Points of Difference (POD's)

Started by RaisyDaisy, January 14, 2019, 11:06:18 PM

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GoLions

Quote from: hawkers65 on March 18, 2019, 01:10:45 PM
Does anyone else think this year everyones teams are the most closely related its ever been? Like i get theres usually "cookie cutter" sides but this year there are an obviously lack of options. Even the people who dont know SuperCoach have similar sides. There is a severe lack of rookies meaning basically everyone is running the same ones and therefore the same structure. Then not to mention a few 50/50 picks like Robo/Smith are going down to force everyone into one choice, as well as so many standout premiums for each line meaning you just have to pick them. I just dont remember a year where so many players are above 25% of teams, its nuts. Theres genuinely 38 players in over 25% of teams. Thats not a very big selection to chose from for diversity.
Eh, overall yes, but in terms of coming up against a team each week, the combinations will almost always be different still.

E.g. look at the mids, Crippa, Oliver, Fyfe, Dusty, Macrae, BCrouch, Libba are all over 20%. Neale, Brayshaw, and Coniglio are not far behind. Obviously nobody can have all of these players, so whilst none of these guys are PODs, the combination of players you choose is just about guaranteed to have about 2-3 different in your starting 5 against whoever you play. So it's not much of an issue to me.

MajorLazer

Quote from: GoLions on March 18, 2019, 01:17:52 PM
Quote from: hawkers65 on March 18, 2019, 01:10:45 PM
Does anyone else think this year everyones teams are the most closely related its ever been? Like i get theres usually "cookie cutter" sides but this year there are an obviously lack of options. Even the people who dont know SuperCoach have similar sides. There is a severe lack of rookies meaning basically everyone is running the same ones and therefore the same structure. Then not to mention a few 50/50 picks like Robo/Smith are going down to force everyone into one choice, as well as so many standout premiums for each line meaning you just have to pick them. I just dont remember a year where so many players are above 25% of teams, its nuts. Theres genuinely 38 players in over 25% of teams. Thats not a very big selection to chose from for diversity.
Eh, overall yes, but in terms of coming up against a team each week, the combinations will almost always be different still.

E.g. look at the mids, Crippa, Oliver, Fyfe, Dusty, Macrae, BCrouch, Libba are all over 20%. Neale, Brayshaw, and Coniglio are not far behind. Obviously nobody can have all of these players, so whilst none of these guys are PODs, the combination of players you choose is just about guaranteed to have about 2-3 different in your starting 5 against whoever you play. So it's not much of an issue to me.
I wholeheartedly agree with the sentiment stated above.

Ringo

Quote from: MajorLazer on March 18, 2019, 01:20:40 PM
Quote from: GoLions on March 18, 2019, 01:17:52 PM
Quote from: hawkers65 on March 18, 2019, 01:10:45 PM
Does anyone else think this year everyones teams are the most closely related its ever been? Like i get theres usually "cookie cutter" sides but this year there are an obviously lack of options. Even the people who dont know SuperCoach have similar sides. There is a severe lack of rookies meaning basically everyone is running the same ones and therefore the same structure. Then not to mention a few 50/50 picks like Robo/Smith are going down to force everyone into one choice, as well as so many standout premiums for each line meaning you just have to pick them. I just dont remember a year where so many players are above 25% of teams, its nuts. Theres genuinely 38 players in over 25% of teams. Thats not a very big selection to chose from for diversity.
Eh, overall yes, but in terms of coming up against a team each week, the combinations will almost always be different still.

