Brownlow Predictions Round 24: Judd to win, but wait there is more

Started by Usman, April 05, 2011, 02:31:13 PM

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Bluke


CrowsFan

Great job Usman! Also you have your own scoring system?? :o

Justin Bieber

Nice way to keep yourself occupied Usman 8).

I would love to see Pendles and Murphy outpoll Swan and Judd :P.

ossie85


I remember in 2003 I made a system for the Brownlow, and it told me it would be a threeway tie between Buckley, Ricciuto and Voss on 22 votes. What actually happened? A three way tie between Buckley, Ricciuto and Goodes on 22 votes! I was so epically pleased with how close it was. I was under 18 at the time though, so I didn't profit from it.

... but since then my system hasn't even been close lol, and I stopped trying after a few more years of failure!

CrowsFan

Haha wow ossie very impressive! Imagine if you had been old enough to bet and you chucked some money on it being a 3 way tie! :o

pothead

Quote from: diddley on April 06, 2011, 01:34:03 AM
put all your money on fev. he will have a late surge for the brownlow.
I was thinking the same thing  :P

Cicjose

Swan has 6 points after 2

Pendlebury has 4 points after 2

ossie85


Umpies like Pendles over Swan, I'd almost reverse that.

Benny J could steal a 3 also in round 1.

Usman

QuoteSwan has 6 points after 2

Pendlebury has 4 points after 2

Very possible Swan 3 votes without a doubt in rd 1 but pendles rnd 2 just cause there stats were almost identicle but pendlbury is more classy and just attracts ther umps more i reckon plus he scored slightly more in my system  ;) which probably accounts for nothing.

Usman

Did anyone win money on the most team votes muliti's last year?

i wish i put money on could have cashed in. My scoring system predicted

Adelaide: Thompson 15           Actual: Thompson 15
Brisbane: Brown 16                 Actual: Brown 12
Carlton: Judd 27                     Actual: Judd 30
Collingwood: Swan 28             Actual: Swan 24
Essendon: Watson 16             Actual: Watson 16
Fremantle: Sandilands 20         Actual: Sandilands 20
Geelong: Ablett 29                 Actual: Ablett 26
Hawthorn: Hodge 26              Actual: Hodge 16   :o>
Melbourne: Sylvia 13               Actual: Sylvia 10 Davey 10
Kangaroos: Swallow 16           Actual: Harvey 13
Port: Boak 16                        Actual: Boak 16
Richmond: Tuck 13  :o            Actual: Deledio 7 Riewoldt 7
Saint Kilda: Montagna 20         Actual: Hayes 19
Sydney: Goodes 13                Actual: Goodes 13
WB: Boyd 25                        Actual: Boyd 20
WCE: Priddis 10                     Actual: Priddis 13

So i was fairly close i guess you could say. Sort of  ::) A multi with all the teams i got right would have been good in hindsight lol

soutter

Quote from: Usman on April 06, 2011, 06:37:29 PM
Did anyone win money on the most team votes muliti's last year?

i wish i put money on could have cashed in. My scoring system predicted

Adelaide: Thompson 15           Actual: Thompson 15
Brisbane: Brown 16                 Actual: Brown 12
Carlton: Judd 27                     Actual: Judd 30
Collingwood: Swan 28             Actual: Swan 24
Essendon: Watson 16             Actual: Watson 16
Fremantle: Sandilands 20         Actual: Sandilands 20
Geelong: Ablett 29                 Actual: Ablett 26
Hawthorn: Hodge 26              Actual: Hodge 16   :o>
Melbourne: Sylvia 13               Actual: Sylvia 10 Davey 10
Kangaroos: Swallow 16           Actual: Harvey 13
Port: Boak 16                        Actual: Boak 16
Richmond: Tuck 13  :o            Actual: Deledio 7 Riewoldt 7
Saint Kilda: Montagna 20         Actual: Hayes 19
Sydney: Goodes 13                Actual: Goodes 13
WB: Boyd 25                        Actual: Boyd 20
WCE: Priddis 10                     Actual: Priddis 13

So i was fairly close i guess you could say. Sort of  ::) A multi with all the teams i got right would have been good in hindsight lol

That's a fair effort! I'll be keeping a very close eye on this thread. Nice work mate

ossie85


Nice Usman! Much impressed, should apply to Champion Data

Holz

Quote from: Usman on April 05, 2011, 11:20:39 PM
QuoteNice read Usman i think one thing for sure Judd will not poll in rd 1.

RD1 Car v Rich

Murphy
Riewoldt
Gibbs

This is why i thought Judd would poll over Gibbs-
  Possessions   Goals      Behinds   cont' marks    tackles       clearences    cont' pos   inside 50's   hit outs  Points (my scoring system)

Gibbs     29           1             0                 0              6              4                   5                  9               0                          124


Judd     25           1                 1            0                  8                10              14                   5               0                           167

you havent accounted ofr the judd factor (+20 points), if an ump cant pick between 2 players and one of them is judd, he always gets the nod.

Junktimer

Quote from: Holzman on April 06, 2011, 08:43:48 PM
Quote from: Usman on April 05, 2011, 11:20:39 PM
QuoteNice read Usman i think one thing for sure Judd will not poll in rd 1.

RD1 Car v Rich

Murphy
Riewoldt
Gibbs

This is why i thought Judd would poll over Gibbs-
  Possessions   Goals      Behinds   cont' marks    tackles       clearences    cont' pos   inside 50's   hit outs  Points (my scoring system)

Gibbs     29           1             0                 0              6              4                   5                  9               0                          124


Judd     25           1                 1            0                  8                10              14                   5               0                           167

you havent accounted ofr the judd factor (+20 points), if an ump cant pick between 2 players and one of them is judd, he always gets the nod.

better still your forgetting the judd impact, every possession is gold, in terms of influence with disposal no afl player comes close

Hippo

Quote from: Usman on April 06, 2011, 06:37:29 PM
Did anyone win money on the most team votes muliti's last year?

i wish i put money on could have cashed in. My scoring system predicted

Adelaide: Thompson 15           Actual: Thompson 15
Brisbane: Brown 16                 Actual: Brown 12
Carlton: Judd 27                     Actual: Judd 30
Collingwood: Swan 28             Actual: Swan 24
Essendon: Watson 16             Actual: Watson 16
Fremantle: Sandilands 20         Actual: Sandilands 20
Geelong: Ablett 29                 Actual: Ablett 26
Hawthorn: Hodge 26              Actual: Hodge 16   :o>
Melbourne: Sylvia 13               Actual: Sylvia 10 Davey 10
Kangaroos: Swallow 16           Actual: Harvey 13
Port: Boak 16                        Actual: Boak 16
Richmond: Tuck 13  :o            Actual: Deledio 7 Riewoldt 7
Saint Kilda: Montagna 20         Actual: Hayes 19
Sydney: Goodes 13                Actual: Goodes 13
WB: Boyd 25                        Actual: Boyd 20
WCE: Priddis 10                     Actual: Priddis 13

So i was fairly close i guess you could say. Sort of  ::) A multi with all the teams i got right would have been good in hindsight lol


One Multi i put on was 2552/1, got halved because Sylvia drew with Davey.

BL best way to make money there is in betting imo... as your betting on something thats already happened. I outlayed $300 and got back 8.7k. Then backed Hayes  and Pendles for the Norm Smith.

Great idea for thread, i will follow with interest