I (still) have no Clurey - A 2020 SC story

[PowerBug]

Recent ranks:
2019 - 1,209
2018 - 11,175
2017 - 281

Draft 1:



Come at me. Will post more about my selections as the deadline approaches.

[Samsturmfels]

I really like the forward line PowerBug. The one thing I'm not sure if it will work is having so many players 180-260k in the back-line. Although the only backline rookie defender i can think of that your missing is Will Gould. I really feel this year it is difficult in deciding what team structure to go with.

[RoughRed]

2nd glass in so take this for what it is worth :)

After today I see CTaylor as a real option in the FWD - should play, is SC friendly score-wise and should make money
I like Bewley as a selection but wave off Petracca
Petracca => Taylor +$317.4K
IMO Whitfield is fully priced and is an upgrade target for me if he stays fit. Even if he scores well I see little change in his cost and more likely IMO to fall in price  albeit slightly

In the MIDS I would see Cogs over Kelly - both carry the same risk for me injury wise, both have proven high ceilings but newly minted Captain Cogs has started on fire in Marsh and is cheaper => +$88.2K

Take the money $405.6K and turn one of your high priced DEF rooks into Laird, Lloyd or Stewart or ... any proven prem defender

Cheers  ;D

[PowerBug]

I really like the forward line PowerBug. The one thing I'm not sure if it will work is having so many players 180-260k in the back-line. Although the only backline rookie defender i can think of that your missing is Will Gould. I really feel this year it is difficult in deciding what team structure to go with.

Looks like Will Gould won't be playing Rd 1 now :( If he does I think he's one that will find his way in just because of structure (I'd prefer Brander up fwd)

2nd glass in so take this for what it is worth :)

After today I see CTaylor as a real option in the FWD - should play, is SC friendly score-wise and should make money
I like Bewley as a selection but wave off Petracca
Petracca => Taylor +$317.4K
IMO Whitfield is fully priced and is an upgrade target for me if he stays fit. Even if he scores well I see little change in his cost and more likely IMO to fall in price  albeit slightly

In the MIDS I would see Cogs over Kelly - both carry the same risk for me injury wise, both have proven high ceilings but newly minted Captain Cogs has started on fire in Marsh and is cheaper => +$88.2K

Take the money $405.6K and turn one of your high priced DEF rooks into Laird, Lloyd or Stewart or ... any proven prem defender

Cheers  ;D

Yep Taylor does look good and he's now in :) Whitfield yes full priced but also the best fwd (guaranteed top 6). In saying that I also don't have him anymore as pushing the funds into the midfield for a top 8 mid is a better option.

Kelly is gone as well, but not for Coniglio. I don't think Coniglio is at the same level as the 11 most expensive mids so I am only starting guys from that bracket.

Petracca is gonna be good this season!

[PowerBug]

Draft 2:

[timtim]

Draft 2:

I like the Naismith pick at R2. I’ve done the same and, like you, can bat 6 uber prem deep in the midfield

But interested in the Crisp pick for D1? Rationale?

[Peter]

Huge bye issues - 1,8,5 means R13 going to be interesting

[LordSneeze]

I don't mind Naismith as an option, but if your doing that I feel you need to go stronger in the FWD and Def prems. Crisp and Petracca are big risks, add in the Ceglar/Naismith and you could end up in a little bit of a pickle if they dont improve outputs.

[PowerBug]

I like the Naismith pick at R2. I’ve done the same and, like you, can bat 6 uber prem deep in the midfield

But interested in the Crisp pick for D1? Rationale?

Didn't want Houston because of byes. Not an issue now though and swapped back!

Huge bye issues - 1,8,5 means R13 going to be interesting

Not an issues now!

I don't mind Naismith as an option, but if your doing that I feel you need to go stronger in the FWD and Def prems. Crisp and Petracca are big risks, add in the Ceglar/Naismith and you could end up in a little bit of a pickle if they dont improve outputs.

Ceglar and Naismith will be fine as long as they play. shower players playing 1st Ruck score well. Ceglar is a risk as a keeper but I'm hopeful. Naismith obviously is a stepping stone.

Crisp is now Houston as byes aren't an issue.

Petracca has the role to improve :)


Only other change from the pictured side is Cripps to J.Kelly. Also because there's no bye issues now and I couldn't start him and the 3 Dogs mids, but now there's no issues!

[PowerBug]

My team explained!



Note: My ownership % is based off of Marlion Pickett's ownership of 74%, because no serious SC'er is starting without him. E.g. Player with "37%" ownership will be listed below as having 50% ownership.

