Mid Price Options 2019

Started by RaisyDaisy, December 13, 2018, 11:20:23 AM

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RaisyDaisy

Quote from: quinny88 on January 28, 2019, 04:04:15 AM
What do people think Libba and  Miles will realistically average?


Can honestly see both going 100+

I think 85-90+ is realistic, which is why I currently have both of them in my side. Should be nice stepping stones (outside chance of becoming keeper but not expecting it) who score well and make cash, and allow me to strengthen my other lines

Bully

Quote from: quinny88 on January 28, 2019, 04:04:15 AM
What do people think Libba and  Miles will realistically average?


Can honestly see both going 100+

Had Libba last year and was burnt badly, Miles I would consider but my latest restructure has him squeezed out. Don't think he'll average 100 to be honest, reckon 85 more realistic. Several reasons for this, firstly the game a quickened up & Miles is slow & doesn't do a whole lot on the spread. The second is that midfield's are getting taller & Miles is 180cm, three years might not sound like a long time but the game has morphed into a different beast. Finally, when he was firing, Richmond were a finals team, GC won't win too many games so hard to see him tonning up too often, maybe once every 3-4 games. Based on price I think he's a good pick but I don't think he'll hurt too many coaches if not selected.

Southstorm

Tom's last elite season was way too long ago to consider him a potential premium and Dunkley and Macrae have emerged in his absence. Probably likely to go between 80-90 but wouldn't be surprised if he goes even lower.

Miles should rack up career best numbers for disposals and wind up with a lot of hardball-get stats but alot of his touches will probably go down as ineffective considering he's only seen in the guts. Should still go 90+ on his contest work alone, but he's no chance of rising into premium territory.

Hannebery is the hardest to call, if fit he should easily top 100 yet still having issues with his hamstring. I'm taking the punt on him for now.



Keeper27

with Blakely out does that mean Ryan is a lock??

Spite

Quote from: Keeper27 on January 28, 2019, 12:43:40 PM
with Blakely out does that mean Ryan is a lock??

Wait what is the significant of Blakely out affecting Ryan?

Keeper27

Quote from: Spite on January 28, 2019, 02:04:05 PM
Quote from: Keeper27 on January 28, 2019, 12:43:40 PM
with Blakely out does that mean Ryan is a lock??

Wait what is the significant of Blakely out affecting Ryan?

as the freo defender option

hawkers65

Quote from: Keeper27 on January 28, 2019, 02:06:13 PM
Quote from: Spite on January 28, 2019, 02:04:05 PM
Quote from: Keeper27 on January 28, 2019, 12:43:40 PM
with Blakely out does that mean Ryan is a lock??

Wait what is the significant of Blakely out affecting Ryan?

as the freo defender option

Blakely and Ryan were options for different reasons. Blakely was for midfield minutes so shouldn't affect your ryan pick.

ubeaut

Quote from: quinny88 on January 28, 2019, 04:04:15 AM
What do people think Libba and  Miles will realistically average?


Can honestly see both going 100+
Can't see either being any better than JOM last year who was 300k. He wasn't a bad pick, averaged over 90 and slowly made 100k by the time I upgraded him.
But in hindsight I wish I'd just picked L. Fogarty for 200k less and spent the cash on my backs+/or fwds.
It depends on how many decent mid rookies line up as to whether I'll even consider Libba/Hanners/Miles at M6. And M5 is out as if they fail you end up with 4 on field rookies.

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: ubeaut on January 28, 2019, 11:08:09 PM
Quote from: quinny88 on January 28, 2019, 04:04:15 AM
What do people think Libba and  Miles will realistically average?


Can honestly see both going 100+
Can't see either being any better than JOM last year who was 300k. He wasn't a bad pick, averaged over 90 and slowly made 100k by the time I upgraded him.
But in hindsight I wish I'd just picked L. Fogarty for 200k less and spent the cash on my backs+/or fwds.
It depends on how many decent mid rookies line up as to whether I'll even consider Libba/Hanners/Miles at M6. And M5 is out as if they fail you end up with 4 on field rookies.

Wouldn't it be better having 4 on field mid rookies than any other line?

