Rookie Projective Scores: DEF

[Junktimer]

Hello all, below I will be listing projective scores made by myself on what these debutants will get round 1, assuming they play of course.

These projections were based on four criterion.  They were:

- A) How the rookies for that club went in 2010 in their debut game.

- B) How the rookie's draft number for the last three years went in their debut game.

- C) Average scores that 2010 rookies got in their debut game against the team the rookie is playing against.

- D) How the rookie's player they are likened too went in their debut game.

Using these four categories, as well as a little nudge (N), which is a percentage of the devised score I add on with my discretion as to how well I think they will go.  I was then able to devise a score for SC.

These debut scores are on the most part, quite low, but they most likely will increase as the season progresses, like most years.

I am aware that even with this number crunching, the potential and ability of a rookie is something that is very hard to be made into stats.  This guide is just an indicator of how the average rookie would go, minus his uniqueness.

Here they are:

A) How the rookies for that club went in 2010 in their debut game.
Peter Faulks- (FRE) 83.7
Tendai Mzungu- (FRE) 83.7
Dyson Heppell- (ESS) 64.4
Michael Hibberd- (ESS) 64.4
Angus Litherland- (HAW) 58.7
Paul Puopolo- (HAW) 58.7
Blayne Wilson- (WCE) 56.6
Benny Jacobs- (PTA) 55.5
Matthew Watson- (CAR) 53.7
Nicholas Duigan- (CAR) 53.7
Bryce Retzlaff- (BRI) 52
Cameron Richardson- (NM) 50
Billie Smedts- (GEE) 49.7
Cameron Guthrie- (GEE) 49.7
Daniel Talia- (ADE)   45.7
Jamie Cripps- (STK) 38.7
Max Otten- (SYD) 38.3
Seb Tape- (GC) -
Michael Coad- (GC) -      
Karmichael Hunt- (GC) -         
Sam Iles- (GC) -      
Josh Toy- (GC) -         
   
B) How the rookie's draft number for the last three years went in their debut game.
Matthew Watson- (CAR) 82
Paul Puopolo- (HAW) 76
Michael Coad- (GC) 69
Sam Iles- (GC) 64
Cameron Guthrie- (GEE) 62.7
Billie Smedts- (GEE) 62
Blayne Wilson- (WCE) 58
Nicholas Duigan- (CAR) 56
Jamie Cripps- (STK) 40
Dyson Heppell- (ESS) 39.7
Daniel Talia- (ADE)   25
Seb Tape- (GC) 24.5
Angus Litherland- (HAW) 23
Benny Jacobs- (PTA) 22
Max Otten- (SYD) 21
Michael Hibberd- (ESS) 7
Peter Faulks- (FRE) -
Tendai Mzungu- (FRE) -
Bryce Retzlaff- (BRI) -
Cameron Richardson- (NM) -
Karmichael Hunt- (GC) -         
Josh Toy- (GC) -

C) Average scores that 2010 rookies got in their debut game against the team the rookie is playing against.
Blayne Wilson- (WCE) 84.7
Angus Litherland- (HAW) 72.7
Paul Puopolo- (HAW) 72.7
Peter Faulks- (FRE) 71
Tendai Mzungu- (FRE) 71
Matthew Watson- (CAR) 70
Nicholas Duigan- (CAR) 70
Bryce Retzlaff- (BRI) 59
Michael Coad- (GC) 54.1
Sam Iles- (GC) 54.1
Seb Tape- (GC) 54.1
Karmichael Hunt- (GC) 54.1      
Josh Toy- (GC) 54.1
Max Otten- (SYD) 52.4
Jamie Cripps- (STK) 50.8
Cameron Richardson- (NM) 48.5
Cameron Guthrie- (GEE) 46
Billie Smedts- (GEE) 46
Dyson Heppell- (ESS) 45.4
Michael Hibberd- (ESS) 45.4
Benny Jacobs- (PTA) 43.5
Daniel Talia- (ADE)   39

D) How the rookie's player they are likened too went in their debut game.
Cameron Guthrie- (GEE) 87
Dyson Heppell- (ESS) 71
Tendai Mzungu- (FRE) 70
Angus Litherland- (HAW) 67
Jamie Cripps- (STK) 62
Max Otten- (SYD) 43
Matthew Watson- (CAR) 9
Seb Tape- (GC) 9
Blayne Wilson- (WCE) -
Paul Puopolo- (HAW) -
Peter Faulks- (FRE) -
Nicholas Duigan- (CAR) -
Bryce Retzlaff- (BRI) -
Michael Coad- (GC) -
Sam Iles- (GC) -
Karmichael Hunt- (GC) -      
Josh Toy- (GC) -
Cameron Richardson- (NM) -
Billie Smedts- (GEE) -
Michael Hibberd- (ESS) -
Benny Jacobs- (PTA) -
Daniel Talia- (ADE)   -

Overall
Peter Faulks- (FRE) 81
Tendai Mzungu- (FRE) 80
Paul Puopolo- (HAW) 73
Blayne Wilson- (WCE) 70
Michael Coad- (GC) 66
Cameron Guthrie- (GEE) 63
Nicholas Duigan- (CAR) 63
Sam Iles- (GC) 63
Dyson Heppell- (ESS) 60
Bryce Retzlaff- (BRI) 58
Josh Toy- (GC) 58
Angus Litherland- (HAW) 57
Karmichael Hunt- (GC) 56
Matthew Watson- (CAR) 56
Billie Smedts- (GEE) 55
Cameron Richardson- (NM) 53
Jamie Cripps- (STK) 49
Benny Jacobs- (PTA) 44
Michael Hibberd- (ESS) 41
Max Otten- (SYD) 39
Daniel Talia- (ADE)   38
Seb Tape- (GC) 30

I know these scores aren't gospel, but they could be a good indicator.

[bomberboy0618]

Thanks jt, i love this  :-*
Richardson will gun it up as a hbf ;)

[Junktimer]

thanks BB, yeah Richo's scores were quite small, surprised me

[Boomz]

Good write up but I think it's nearly impossible to know as they're all individual players in the end...

[Junktimer]

I know, and that is something that cannot be made into stats.  It's just an indicator of how the average rookie would go, minus his uniqueness.

[MTTY]

Another great idea JT keep them coming

[ossie85]

Simply amazing!

Faulks now more on my radar. This is some seriously good stuff

[Junktimer]

thanks ossie and MTTY  8)

[nas]

Got any spare time? Another good research,well done

[chaser]

you must have a good social life

[Junktimer]

you must have a good social life

nah mate only took me 2 hrs  8)

[Hawka]

wow  :o :o :o
this ios 1 of the best things i have seen done on here awesome work'

scool holiday boredom aye

[Junktimer]

haha thanks hawka.

insomnia, did most of it yesterday night  :-\

[Fletch74]

Great stuff JT, I think its a little biased towards Fremantle due to Barlow and co. last year. They're all individual players, so its hard to take these as gospel as you said. Excellent work though ;)

[Junktimer]

thats true fletch, fyfey also had a big debut with 104..