E.g. look at the mids, Crippa, Oliver, Fyfe, Dusty, Macrae, BCrouch, Libba are all over 20%. Neale, Brayshaw, and Coniglio are not far behind. Obviously nobody can have all of these players, so whilst none of these guys are PODs, the combination of players you choose is just about guaranteed to have about 2-3 different in your starting 5 against whoever you play. So it's not much of an issue to me.
I wholeheartedly agree with the sentiment stated above.
Agree that a lot of teams similar - going on teams posted most have only 3/4 different.  For the first time in a number of years even the rookies being selected are the same hence I agree with the comments on rookies as well.

jvalles69

I think "point of difference" this season will be more towards leaving out a high percentage player.  For example, Fyfe being left out is a POD if you don't want to burn your trade on him later down the track.  Not starting Dusty is a POD if you believe he won't get back to a top tier mid.  Lloyd and Laird being left out if you think they will lose money.  Not starting Libba/B.Crouch and opting to go closer to guns & rooks will be that persons "point of difference". And so on...

bkimm32

Quote from: hawkers65 on March 18, 2019, 01:10:45 PM
Does anyone else think this year everyones teams are the most closely related its ever been? Like i get theres usually "cookie cutter" sides but this year there are an obviously lack of options. Even the people who dont know SuperCoach have similar sides. There is a severe lack of rookies meaning basically everyone is running the same ones and therefore the same structure. Then not to mention a few 50/50 picks like Robo/Smith are going down to force everyone into one choice, as well as so many standout premiums for each line meaning you just have to pick them. I just dont remember a year where so many players are above 25% of teams, its nuts. Theres genuinely 38 players in over 25% of teams. Thats not a very big selection to chose from for diversity.
Maybe. But starting side is only a small part of it. Smart trades and good captain choices  is what separates the wolf from the sheep

LordSneeze

There is a very loose idea of what is a POD. Personally I think it is Premiums that provide a Point Of Difference. anything below top 20 IMO is more midprice, breakout option that IMO isn't really a POD, but more so a risk pick. So below I have put any of the Approx top 20 players from last year in the position who are currently under 5% ownership (Rucks top 10)

From this there is really only a couple from each line that I look at and go they have potential. Rucks and Forwards light, but some possible value in the Mids and Defence.

Defence PODs ($470k approx. top 20)
Jeremy McGovern 5%
Heath Shaw 3%
Harris Andrews 2%
L Ryan 2%
M Hurley 2%
J Howe 2%
S Savage 1%
M Suckling 0%
J McVeigh 0%
J Webster 0%
T Jonas 0%

Midfield PODs ($560k approx. top 20)
E Yeo 5%
M Bont 3%
S Pendles 3%
J Selwood 3%
S Higgins 1%
L Parker 1%
G Ablett 1%
M Duncan 1%
A Gaff 1%

Ruck PODs ($520k approx. top 10)
T Nank 3%
C Sinclair 1%
B Mcevoy 1%
N Naitanui 1%
A Sandi 1%

Fwds PODs ($490k approx. top 20)
J Riewoldt 4%
T Mclean 4%
S Menegola 4%
L Franklin 3%
M Wallis 2%
T Mcdonald 2%
D Mundy 2%
T Hawkins 2%
J Hogan 2%
L Breust 1%
M Robinson 1%
J Gunston 1%

Outside this the POD is about leaving a high % player out of the team

bkimm32

Almost tempted to leave Grundy out as a pod.

jvalles69

Quote from: bkimm32 on March 18, 2019, 02:39:01 PM
Almost tempted to leave Grundy out as a pod.

AF winner left out Tom Mitchell last year, brought him in for Coniglio when Coniglio had his biggest score and Mitchell had his lowest, plus captained him...

bkimm32

Quote from: jvalles69 on March 18, 2019, 03:32:09 PM
Quote from: bkimm32 on March 18, 2019, 02:39:01 PM
Almost tempted to leave Grundy out as a pod.

AF winner left out Tom Mitchell last year, brought him in for Coniglio when Coniglio had his biggest score and Mitchell had his lowest, plus captained him...
Was planning on doing the same thing with goldy (as many are)

Big risk / big reward

quinny88

Quote from: bkimm32 on March 18, 2019, 04:06:27 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 18, 2019, 03:32:09 PM
Quote from: bkimm32 on March 18, 2019, 02:39:01 PM
Almost tempted to leave Grundy out as a pod.

