Thinking About 2019

Started by RaisyDaisy, July 09, 2018, 04:03:20 PM

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Gigantor

They are lot less generous with the discounts for Premo's than they used to be.
The old days was, miss a season get a 40% discount. Now its a sliding scale based on average

Naitanui got 20% discount for 2018 after averaging 105.9 in 2016
Nicholls and Ceglar got 30% discounts after averaging 82.5 and 69.3 in 2016
(Didn't purposely pick ruckman they are just 3 of the higher averaging 2016 players who missed 2017)

So based on that I would say the 2019 prices for the below are:

Doch:       504600 (20%)
B.Crouch:   423300 (20%)
Z.Williams: 413000 (20%)
B.Smith:    316500 (30%)

RaisyDaisy

Don't think Brad Crouch is someone I would pick - just too risky

Hopefully we get heaps of good forward rookies or cheap options because at this rate I want to start 6 prem defenders lol

Gigantor

Ruck's will be interesting, would you be prepared to start two 690k-720k ruckman?

Goldy will be less than 600k and will be hard to ignore

Nige

Quote from: Gigantor on July 10, 2018, 11:16:13 AM
Ruck's will be interesting, would you be prepared to start two 690k-720k ruckman?

Goldy will be less than 600k and will be hard to ignore
Surely start Preuss once he moves clubs at EOS.  8)

Gigantor

Quote from: Nige on July 10, 2018, 11:43:41 AM
Quote from: Gigantor on July 10, 2018, 11:16:13 AM
Ruck's will be interesting, would you be prepared to start two 690k-720k ruckman?

Goldy will be less than 600k and will be hard to ignore
Surely start Preuss once he moves clubs at EOS.  8)

That would be nice haha
But what club would he be a walk up starter? Dogs maybe

fanTCfool

Quote from: Gigantor on July 10, 2018, 01:11:25 PM
Quote from: Nige on July 10, 2018, 11:43:41 AM
Quote from: Gigantor on July 10, 2018, 11:16:13 AM
Ruck's will be interesting, would you be prepared to start two 690k-720k ruckman?

Goldy will be less than 600k and will be hard to ignore
Surely start Preuss once he moves clubs at EOS.  8)

That would be nice haha
But what club would he be a walk up starter? Dogs maybe

Geelong, really need a dominant ruck, should trade for either Goldy or Preuss IMO, whoever North are more willing to let go.

Torpedo10

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on July 09, 2018, 06:45:52 PM
Further to what I mentioned in the OP regarding prem mids next year

I've just had a look, and to my surprise there is only 26 mids currently averaging 100 or more

Of that 26, McLean, Heeney and Hoff are forwards, leaving 23 pure mids

Only 16 of that 23 are currently averaging over 105, and 3 of that 16 (Macrae, Fyfe, Treloar) are out with LTI's so that leaves 13 fit mids going 105+

Funnily enough, players most of us thought were probably past it such as Jelwood, Pendles and Higgins occupy 3 of those 13 spots

How many people would have 8 of those 13? Just goes to show how much luck is required to nail the right picks - and maybe we shouldn't be discounting the older prems so easily ;)

Only 4 guys currently going above 115 too - 2 of which are injured - perhaps next year 105+ is the number to focus on
Pendles & Jelwood were in my side for the week before lockout.  :-[

Peter

Agree RD - Gawn & Grundy set & forget. Pick any four gun mids, 3-4 gun backs and work your way through forwards  as season progresses - a bit like this season

frenzy

Quote from: fanTCfool on July 10, 2018, 01:14:32 PM
Quote from: Gigantor on July 10, 2018, 01:11:25 PM
Quote from: Nige on July 10, 2018, 11:43:41 AM
Quote from: Gigantor on July 10, 2018, 11:16:13 AM
Ruck's will be interesting, would you be prepared to start two 690k-720k ruckman?

Goldy will be less than 600k and will be hard to ignore
Surely start Preuss once he moves clubs at EOS.  8)

That would be nice haha
But what club would he be a walk up starter? Dogs maybe

Geelong, really need a dominant ruck, should trade for either Goldy or Preuss IMO, whoever North are more willing to let go.

GWS, straight swap for Kelly (maybe some junk thrown in)    ;D

Trindacut

RULE ONE OF SUPERCOACH: NEVER GET THE NO.1 RUCKMAN THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

kilbluff1985

b smith is 2-4 weeks away dunno if that will affect his price next year

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on July 11, 2018, 07:15:31 AM
b smith is 2-4 weeks away dunno if that will affect his price next year

Wouldn't touch him, even if he is 300k. Only had one good year, and that was ages ago

Coming off an injury too - no idea why he still gets even mentioned or considered tbh


SilverLion

Quote from: Gigantor on July 10, 2018, 10:55:03 AM
Doch:      504600 (20%)
B.Crouch:   423300 (20%)
Z.Williams: 413000 (20%)
B.Smith:    316500 (30%)
Lock them in.

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: SilverLion on July 11, 2018, 05:29:44 PM
Quote from: Gigantor on July 10, 2018, 10:55:03 AM
Doch:      504600 (20%)
B.Crouch:   423300 (20%)
Z.Williams: 413000 (20%)
B.Smith:    316500 (30%)
Lock them in.

Doch and Williams Yes - wouldn't start the Crows


TomK

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on July 11, 2018, 05:38:49 PM
Quote from: SilverLion on July 11, 2018, 05:29:44 PM
Quote from: Gigantor on July 10, 2018, 10:55:03 AM
Doch:      504600 (20%)
B.Crouch:   423300 (20%)
Z.Williams: 413000 (20%)
B.Smith:    316500 (30%)
Lock them in.

Doch and Williams Yes - wouldn't start the Crows
Brodie Smith is a chance to return for a couple games before the end of the season as well I think, so obviously depending on how he scores but he probably won't get that much of a discount with games played