Bully's Boys 2023

Started by Bully, February 14, 2023, 02:41:51 PM

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arbel

Yeah nice score ... looking pretty decent for now.
Think it's fine going either dawson or laird. Will be interesting to see if Dawson starts copping more attention in the mids now.

Also good all your rookies in jones, allen and rat had good scores so next 3 weeks should make good money with those scores in their cycle.
With all injuries at Sydney could be a good Cowan to Gould trade in a couple weeks cos he should get a run for a bit, depending on scores

Mat0369

I think Gould might be straight out. He got a lot of the ball when he came on but he didn't look AFL level. I can see why it has taken so long for him to get a debut. It could have been first game nerves mixed in with the sub role not suiting him, but I think Mitchell from the Hawks might be a better option to keep an eye on, especially with the DPP

Bully

Quote from: arbel on April 19, 2023, 04:15:52 PM
Yeah nice score ... looking pretty decent for now.
Think it's fine going either dawson or laird. Will be interesting to see if Dawson starts copping more attention in the mids now.

Also good all your rookies in jones, allen and rat had good scores so next 3 weeks should make good money with those scores in their cycle.
With all injuries at Sydney could be a good Cowan to Gould trade in a couple weeks cos he should get a run for a bit, depending on scores

Will Gould! I never thought I'd see the day!

Bully



Chocolates to boiled lolllies, scrapped a 2000 but had landmines going off everywhere, Miller down stings, Roberts stings, Phillips being subbed stings.

Last boost this week, have to use it to fix Miller & Grundy, I'm switching to Darcy for now as I want to save some money for next week,

Darcy - 9% ownership
English - 40%

The reasoning is simple, Darcy is frontrunner for R2 so the winner will need him regardless. Darcy also has a better bye and is playing in the tricky round 14 & 15.

In comes Laird & in comes Mitchell. Next week will be Wilmot down to Cincotta & Jones up to premo mid, looking at Macrae for this position.

Mat0369

I didn't watch the game but it looks like Grundy had a huge 2nd half against Richmond. The first half was a complete disaster so he needs to go and bringing Darcy back is a bit make or break. With the potential Laird injury have you considered Kelly/Walsh in the mids or maybe grabbing Sicily?

Bully

Quote from: Mat0369 on April 28, 2023, 12:56:27 AM
I didn't watch the game but it looks like Grundy had a huge 2nd half against Richmond. The first half was a complete disaster so he needs to go and bringing Darcy back is a bit make or break. With the potential Laird injury have you considered Kelly/Walsh in the mids or maybe grabbing Sicily?

Jack Macrae is the player I'm warming to, he's a bit like Priddis these days, consistent tons without the monster scores. Super durable as well.

With the extra $$ I can go straight to English or stick with Darcy? Dunno, English will probably massacre the Hawks.

Mat0369

One thing to consider with Macrae is that his best score came with Smith out of the side. Bevo has been moving him around a bit when they have their full compliment of mids and it hurts his scores. Smith has been a horrible clearance player for them to start the year so it is possible that he uses him more outside to be a link player and Macrae goes inside on a more full time basis, but I think it is a risk and will cap his scoring.

arbel

I'm of the same thinking ... years gone by Macrae was almost first picked in my side each year
But Bevo seems to be just throwing his magnet blindly at the board and where it lands is where he plays ... is definitely affecting his scores.

Bully

Quote from: Mat0369 on April 28, 2023, 02:42:17 PM
One thing to consider with Macrae is that his best score came with Smith out of the side. Bevo has been moving him around a bit when they have their full compliment of mids and it hurts his scores. Smith has been a horrible clearance player for them to start the year so it is possible that he uses him more outside to be a link player and Macrae goes inside on a more full time basis, but I think it is a risk and will cap his scoring.

I would happily take 100+ from here and get a full 22 games, I think Macrae is safe, he is also tidy so 25 possessions will still crack triple figures. Plenty of upside too, 14 clearances last week.

Mat0369

Quote from: Bully on April 28, 2023, 07:14:12 PM
I would happily take 100+ from here and get a full 22 games, I think Macrae is safe, he is also tidy so 25 possessions will still crack triple figures. Plenty of upside too, 14 clearances last week.