Defence
Dan Houston - playing mids this year, showed he can score off the back of last years efforts. Under $500k he's a steal
Sam Docherty - Coverage pick @ 71%. We all know what he can do
Dylan Roberton - $260k is well underpriced for what Roberton can produce. Hopefully stays fit. Too big a gamble to go without him as well (47% ownership)
John Noble - Looks like he will play and has decent SP. Also owned by 25% which is a decent portion.
Brandon Zerk-Thatcher - A playing rookie  :-*
Fisher McAsey - A bit of a more unique pick here. I think we will see him with a good role as the season goes on.
- - -
Jarrod Brander - Nice swingman who has AFL experience already.
Bailey Williams - going to share the ruck with Nic Nat, cheap.

Midfield
Marcus Bontempelli - My one automatic selection EVERY season. No one can talk me out of this one
Josh Dunkley - We've seen how good he is last season, ownership is down at 15% purely because people don't like the look of doubling or tripling up on players from the same team.
Jackson Macrae - And arguably the best player of the trio, he's another incredible selection who won't let us down.
Josh Kelly - Huge ceiling like the rest. Body an issue but less chance to get injured now and with higher proportion of trades (Only need to carry 2 trades for the entire season!)
Nathan Fyfe - Similar to Kelly, but he averages even more!
Clayton Oliver - Underpriced because of a poor 2019, definitely has the ability to join the top bracket of scorers.
Matt Rowell - No need to say anything here
Marlion Pickett - Ditto.
- - -
Tom Green - And again. Only needing to play 2 of these 3 might see me make the odd mistake, but there's a lack of mid rookies (at this stage) and more value elsewhere.
Ned McHenry - placeholder for now but should play.
Conor Budarick - swingman for when players are out. Also expecting him to line up Rd 1.

Rucks
Brodie Grundy - Obviously...
Sam Naismith - Amazing value if his body holds up. First Rucks ALWAYS score well, he's priced at like a 40avg (?) and he's got 80 potential in him purely because he's a ruck.
- - -
Charlie Comben - R/F loophole, needed the DPP for the insurance guy I've picked if Naismith goes down and I need to carry him for one week.


Forwards
Dustin Martin - He looks ON for 2020. Good value, will be one of the best forwards.
Christian Petracca - Role will be better than it has been in previous years. Fwd top 6 spots are quite unknown beyond the top 3 (Whit, Dusty, Walters), willing to take a punt on this one working out.
Jonathon Ceglar - Been promised first ruck, if Clarko gives him that then he won't go backwards in price, and if he plays well then he might also be a keeper! Insurance for Naismith too.
Devon Smith - SO cheap for what he can provide. Body an issue and price is awkward if he gets injured, stays fit and he's a season keeper. 73% ownership makes him nearly must own for safety reasons.
Brett Bewley - Second year player at a nicer price and should get wing time, money maker hopefully. And with there being value in the fwds this should be a better scorer than just starting a rookie.
Curtis Taylor - Hopefully he scores better than he did in his 2019 games...
- - -
Izak Rankine - Popular rookie who plays if fit.
Max King - Placeholder. Hopefully Gould gets named so I can pick him instead (Brander swing).

Leftover cash: $100 - This is new for me, I almost always have run with ~$100k in the bank to start a season off. No wiggle room this time!!

[LaHug]

Very similar to my team right now (which I've changed a million times already). I've gone one less mid premium because I trust Green on the field and one more def premium (choosing between Laird and Sic right now). I like it though.

My only worry (that I have with my team too) is that Naismith might not be the right play... Think about how much Gawn can score if there's still 3300 points to go around and he takes those late game intercepts he often does. It's a difficult prospect to pass up.

[SilverLion]

Solid team. Only query is on Naismith, feel your probably missing out on too many points going him over Gawn.

[PowerBug]

Overall Rank after Round 5: 7,185
Best Rank: 3,585 after Round 4


$168,500 to use pre-trades. Rowell to Yeo, Bewley to Whitfield works nicely...

Now if Noble and McAsey want to not rock up again... There's a bit of a thought to just grab one premo and a rookie too. Save the coin, because there's going to be a lot of value popping up over the next few weeks (Sicily, Hurn, Yeo, B. Smith)

[Ringo]

Same Dilemma Points v Coin. With Hub situations expect more rookies hopefully to pop up. So like the 2 upgrades providing you have coverage on bench.

[Mat0369]

I think it depends on if you view Aarts as a must have rookie. I'm hoping he misses a week with the corkie because then it makes the decision easy. If he plays and scores 70 odd again he may have made too much cash to justify bringing him in at that point.