Brownlow 2018

[R.Griffen]

My team winners and top 10

Adelaide - Rory Laird (16)
Brisbane - Dayne Beams (23)
Carlton - Patrick Cripps (19)
Collingwood - Steele Sidebottom (19)
Essendon - Zach Merrett (20)
Fremantle - Nathan Fyfe (19)
Geelong - Patrick Dangerfield (24)
Gold Coast - David Swallow/Jarryd Lyons (5)
GWS - Stephen Coniglio/Josh Kelly (17)
Hawthorn - Tom Mitchell (31)
Melbourne - Clayton Oliver (26)
North Melbourne - Shaun Higgins (14)
Port Adelaide - Oliver Wines (14)
Richmond - Dustin Martin (30)
St Kilda - Jack Steven (12)
Sydney - Lance Franklin (16)
West Coast - Andrew Gaff (24)
Western Bulldogs - Jack Macrae (22)

1 - T. Mitchell (31)
2 - D. Martin (30)
3 - C. Oliver (26)
4 - P. Dangerfield (24)
4 - A. Gaff (24)
6 - E. Yeo (23)
6 - D. Beams (23)
8 - J. Macrae (22)
9 - M. Gawn (20)
9 - Z. Merrett (20)

[R.Griffen]

Was so clueless what to do with Gawn and Grundy. Think they both fly home but I was all over Goldy for top 10 in his good year and struggled. 18 for Grundy and 20 for Gawn but have both being beaten by midfielders. That extra media hype has me worried

[jvalles69]

Was so clueless what to do with Gawn and Grundy. Think they both fly home but I was all over Goldy for top 10 in his good year and struggled. 18 for Grundy and 20 for Gawn but have both being beaten by midfielders. That extra media hype has me worried

Yeah it's got me freaked out now too as I have them top 5!

I'm going to keep a record from this year of the actual votes to see how far off I am and adjust for next year.

[Hawka]

Fiorini super value, him and Ben Brown are 2 sneaky single bets I have placed.

Ill get to the rest of the temas later but Westhoff is my sneaky value!

Beteasy not even offering Westhoff as an option
Falls under the any other player at $6
Fiorini and Aaron Young fall under the $2.10 any other for suns to
flower looks like im not using them for the brownlow

[jvalles69]

Fiorini super value, him and Ben Brown are 2 sneaky single bets I have placed.

Ill get to the rest of the temas later but Westhoff is my sneaky value!

Beteasy not even offering Westhoff as an option
Falls under the any other player at $6
Fiorini and Aaron Young fall under the $2.10 any other for suns to
flower looks like im not using them for the brownlow

Try Ned or SB.

[dmac07]

Was so clueless what to do with Gawn and Grundy. Think they both fly home but I was all over Goldy for top 10 in his good year and struggled. 18 for Grundy and 20 for Gawn but have both being beaten by midfielders. That extra media hype has me worried

I got Grundy at 70s during the year and pretty hopeful on his chances. I think the around the ground work he does is ahead of what nearly any other ruckman has done which is why I give him a solid chance of winning it.

That being said, Gawn and Grundy could both miss top 10, though it would be a huge injustice and highlight the flaws of the Brownlow as a reward.

[dmac07]

HAWTHORN

28
T.Mitchell

14
J.Gunston

10
J.Omeara
L.Bruest

9
J.Sicily

6
L.Shiels
I.Smith

4
B.McEvoy

3
S.Burgoyne

1
P.Puopolo
J.Worpel

I may have Omera a little low but I really like Gunston in the odds (w/o Mitchell). Paying $9 behind Omera, Bruest and Sicily. Will back outright and in a few multis.

[dmac07]

MELBOURNE

23
M.Gawn

20
C.Oliver

15
A.Brayshaw

9
J.Hogan

6
T.McDonald

5
J.Viney

3
N.Jones
J.Melksham

2
C.Salem
J.Harmes
A.Neal-Bullen

1
C.Petracca 

It will be Gawn or Oliver. Probably a little too close to back with any confidence as several games where they are competing for votes that could edge either way.

[dmac07]

NORTH MELBOURNE

15
S.Higgins

11
B.Cunningotn

7
B.Brown

6
J.Waite
J.Ziebell

5
J.Anderson

4
T.Dumont

3
K.Turner
T.Goldstein

2
R.Tarrent
P.Ahern

1
M.Wood
L.McDonald

Higgins probably takes it but way too short at $1.08. Cunnington a realistic chance at $6.50

[dmac07]

PORT ADELAIDE

12
J.Westhoff

11
R.Gray
O.Wines

5
J.Polec
T.Rockliff

4
C.Dixon
S.Gray
C.Wingard

3
R.Bonner
S.Powel-Pepper
S.Motlop

2
T.Boak
T.Jonas

1
J.Watts
H.Hartlett

Think Grays votes are fairly clear as his either easily in the votes are a long way off. Westhoff harder to predict but for a big guy plays through the mids a lot and can catch the umpires eye. Avoid Gray/Wines, going Westhoff at $12 as one of my best bets.

[dmac07]

RICHMOND

19
D.Martin

11
J.Caddy

10
T.Cotchin
K.Lambert

8
J.Riewoldt

7
S.Edwards

3
B.Houli
N.Vlaustin
D.Prestia

2
J.Short
S.Grigg

1
R.Conca
T.Nankervis

Hard to pick after Martin. Caddy the best value of the w/o Martin market at $9. Though I may have underestimated Cotchin. Tigers hard to pick as they have such even contributors in wins and often oppositiin players would have big games despite losing that could steal votes.

Don't have Martin in overall contention like Aa lot of others do.

[dmac07]

ST KILDA

12
J.Steven

5
S.Ross

3
J.Billings
J.Steele

2
B.Acres
J.Carlisle

1
T.Membrey
J.Gresham

Steven wins, Ross probably in the without Steven market. Not a lot of value or certainty so will probably avoid.

[dmac07]

SYDNEY

18
J.Kennedy

14
L.Franklin

12
I.Heeney

10
L.Parker

9
J.Lloyd

5
B.Ronke

3
C.Sinclair

1
G.Hewett

Kennedy great value at $2.50 and pretty confident he takes it. Heeney his biggest challenger not Franklin I think, was hard to judge Heeney, doesn't have the polling history yet but could poll well early.  Kennedy will be in a lot of my multis

[dmac07]

WESTERN BULLDOGS

20
J.Macrae

9
M.Bontempelli

6
J.Dunkley
L.Hunter

4
T.McLean

3
J.Johanissen

Even at $1.07 Macrae can add some multi value, absolute certainty.

[dmac07]

WEST COAST

23
A.Gaff
E.Yeo

9
J.Darling
L.Shuey

7
J.McGovern

6
J.Redden

3
J.Kennedy
S.Hurn

2
D.Sheed

1
C.Masten
J.Cripps

Gaff/Yeo then daylight. Not backing either in the team markets but added Yeo to some of my trifectas and for top 3/5/10 finish all at good value. Think he will be this years surprise as a contender to win it.