The Watchlist - 2025 Edition

Started by Mat0369, January 23, 2025, 06:52:47 PM

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Bully

Sinclair back in town by the looks of things, didn't need much of a rev up, might have to consider him, Horne-Francis to Sinclair, Roberts to Sinclair, these are potential moves.

Mat0369

Sinclair or Dale was the right play. I was pretty lucky, I swapped Stewart out real late to Holmes, although Holmes getting tagged worried me (and he copped a hard one). It could have been far worse in the end if I did bring in Stewart.

Trainor was a bit of a flop but I'm okay with him at D8 and I'll see how Warner goes tomorrow.

Colliwobblers

Quote from: Mat0369 on March 23, 2025, 12:55:28 AMSinclair or Dale was the right play. I was pretty lucky, I swapped Stewart out real late to Holmes, although Holmes getting tagged worried me (and he copped a hard one). It could have been far worse in the end if I did bring in Stewart.

Trainor was a bit of a flop but I'm okay with him at D8 and I'll see how Warner goes tomorrow.

So good you got Stewart out, 91 with a hard tag is a good sign for Holmes. It was a hard watch especially when the SC scoring froze with him on 8. It was believable for awhile that he was still on 8 points into the third quarter.

I was thinking NWM for Perryman until I saw what Sinclair scored.

Bully

The worst thing about Stewart is he's about to haemorrhage cash even if he gets up, could be dirt cheap in a couple of weeks.

Mat0369

Round 2

Score: 1975
Rank: 40,063
Round Rank:  11,663
Cash: $77,100

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Good: Zorko, Roberts, Neale, Oliver, NOD, L. Ashcroft, Tsatas, Macrae, Daniel, SPP, Davidson
Pass: Ryan, Holmes, W. Ashcroft, Meek, TDK
Bad: Sheezel, Prior, Trac, Campo, Parker, Warner, Knevitt
Ugly: Trainor, Lalor, O'Sullivan

A pretty solid week after a crap Round 1.

I had 1 bad trade and 2 okay trades this week. Leake to Trainor ended up a nothing move. Initially I needed the cash but with Flynn out I didn't need to make the move and should have held. Flynn to Holmes was okay, 3 of my other 4 options killed it (Clark, Sinclair and Dale), but I thankfully dodged the Stewart bullet.

Neale bounced back and holding Tsatas looks like it will pay off. I have question marks around a handful of picks that bounced back but didn't really wow. My trades for the week below

O'Sullivan > Lindsay

I'm contemplating some more moves on the underperforming players I do have. Ryan didn't look great again but somehow got to a 95, Trac was moved forward and hasn't had the output I would have hoped for  over two weeks. Ashcroft looked like a disaster but scored about 60 points really, really quickly to salvage a decent score. Parker was slow again but the CBA volume is a tick. Meek had a disastrous first quarter and was on about -5 for most of it. To finish on 90 was pretty good, but two below par weeks isn't great.

I still have my eye on Bowey, Sinclair and Libba are the other two. Rookie wise, with Lindsay, I think I hit most of them now. I need to look at scores but Dewar may be a sneaky.

Ringo

Nice Trade proposed as Lindsay appears a must. Henderson another option if you need cash, Have you thought of O'Sullivan in defence with the Stewart injury,

Colliwobblers

#51
Bowey looked good might drop a bit when May back, completely different role but May does distribute a bit back there.

Parker is like sanders not impressing but not going backwards either so definitely not a pressing issue and nice money to have sitting there, better than rookie scoring.

Petracca is a hard read in a game that bad. Believe he will get back to his best, Gawn being beaten makes life hard for him, I don't imagine that will happen again any time soon.

W Ashcroft similar to Parker, not doing any harm and if/when he hits his straps doubt you'll regret owning him.

O'Sullivan to Lindsay - tick.

Lalor a lot of money on the bench but I'm not sure that's a bad thing.

Mat0369

Quote from: Ringo on March 24, 2025, 09:14:54 AMNice Trade proposed as Lindsay appears a must. Henderson another option if you need cash, Have you thought of O'Sullivan in defence with the Stewart injury,

Stewart had been playing more in the midfield, with SDK going to the ruck and Jake Kolo injured it seems he has a spot as that third tall. I only have 3 rookie defenders and after bringing in Trainor I'm not burning a trade to get him out. Paton I had reserved for Bice last week and Prior would be the one I move on to get him in. I just don't know if it's worth burning the trade unless Prior is dropped.