AF winner left out Tom Mitchell last year, brought him in for Coniglio when Coniglio had his biggest score and Mitchell had his lowest, plus captained him...
Was planning on doing the same thing with goldy (as many are)

Big risk / big reward

Makes sense in AF where you have 2 trades a week but would be crazy to burn a trade like that in SC

jvalles69

Quote from: quinny88 on March 18, 2019, 04:21:26 PM
Quote from: bkimm32 on March 18, 2019, 04:06:27 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 18, 2019, 03:32:09 PM
Quote from: bkimm32 on March 18, 2019, 02:39:01 PM
Almost tempted to leave Grundy out as a pod.

AF winner left out Tom Mitchell last year, brought him in for Coniglio when Coniglio had his biggest score and Mitchell had his lowest, plus captained him...
Was planning on doing the same thing with goldy (as many are)

Big risk / big reward

Makes sense in AF where you have 2 trades a week but would be crazy to burn a trade like that in SC

Yep, you'd have to get some luck on your side to pull it off.

_wato

Rory Sloane

Adelaide’s early fixture - Hawks (home) Swans (away), Geelong (home), Norf (away) GC (home), Freo (Home), PA (home)

Sloane's past 2 years scores against those opposition

146 & 80 v Hawks, 140 & 137 v Swans, 169 & 127 v Geelong, 110 & 80 (career avg of 115) v North, 139 v GC, 177 v Freo, 151 & 111 & 168 v PA

Not to mention tonning up 37/50 home games, with 24 of them over 120, 18 over 130.
Crows have 8 home games in their first 12. It is seriously so tempting and 6 6 6 rules possibly make it harder for taggers. Priced at 525k and a full preseason with no outside noise. Great scoring history too.

quinny88

Quote from: _wato on March 19, 2019, 12:37:12 AM
Rory Sloane

Adelaide’s early fixture - Hawks (home) Swans (away), Geelong (home), Norf (away) GC (home), Freo (Home), PA (home)

Sloane's past 2 years scores against those opposition

146 & 80 v Hawks, 140 & 137 v Swans, 169 & 127 v Geelong, 110 & 80 (career avg of 115) v North, 139 v GC, 177 v Freo, 151 & 111 & 168 v PA

Not to mention tonning up 37/50 home games, with 24 of them over 120, 18 over 130.
Crows have 8 home games in their first 12. It is seriously so tempting and 6 6 6 rules possibly make it harder for taggers. Priced at 525k and a full preseason with no outside noise. Great scoring history too.

Don't know why I haven't strongly considered this guy. His scoring history is superb and should return to premium numbers this year

enzedder

Jack Steele is still my man but his ownership has sadly doubled recently. Now at 2%

crowls

Quote from: quinny88 on March 19, 2019, 01:38:30 AM
Quote from: _wato on March 19, 2019, 12:37:12 AM
Rory Sloane

Adelaide’s early fixture - Hawks (home) Swans (away), Geelong (home), Norf (away) GC (home), Freo (Home), PA (home)

Sloane's past 2 years scores against those opposition

146 & 80 v Hawks, 140 & 137 v Swans, 169 & 127 v Geelong, 110 & 80 (career avg of 115) v North, 139 v GC, 177 v Freo, 151 & 111 & 168 v PA

Not to mention tonning up 37/50 home games, with 24 of them over 120, 18 over 130.
Crows have 8 home games in their first 12. It is seriously so tempting and 6 6 6 rules possibly make it harder for taggers. Priced at 525k and a full preseason with no outside noise. Great scoring history too.

Don't know why I haven't strongly considered this guy. His scoring history is superb and should return to premium numbers this year
bugger you wato,  stats like this have me 2nd guessing myself.   "no last minute changes" is my mantra this year so not doing it.