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Brownlow 2019

Started by jvalles69, April 29, 2019, 03:14:40 PM

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Big Mac

Would I be right in saying you're normally a little biased towards the guns JV

Great effort doing this every year though  :)

jvalles69

Quote from: Big  Mac on August 27, 2019, 10:50:35 PM
Would I be right in saying you're normally a little biased towards the guns JV

Great effort doing this every year though  :)

Mate, I'm as biased as the umpires are.  ;)  I adjust each year based on the actual poll, this year I focused on contested possessions, next year I'll add in clearances.

jvalles69

I collated all the counts I could find including the guys posting in here. The "I" signifies how many counts had that player coming in first.

ADE
Mrouch IIII
Brouch II
Sloane I

BRI
Neale

CAR
Cripps

COL
Treloar IIII
Grundy III
Pendlebury

ESS
Merrett

FRE
Fyfe

GC
Fiorini IIII
Miller I
Swallow I

GEE
Danger



GWS
Taranto II
Whitfield II
Coniglio III

HAW
Worpel

MEL
Gawn

NM
Ziebell I
Higgins IIIII
Cunnington I

POR
Boak

RIC
Dusty

STK
Billings IIIII
Ross I

SYD
JPK I
Parker IIIIII


WB
Bont III
Macrae IIII

WC
Yeo I
Gaff III
Shuey III






fanTCfool

Quote from: jvalles69 on August 28, 2019, 12:53:28 AM
Quote from: Big  Mac on August 27, 2019, 10:50:35 PM
Would I be right in saying you're normally a little biased towards the guns JV

Great effort doing this every year though  :)

Mate, I'm as biased as the umpires are.  ;)  I adjust each year based on the actual poll, this year I focused on contested possessions, next year I'll add in clearances.

Heh, take about 8-10 off each in JV's count and you'll usually end up bang on  ;)

jvalles69

Quote from: fanTCfool on August 29, 2019, 01:43:33 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on August 28, 2019, 12:53:28 AM
Quote from: Big  Mac on August 27, 2019, 10:50:35 PM
Would I be right in saying you're normally a little biased towards the guns JV

Great effort doing this every year though  :)

Mate, I'm as biased as the umpires are.  ;)  I adjust each year based on the actual poll, this year I focused on contested possessions, next year I'll add in clearances.

Heh, take about 8-10 off each in JV's count and you'll usually end up bang on  ;)

Winners gone 28-35 the past 3 years though.  ;)

shaker

Bont's year me thinks  ;)

jvalles69

#51
More research, make of it what you will.  ???





Edit: Original had SC Totals, edited to show averages.

elephants

Very interesting read lads! Fyfe is value for me @ $6.50. Just stands out so much for Freo and they had some good patches. Even in losses he is almost always their best.

Danger/Fyfe/Neale trifecta in order at 21s will get a sneaky investment from me.

Agree with others that Bont may not poll as well as his odds suggest.

Love this time of year haha

kilbluff1985

is there any good cash out options you guys like

jvalles69

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 18, 2019, 02:47:04 PM
is there any good cash out options you guys like

I've left my bets on Danger, Fyfe and Neale, but cashed out Kelly and Cripps when they were in the profit region.

jvalles69

The round votes I've jumped on early are:

Rd 1 Sloane @ $7
Rd 3 Whitfield @ $5
Rd 15 Fyfe @ $3.50

The rest I'll get on during the count, loads of what I think are locks from $1.40-$1.90

Rusty00

Quote from: jvalles69 on September 18, 2019, 09:05:01 PM
The round votes I've jumped on early are:

Rd 1 Sloane @ $7
Rd 3 Whitfield @ $5
Rd 15 Fyfe @ $3.50

The rest I'll get on during the count, loads of what I think are locks from $1.40-$1.90
Is this Sportsbet?

jvalles69

Quote from: Rusty00 on September 19, 2019, 10:11:24 AM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 18, 2019, 09:05:01 PM
The round votes I've jumped on early are:

Rd 1 Sloane @ $7
Rd 3 Whitfield @ $5
Rd 15 Fyfe @ $3.50

The rest I'll get on during the count, loads of what I think are locks from $1.40-$1.90
Is this Sportsbet?

That's Beteasy, but they are on SB too, just haven't checked those odds.

LaHug

Anyone interested in odds on a tie? Almost every count I've seen has it coming down to less than 3 votes so tie markets look interesting.

I want a couple of small bets to put on pre-count that I can then cheer on throughout. People's thoughts on the best/most fun ones?

elephants

Todays the day! Going to go through a few peoples full counts and try find some value on 3 vote games!

Outside of that will probably just load up on Fyfe top 3, Kelly halfway lead into Danger and a team multi or two