Josh Dunkley

Started by Thewizz71, March 17, 2019, 10:38:46 AM

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Judd Magic

Quote from: _wato on March 20, 2019, 10:46:36 AM
Still not gonna trust it. Worst case scenario he averages around 100 and doesn't jump in price, upgrade target.

Con is he plays more time forward with the rotations and it burns you with him pumping out 70-80's.

Well the way I see it the options for F3 aren't that great and based on scoring potential Dunkley is the best bet.

At worst if he does somehow happen to play forward for the first 2 games (I highly doubt it) then he is an easy correction trade at round 3 which gives us a better look at who the best F3 might be.

_wato

Best F3 option is Toby Greene by a country mile. Solves all your issues and you save a truck load of cash.

LaHug

Quote from: Judd Magic on March 20, 2019, 10:59:04 AM
At worst if he does somehow happen to play forward for the first 2 games (I highly doubt it) then he is an easy correction trade at round 3 which gives us a better look at who the best F3 might be.

That's not how Bevo works. The worst is that he plays mid the first two weeks so you don't need to use a correction trade... but the Dogs lose both games so Bevo mixes it up and moves him forward. THEN you're stuck.

LordSneeze

Hahaha.

Worst Case is he averages 100????

If that was the case he a bona-fide Lock given Forward Status, people always overestimate the worst cases though and worst case at a scoring level is probably more like 80

LaHug

Quote from: LordSneeze on March 20, 2019, 11:24:31 AM
Hahaha.

Worst Case is he averages 100????

If that was the case he a bona-fide Lock given Forward Status, people always overestimate the worst cases though and worst case at a scoring level is probably more like 80

He was saying that's the worst case for those that don't grab him...

_wato

Quote from: LaHug on March 20, 2019, 11:27:48 AM
Quote from: LordSneeze on March 20, 2019, 11:24:31 AM
Hahaha.

Worst Case is he averages 100????

If that was the case he a bona-fide Lock given Forward Status, people always overestimate the worst cases though and worst case at a scoring level is probably more like 80

He was saying that's the worst case for those that don't grab him...

ubeaut

Quote from: _wato on March 20, 2019, 11:01:53 AM
Best F3 option is Toby Greene by a country mile. Solves all your issues and you save a truck load of cash.
I'm starting Greene, but even at F4 he makes me nervous. Given injury/suspension risk and bugger all preseason he's way too risky at F3. What happens if he goes down and you're forced to field 4 fwd rookies or muck up your team structure to get a premo in?

LaHug

Quote from: ubeaut on March 20, 2019, 12:09:42 PM
Quote from: _wato on March 20, 2019, 11:01:53 AM
Best F3 option is Toby Greene by a country mile. Solves all your issues and you save a truck load of cash.
I'm starting Greene, but even at F4 he makes me nervous. Given injury/suspension risk and bugger all preseason he's way too risky at F3. What happens if he goes down and you're forced to field 4 fwd rookies or muck up your team structure to get a premo in?

Downgrade to McCarthy

Miss Pies

#23
Quote from: Judd Magic on March 20, 2019, 09:35:25 AM
There was an article yesterday about McLean playing forward this season so I think Dunkley has to be a lock now.

I saw the article too.

https://www.westernbulldogs.com.au/news/2019-03-18/off-the-leash-dog-looking-a-little-angrier-set-to-attack-2019

I am still up in the air about starting him.

smashbox

He’s in! Ive been convinced.
Average of 116 from round 15 onwards last year and a final 5 round average of 132 (4th highest)

I’m $900 off Mundy which is a bummer as I feel he is the safest option for a 95-100+ average.

But rather Dunkley over T.Kelly who I fear might struggle a bit more than last year with more attention to him

LordSneeze

Quote from: LaHug on March 20, 2019, 11:27:48 AM
Quote from: LordSneeze on March 20, 2019, 11:24:31 AM
Hahaha.

Worst Case is he averages 100????

If that was the case he a bona-fide Lock given Forward Status, people always overestimate the worst cases though and worst case at a scoring level is probably more like 80

He was saying that's the worst case for those that don't grab him...

That makes alot more sense.

If he can avearge that or more ill bring him in as an upgrade, just cant see the benefit in the risk with so many other cheaper risk options on all lines that have the chances to become premiums.

smashbox

I don’t kno why people think boak is a better option. When in his prime playing perm mid he only averaged between 90-95.

Now as a veteran who will potentially move back into the mids you can’t expect him to go higher than that.

Think Kelly and Dunkley much better options

Rusty00

Quote from: smashbox on March 21, 2019, 09:15:59 AM
I don’t kno why people think boak is a better option. When in his prime playing perm mid he only averaged between 90-95.

Now as a veteran who will potentially move back into the mids you can’t expect him to go higher than that.

Think Kelly and Dunkley much better options
2013 - 106.6
2014 - 105.7

He's not going to get back to those numbers, but his appeal is that he has only missed 3 games in the last 6 years. With a lot of people taking risks on mid-pricers, including guys with bad injury histories, Boak represents a "safer" pick from a number of games played point of view.

smashbox

So 5 years ago he averaged over 100. Since then best is 90-95 and only really played more forward last year.

I’d rather take the punt on the younger up and comer who has greater scoring potential than be stuck with boak who could average 85-90