Quote from: Colliwobblers on March 24, 2025, 03:38:04 PMBowey looked good might drop a bit when May back, completely different role but May does distribute a bit back there.

Parker is like sanders not impressing but not going backwards either so definitely not a pressing issue and nice money to have sitting there, better than rookie scoring.

Petracca is a hard read in a game that bad. Believe he will get back to his best, Gawn being beaten makes life hard for him, I don't imagine that will happen again any time soon.

W Ashcroft similar to Parker, not doing any hard and if/when he hits his straps doubt you'll regret owning him.

O'Sullivan to Lindsay - tick.

Lalor a lot of money on the bench but I'm not sure that's a bad thing.

Quote from: Colliwobblers on March 24, 2025, 03:38:04 PMBowey looked good might drop a bit when May back, completely different role but May does distribute a bit back there.

Parker is like sanders not impressing but not going backwards either so definitely not a pressing issue and nice money to have sitting there, better than rookie scoring.

Petracca is a hard read in a game that bad. Believe he will get back to his best, Gawn being beaten makes life hard for him, I don't imagine that will happen again any time soon.

W Ashcroft similar to Parker, not doing any hard and if/when he hits his straps doubt you'll regret owning him.

O'Sullivan to Lindsay - tick.

Lalor a lot of money on the bench but I'm not sure that's a bad thing.

It would be hard to get Bowey in with my current structure. It would require some rearranging with Tsatas and Trac down to Callaghan to potentially make it work. I don't think it's worth it and last week was the time to make the trade, May could be back in the next couple of weeks and he will take those kick-in points. Salem has also been a beneficiary and will be amazing until he gets injured again.

Parker had a great fantasy score and crap SC score in week 1. He was middle of the road this week, but it isn't pressing enough that I make a move right now, but he may be one I look to move quictkly to JHF in the coming weeks.

Trac had 48% CBA's down from 81% the week before. He also had a highly uncontested game style against the Roos which doesn't help when he is butchering it. I still feel the signs are positive with that pick, although a Callaghan move may be a great play to get the price rise and ride that wave for the next month or so. I think I'm more inclined to move Ashcroft if I make that trade as they are similarly priced.

Lalor I'm happy to rotate through M8 with the other rookies, turning him into Henderson for the quicker cash gen may be a good move, but I think long term Lalor is the better hold.

arbel

Looks like Tsatas has a broken finger. Will miss just the one week but then they have to bye so have to make a choice there

Mat0369

Quote from: arbel on March 24, 2025, 05:41:08 PMLooks like Tsatas has a broken finger. Will miss just the one week but then they have to bye so have to make a choice there

I need to go through my rookies and see who I bring in for him. O'Sullivan is an option, so is Henderson. Hewett may be the better choice to open up a DPP link. Dewar is another that intrigues me, did he end up playing mainly on the wing?

Mat0369

Rookies that are 210k and under based on average

Defenders

Bice - Def - 74
C. O'Sullivan - Def - 68
Paton - Def/Fwd - 55
Prior - Def - 53.5
Worner - Def - 45
Woewodin - 43
Z. Reid - Def - 40.5
Leake - Def - 38.5
Trainor - Def - 37
L. O'Connell - Def - 35
Mullin - Def - 29
Cleary - Def - 25
K Smith - Def - 19

Mids

O'Driscoll - Mid - 93
C. Hall - Mid - 88
T. Clohesy - Mid/Fwd - 84
Lindsay - Mid - 82
Ashcroft - Mid - 78
Allan - Mid - 71
Knevitt - Mid - 70
Tsatas - Mid - 64
Henderson - Mid - 63.5
M. Reid - Mid - 62.5
Lalor - Mid - 56.5
Hewett - Mid/Fwd - 55
Campo - Mid - 54
Hall - Mid/Fwd - 53.5
Hastie - Mid - 53
Moraes - Mid - 52
Kako - Mid/Fwd - 48
O'Sullivan - Mid - 46.5
Erasmus - Mid/Fwd - 41
Sharp - Mid - 40
Hanily - Mid - 37.3
Draper - Mid - 23.5
Sheldrick - Mid - 23
Langford - Mid - 18

