odds on the favs!

last week if you put the top 10 favs together (leaving Ablett out) it was 15/1, so yeah the odds reflect there chances.

Last year TAB opened the market on the Wed after rd22 if my memory serves me correctly.

Another thing worth noting is TAB have upped there mutlis to 20 legs 2 weeks ago... last year 10 was the max, this has come at a great time as i see 10 locks to be placed in every single bet and then working upto 15 legs

[madskill55]

Most of the teams are indeed set in stone but the ones you mentioned:

Goodes should win it, with his recent polling history and hard finish to the year he should beat okeefe.

Fyfe and Pav will be dead eye dick...whoever finished the season off better and polls the minor votes will win the chocolates. id hedge my way close to fyfe.

Port...pretty much a lottery btw brogan, westhoff and boak...outside chance hartlett but just see odds here..

Cotchin should have a slight buffer over Martin.

Priddis/Cox...Everyone's put off by the fact that big ruckmen cant score well or are basing their judgements on big Cox's poor brownlow count last year with 2 votes out of 22 games..But you have to remember Cox is playing 10x better this year than last year..Its going to be touch and go here...Usman has 21 to priddis, 19 to cox...i have cox on 21 and priddis on 18..

North should go to swallow but still unclear between him, wells and goldstein imo...

Another thing worth noting is TAB have upped there mutlis to 20 legs 2 weeks ago... last year 10 was the max, this has come at a great time as i see 10 locks to be placed in every single bet and then working upto 15 legs

Awesome, where does it say that?

[upthemaidens]

oh ok hippo,,  i dont check it to often and it wasnt there last time i looked.  i will probably bet with TAB anyhow and they dont have team odds up yet.
are there any really good odds on any of the favourites?  i remember Boyd being a great price last year

unfortunatly there are no good odds on the favs!

last week if you put the top 10 favs together (leaving Ablett out) it was 15/1, so yeah the odds reflect there chances.

Last year TAB opened the market on the Wed after rd22 if my memory serves me correctly.

Another thing worth noting is TAB have upped there mutlis to 20 legs 2 weeks ago... last year 10 was the max, this has come at a great time as i see 10 locks to be placed in every single bet and then working upto 15 legs

would that 10-way multi. be  adel,bris,carl,ess,geel,haw,north,mel,stk,wb ? 
generally i try to stay away from multi's and just put larger wages on single bets,  but may have to change my thinking for this year

[upthemaidens]

my tip for port is  westhoff

[Hippo]

Awesome, where does it say that?
[/quote]

i get emails from TAB and this was on it last week:

Stretch your Multi to 20 legs!
We've doubled the number of legs you can have in a Multi from ten to twenty. What's more, racing fans will be delighted to hear they can now take a fixed odds racing treble. The twenty legger and the racing treble are only available in retail TAB outlets or via phone on 133 390.

Upthe... if you want to make good coin then def change you way of thinking and get into the multis. Put it this way i won $8.7k from a $5 multi bet last year.

Take North out of the 10 and replace with Goodes