You're saying you'd only take one at M6, which suggests you have 5 prems therefore your other lines must be filled with on field rookies, likely to be worse scorers than mid rookies

shaker

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on January 29, 2019, 07:19:55 AM
Quote from: ubeaut on January 28, 2019, 11:08:09 PM
Quote from: quinny88 on January 28, 2019, 04:04:15 AM
What do people think Libba and  Miles will realistically average?


Can honestly see both going 100+
Can't see either being any better than JOM last year who was 300k. He wasn't a bad pick, averaged over 90 and slowly made 100k by the time I upgraded him.
But in hindsight I wish I'd just picked L. Fogarty for 200k less and spent the cash on my backs+/or fwds.
It depends on how many decent mid rookies line up as to whether I'll even consider Libba/Hanners/Miles at M6. And M5 is out as if they fail you end up with 4 on field rookies.

Wouldn't it be better having 4 on field mid rookies than any other line?

You're saying you'd only take one at M6, which suggests you have 5 prems therefore your other lines must be filled with on field rookies, likely to be worse scorers than mid rookies
Like its been said long time since Libba was premo and Miles basically has not played at AFL level for 2 years so I would rather not start either but JLT will give us an idea if they are worth the risk .
Same with rookies FWD , MID , or BACK I have no idea which ones will be the best scorers till I see some JLT action so trying to determine your team right now is like trying to predict next Saturdays lotto draw  :D

_wato

Dan Hannebery most tempting out of the lot now I look at it. Last years 60 average is a serious outlier, even the putrid season in 2017 he averaged 97. Should be good for 95+, still young enough and in a new team, could flourish.

Bully

Quote from: _wato on January 29, 2019, 08:55:57 AM
Dan Hannebery most tempting out of the lot now I look at it. Last years 60 average is a serious outlier, even the putrid season in 2017 he averaged 97. Should be good for 95+, still young enough and in a new team, could flourish.

Could but hamstring & calf concerns could see him do a Deledio, 50/50 at this stage.

ubeaut

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on January 29, 2019, 07:19:55 AM
Quote from: ubeaut on January 28, 2019, 11:08:09 PM
Quote from: quinny88 on January 28, 2019, 04:04:15 AM
What do people think Libba and  Miles will realistically average?


Can honestly see both going 100+
Can't see either being any better than JOM last year who was 300k. He wasn't a bad pick, averaged over 90 and slowly made 100k by the time I upgraded him.
But in hindsight I wish I'd just picked L. Fogarty for 200k less and spent the cash on my backs+/or fwds.
It depends on how many decent mid rookies line up as to whether I'll even consider Libba/Hanners/Miles at M6. And M5 is out as if they fail you end up with 4 on field rookies.

Wouldn't it be better having 4 on field mid rookies than any other line?

You're saying you'd only take one at M6, which suggests you have 5 prems therefore your other lines must be filled with on field rookies, likely to be worse scorers than mid rookies
I'd rather not have 4 on field rookies anywhere. 2 or 3 maximum. That's why a midpricer at M5 is too risky for me. And it can leave you missing good rookie scores at M6, so it's hard to fit one in.
I guess it's a balance as both Premo and rookie mids are traditionally better scorers. Have Greene at F4 hoping for Setterfield at F5 so technically only one on field there.

enzedder

Quote from: Bully on January 29, 2019, 12:13:37 PM
Quote from: _wato on January 29, 2019, 08:55:57 AM
Dan Hannebery most tempting out of the lot now I look at it. Last years 60 average is a serious outlier, even the putrid season in 2017 he averaged 97. Should be good for 95+, still young enough and in a new team, could flourish.

Could but hamstring & calf concerns could see him do a Deledio, 50/50 at this stage.
An outlier that may prove to be part of a pattern.
He could work but I have the least confidence in him of those guys.

enzedder

With Blakely out now and already having Williams and Witherden I am looking at grabbing some cash and getting Roberton. Means I can trade Greene to Heeney in the forwards and I think that's smarter in that I get a genuine top forward as opposed to a speculative 400-500k defender. Roberton as long as he plays will be value for money.