Rucks

Fort - Ruck - 76
Keefe - Ruck - 65.5
Boyd - Ruck - 63
Reidy - Ruck - 34
A. Reid - Fwd/Ruck - 26.5


Forwards

Read - Fwd - 100
Clohesy - Mid/Fwd - 84
Rogers - Fwd - 79
Hamling - Fwd - 72.5
Pink - Fwd - 64
Hansen Jr. - Fwd - 63
McLachlan - 62
Lynch - Fwd - 61
Motlop - Fwd - 60.5
A Johnson - Fwd - 60
Warner - Fwd - 59.3
Dewar - Fwd - 55.5
Davidson - Fwd - 55.5
Paton - Def/Fwd - 55
Hewett - Mid/Fwd - 55
Kostanty - Fwd - 55
Curtain - Fwd - 54
Hall - Mid/Fwd - 53.5
Stone - Fwd - 53
SPP - Fwd - 50.5
Kako - Mid/Fwd - 62
T. Edwards - Fwd - 48
Berry - Fwd - 47
Armstrong - Fwd - 43.5
Erasmus - Fwd - 41
Keeler - Fwd - 41
Collard - Fwd - 39
McInnes - Fwd - 36 - ACL out for season
Spargo - Fwd - 33
Gruzewski - Fwd - 31
Green - Fwd - 30.5
Fawcett - Fwd - 30
A. Reid - Fwd/Ruck - 26.5
Dolan - Fwd - 21.5
Jefferson - Fwd - 20.5
Jones - Fwd - 17
Menzie - Fwd - 4

Assessing based on averages over 2 rounds who the must have options are.

Defenders - Bice, O'Sullivan, Prior

Mids - O'Driscoll, Ashcroft, Lindsay, Knevitt, Henderson, Reid (Clohesy and Hall on bubble next week)

Rucks - Boyd or rolling donut

Forwards - Lucky dip? Most of the high scoring options are on the bubble next week. Hansen Jr. Motlop, Dewar, Davidson and Hewett? Curtain and SPP have good round 2 scores for cash gen purposes.

Bully

Next week will have potential options, I know many have already pencilled in Bice but there could be some forwards emerging.

Mat0369

#57
I think I'm okay with my structure the more I look at it.

Down back I'm batting 5 deep with Prior at D6 which is avoiding the disaster rookie scores. Bice comes in and that line looks pretty strong.

I went light up forward with no JHF giving me Macrae at F1, the only downside is not having a DPP option currently out of Warner, Davidson, Stone, Lynch and SPP. That has one sitting in my flex which isn't ideal.  JHF has been poor to start the year and I feel like I'm not too far behind the Rankine crew when I account for my stronger back line and dodging the Trainor/Reid scores.

Midfield I'll have some cash on the bench with the inability to get one of those guys into the flex, although I should have all the main rookies. I just have the Ashcroft/Trac question mark which could make or break me in the coming weeks

arbel

Quote from: Mat0369 on March 24, 2025, 05:49:49 PM
Quote from: arbel on March 24, 2025, 05:41:08 PMLooks like Tsatas has a broken finger. Will miss just the one week but then they have to bye so have to make a choice there

I need to go through my rookies and see who I bring in for him. O'Sullivan is an option, so is Henderson. Hewett may be the better choice to open up a DPP link. Dewar is another that intrigues me, did he end up playing mainly on the wing?

He did play on the wing, took a few kick ins and also some goals. That wing role was Hutchinson who has sore hammy so he might hold that spot for a bit

Mat0369

Quote from: arbel on March 25, 2025, 01:03:46 PMHe did play on the wing, took a few kick ins and also some goals. That wing role was Hutchinson who has sore hammy so he might hold that spot for a bit

I saw that when Hutchinson injured himself that they expected Dewar to replace him. When he kicked a couple I wasn't sure if he was playing closer to goal, but hitting the scoreboard from the midfield is a nice way to hold the spot. Hutchinson is still 2-3 weeks away so Dewar presents value.