Bully's Boys 2018

[shaker]

After today Bully Dusty will be starting in my team had him in for a while but locked now 100% , 108 from 61% tog at 66% D/E you must be getting a bit nervous not starting him  ;D

[Bully]

After today Bully Dusty will be starting in my team had him in for a while but locked now 100% , 108 from 61% tog at 66% D/E you must be getting a bit nervous not starting him  ;D

Nope, not nervous at all. He's fully priced and will drop, the extra money has gone to good use as I have 15 keepers. Dusty is a high standard deviation player, can't see that changing.

[eaglesman]

Really like this team aye.
Personally feel like the amount of rookies here won’t be available however.

Who the hell is that freo fwd rookie? Haha

[Bully]

Really like this team aye.
Personally feel like the amount of rookies here won’t be available however.

Who the hell is that freo fwd rookie? Haha

The rookies aren't great this year so you have a point, can find extra cash by going Hibberd to Simpson, that could get me a Brodie or Naughton. Crowden is a ready-made bull, built the proverbial and has a fantastic left shoe on him. Athletically he ticks all the boxes, even has a great leap for a human tank. Just a place holder for now but will pick him if named.

[SilverLion]

Ok, the Port supporters think Bonner is a trap so I'm trusting their advice (thank guys). The solution is now one I've been trying to avoid, that is busting up my midfield 6, but Griffen's form in the intraclub game has given me confidence that he's the man to take M6 at the expense of Cripps. Sad to see hm go but something had to give. In the end I've brought in Hibberd who I feeel is overpriced but he's the standout option in defence. A lazy 121 in the JLT confirms he's in ripping form.



You'll also notice Finlayson in the team, this would be a fantastic result if he's named round 1, apparently taking kick-outs.

Side looks good mate. Slightly different structure to most with Cogs at M5, but that's allowed you 4 prems in both your backs and forwards so can see the logic.

Also don't listen to the others re: Dusty, one JLT match shouldn't change anything ;)

Edit: Some typos I didn't notice till just now

[Bully]

Just a bit of tinkering, have made a couple of changes based on the weekend. Not set in stone just yet but here's another version with Kelly, O'Meara, Simpson & Smith coming in for Bont, Griffen, Hibberd & Walters.



Must admit I hadn't even considered O'Meara until I saw this photo. Will obviously wait for some JLT form but reports are generally positive about his fitness.

[Gigantor]

The comments about him moving freely with no knee strapping are what have got me interested

[Money Shot]

team looks good to me.

Only concern is you may end up keeping guys like Hanley, Sicily, Coniglio, O'meara etc. who might avergae in that 80-85 range and 100-105 range which really isnt a top end premo score.

Just something to think about.

[Bully]

team looks good to me.

Only concern is you may end up keeping guys like Hanley, Sicily, Coniglio, O'meara etc. who might avergae in that 80-85 range and 100-105 range which really isnt a top end premo score.

Just something to think about.

I reckon it's worth rolling the dice a bit in defence, Hanley averaged 100 in his last 5 games so there's plenty of scope to get his scoring up with the likes of Hibberd, Roberton, Ellis etc. Sicily averaged 92 last year in the rebounder role, that was over 10 games so I'm comfortable with that particular sample size.

Coniglio/O'Meara versus Dusty/120k rookie, good debate but I'm comfortable with both the scoring potential & the money generation of this combo.

105 + 90 = 195
120 + 60 = 180

Have discussed at length why I'm not jumping on Dusty, high standard deviation player who will almost certainly drop at some point. This was one reason I decided to let Bont go for Kelly, after analysing both players thoroughly I realised that Kelly won't be so easy to get in my team whereas Bont is sure throw in a stinker or two. I also felt a GWS hedge betting angle was worthwhile, they will be top 4 and have a surprisingly soft draw early in the piece, not fussed if the points go to Kelly or Cogs. Kelly's lowest score was 88 last year, he also finished the year with 9 consecutive tons. His ceiling is also large with a very impressive 176 to his name.

As for cash generation, best you could hope for from a rookie would be 200k, that would be optimistic because you are effectively getting the 6th best rookie prospect. Guys like Barry, Kelly, Worpel etc. will also be in my side if named. If Cogs hits 105 he'll be 550k, if O'Meara hits 90 he'll be 500k, that's 300k all up.