No Smith in that game resulting in Macrae being around the ball more. The Dockers are a pretty poor contested possession and clearance differential is middle of the pack and probably poor considering Darcy wins so many hit outs. Libba out this week with concussion may also give a false sense of security. Last year he had 8 scores over 120 (4 in the first 5 rounds) and 2 over 110, with the change in role he seeing his scores dip. He was about a 110 player post bye which is good, but nowhere near the level of years gone by. If he can average that this year he will be a decent pick in the M8 bracket but I think there are better picks if you can snag them. After tonight I would consider Steele ahead of him who should be cheap in about a fortnight. Miller will come back at a bargain due to his knee injury and Kelly/Walsh will be pretty good as more expensive options that I also think will comfortably outscore him. There are also guys like Mills who may be worth considering when he isn't playing at FB as a potential cheaper option at M8.

Bully

Quote from: Mat0369 on April 29, 2023, 01:57:38 AM
Quote from: Bully on April 28, 2023, 07:14:12 PM
I would happily take 100+ from here and get a full 22 games, I think Macrae is safe, he is also tidy so 25 possessions will still crack triple figures. Plenty of upside too, 14 clearances last week.

No Smith in that game resulting in Macrae being around the ball more. The Dockers are a pretty poor contested possession and clearance differential is middle of the pack and probably poor considering Darcy wins so many hit outs. Libba out this week with concussion may also give a false sense of security. Last year he had 8 scores over 120 (4 in the first 5 rounds) and 2 over 110, with the change in role he seeing his scores dip. He was about a 110 player post bye which is good, but nowhere near the level of years gone by. If he can average that this year he will be a decent pick in the M8 bracket but I think there are better picks if you can snag them. After tonight I would consider Steele ahead of him who should be cheap in about a fortnight. Miller will come back at a bargain due to his knee injury and Kelly/Walsh will be pretty good as more expensive options that I also think will comfortably outscore him. There are also guys like Mills who may be worth considering when he isn't playing at FB as a potential cheaper option at M8.

Kelly = burnman (always misses matches)
Mills = no fixed position
Walsh = solid pick but expensive
Merrett = solid but susceptible to the tag
Steele = wait a coupe of weeks

There's 4 spots to fill & a 110 average will be fine this year, I'm also paying a premium for durability, this is the year to be avoiding injury prone players.

Bully



Just a par week with 2218 & not the fault of the premo players, rookies were generally horrible. I ended going English which was just an ok pick, not grabbing Laird probably wise.

This week will be Jones & Oscar Allen out, Cincotta & Cripps in. Cripps is in some rare form, number 1 player for clearances so pretty safe. Probs should have taken Petracca instead of Macrae but still ok with the pick, most of the other mids were pedestrian.

Cash for future upgrades will be difficult but I'll try and get Greene up to a fallen premo next week or the week after. Steele definitely on my radar.

Ringo

Assuming you need Allen to upgrade to Cripps.  If not would look at Poo or Phillips to upgrade, Allen seems to gave reasonable JS.

Bully

Quote from: Ringo on May 01, 2023, 02:07:24 PM
Assuming you need Allen to upgrade to Cripps.  If not would look at Poo or Phillips to upgrade, Allen seems to gave reasonable JS.

Fair call but not enough cash for that transaction, my preference would be Greene out this week but Allen will have a huge BE so I'm bailing and cashing in the chips.

Not ideal, the team looks exposed in the forward line, hopefully that gets sorted out over the next 2 weeks. I'm holding Ratugolea until Darcy Cameron is back so the cows on the chopping block will be Poo, Greene & Van Rooyen.

Phillips is a hold, will be back this week in all likelihood, at this stage holding Poo allows me to swing & loop, not a terrible outcome. I also think Poo has a breakout performance up the sleeve.

Mat0369

A few of the rookies have hit the wall at the same time with not much on the horizon. Hopefully a couple of serviceable ones pop up over the next couple of weeks for cash gen.

I prefer Walsh over Cripps for the run home if I was picking a Carlton mid. WC were a bit of an easy kill with Walsh, Hewett, Doc and Cripps all hitting the ton with 3 of the 4 scoring over 115.

Steele feels like the best value at his price of any mid, but his first two rounds before the injury were pretty average so you would like to see another good score this week before picking him.

You probably can't go wrong with Cripps as an option in the long term due to how much contested ball he does win.