2011 Countdown: Graham Johncock

[ossie85]

Graham Johncock

2010 Stats
Games: 15
Total Score: 1520 (Ranked 140th overall, 40th amongst defenders)
Average Score: 101.33 (Ranked 30th overall, 4th amongst defenders)
High: 154 (Round 11)
Low: 50 (Round 22)
Standard Deviation: 35.98
Centuries: 7 out of 15
Starting Price: $479,900
High Price: $555,700 (round 11)
Low Price: $457,400 (round 17)


Summary:

Very dashy player who, despite missing 6 of the first 10 matches, really stood up as a running defender last year. He averaged over 100 for the first time since 2005, and at 28 and with a load of retirements, is now one of the Crows most senior players. I feel that it was no coincidence that Adelaide's form in the second half of the year coincided with Johncock returning.

Johncock has the capacity to score large centuries. 6 of his 7 centuries this year were 127 or more. Though this does imply inconsistency, and a large standard deviation of 35.98 confirms that.


The Crystal Ball:

Based on last year's magic number
Price: $538,200

Based on m0nty's fanplanner
Price: $512,400

Position: DEF (small chance of MID/DEF)

* Note, have now included prices from m0nty's fan planner. I'm not sure where his number came from but I don't doubt his wisdom! The problem with using m0nty's number is you can't compare players prices in 2010 with 2011 as the scale has changed. So both are included.

I actually think Johncock is value for money at that price. I think he has taken his game to the next level, and should score valuable centuries. One of my questions is about his durability, having only played a full season once in the last 6 years.

Decision:

Upgrade target. I don't always go with the theory that you should always choose consistent players (if a player averages 100 for the year he averages 100!), but for the inconsistent players, it is best to wait until they have a bad game, and jump on him later. Johncock fits that bill for me.

[Fletch74]

100% agree. I did not realise his average was that high, but he is very inconsistent. A definite upgrade target. He's never been on my radar, but after seeing that average he will be.

[benjy251090]

yeah, more likely an upgrade depending on how the crows go

[Maca24]

yeah, more likely an upgrade depending on how the crows go

yep upgrade target. to pricy for a player his age

[Hawka]

mayb from mee

[Justin Bieber]

I was keeping an eye on him this year. I was very surpised at some of the games he played :o.

He's a touch and go to start the season. More likely will upgrade due to his inconsistency.

[TOM15]

had a great season last year, plays the rebounding half back, plenty of the ball there :)

[Knowall]

Unlikely possible upgrade option

[tom_scully]

The early bye makes him a great upgrade target.

[Boomz]

I might have him but not sure...

[dylsta05]

probs and upgrade...

[BoredSaint]

upgrade

[MajorLazer]

Same for me. Upgrade target.

[TOM15]

he usaully improves as the season goes on, probs upgrade him halfway through the season as well

[RiOtChEsS]

yep upgrade target... he is the rebound 50 guy for the cows