The other mid pricer I've plonked in is D.Smith, not entirely sold on this selection but after watching the Freo game I felt Walters comes with a little bit of risk. Haven't ruled him out entirely because he did score 90 with minimal influence, but it was more the impotence of Ballantyne & Matera that raised alarm bells. After watching that game I reckon the chances of Walters going back to the forward line just increased tenfold.

Probably worth reminding people that there's really only one forward rookie that looks decent so far and that's Fritsch, those who leave 2 rookie spots open are running a huge risk. Poholke looks reasonable but tough side to break into. The rest are garbage in my opinion.

[RaisyDaisy]

Can't argue with any of your reasoning but you do seem to be quite knee jerky this year, making several changes off single matches/articles for quite a few players

Just use the JLT to focus on rookies and permanent positional changes of players - don't let a few good or bad scores from proven prems sway you so easily

[shaker]

He has always had a ripped upper body it's his knee that is a concern looking forward to see him in JLT

[Bully]

Can't argue with any of your reasoning but you do seem to be quite knee jerky this year, making several changes off single matches/articles for quite a few players

Just use the JLT to focus on rookies and permanent positional changes of players - don't let a few good or bad scores from proven prems sway you so easily

Was set with my team with Birch at D4 but have been forced to make some changes, this is only the second version since that news came through (excluding the Bonner pick).

Haven't changed my premos much at all, Kelly vs Bont, Walters vs D.Smith, Hibberd vs Simpson, O'Meara vs Griffen. What combination do you think is the best?

He has always had a ripped upper body it's his knee that is a concern looking forward to see him in JLT

Looks fitter & leaner than last year, clearly didn't have a decent preseason in 2017. Picked him last year and was bitterly disappointed, I actually had him on my never again list. Just have a feeling he's good for 90 this year, no strapping on the knees and has apparently shown good acceleration from the stoppages.

[shaker]

Don't worry Bully if he fires in JLT there will be a stampede to get him in  ;)

[RaisyDaisy]

Haven't changed my premos much at all, Kelly vs Bont, Walters vs D.Smith, Hibberd vs Simpson, O'Meara vs Griffen. What combination do you think is the best?

Well I've got Kelly and Griffen in my side, and they've both been there for a while now so that answers your question regarding two of those match ups. I'm not expecting 100+ from Griff, but if he can just stay on the park for the first 6-8 rounds then I think he's an absolute steal at that price as should be able to go 80+ most weeks and be an easy stepping stone to an elite mid. I haven't considered JOM for a second

I've currently got Simpson too, but that position is open to either Simmo or Hibberd at this stage - I honestly don't think you can go wrong with either

As for Walters vs Smith, I'm going with Heeney, Billings, Dahl, Bundy then rookies simply because I don't like the idea of starting a single other available prem. I'd prefer to wait and see on all the rest including the two you've suggested

I'm really making an effort to select keepers that I believe will have zero risk (other than injury) and will be in the Top bunch of their line - trying to stay away from the speculative ones

[Bully]

Haven't changed my premos much at all, Kelly vs Bont, Walters vs D.Smith, Hibberd vs Simpson, O'Meara vs Griffen. What combination do you think is the best?

Well I've got Kelly and Griffen in my side, and they've both been there for a while now so that answers your question regarding two of those match ups. I'm not expecting 100+ from Griff, but if he can just stay on the park for the first 6-8 rounds then I think he's an absolute steal at that price as should be able to go 80+ most weeks and be an easy stepping stone to an elite mid. I haven't considered JOM for a second

I've currently got Simpson too, but that position is open to either Simmo or Hibberd at this stage - I honestly don't think you can go wrong with either

As for Walters vs Smith, I'm going with Heeney, Billings, Dahl, Bundy then rookies simply because I don't like the idea of starting a single other available prem. I'd prefer to wait and see on all the rest including the two you've suggested

I'm really making an effort to select keepers that I believe will have zero risk (other than injury) and will be in the Top bunch of their line - trying to stay away from the speculative ones

Just my two cents but F6 is a make or break spot, I remember the Rohan hole a few years back, 40s & 50s won't do. Poholke might be ok but that's contingent on him getting named. Liam Ryan is a bench option only, Venables the same, maybe Garlett but his scoring history has been patchy.