To Danger, or Not to Danger

Started by Trindacut, January 10, 2018, 10:37:52 PM

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Huttabito

Quote from: ubeaut on March 14, 2018, 02:02:56 PM
Quote from: Huttabito on March 14, 2018, 12:46:01 PM
Quote from: SilverLion on March 14, 2018, 12:39:33 PM
http://m.geelongcats.com.au/news/2018-03-14/injury-update-dangerfield-and-stanley

Confirmation that we probably won't know whether he's playing or not until the day of the game.

Start at your own risk.
If he is a late withdrawal, Oliver or Parker are the only two real options to bring in. Shame J.Kelly would have just played.
So if you're forced to pick Oliver/Parker then you have 150-200 k in bank. Say whoever u choose has a blinder and scores 130 it would really suck dropping them for Danger. Especially if they back that up with a few big scores while Danger starts " slowly"'with a few 100-110 scores.
I would sit on the money and use it to accelerate upgrades in a months time. No way I would be wasting a trade the very next week bringing him back in.

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: ubeaut on March 14, 2018, 02:24:46 PM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on March 14, 2018, 02:05:33 PM
Start all of Conigs, Libba and Arma

Once Danger is back and firing dump 2 of them to get him and keep the best one of the 3
Interesting, could work in theory.
But if he's back round 2 (im saying he'll 99% be back then if not r1) how do you pick the "best" out of Libbs/Cogs/Armo/JOM after just one round or even 2?"Lets say Libba smashes it while your other 2 have a slow start. U drop the 2 who then have awesome scores for 5-6 'rounds and average 100, ur stuck with Libba who scores 80-85 avg thereafter. Really hard to pick who will be best to keep, and if u wait to "see if Danger is firing" u could miss out on a 150 captains score just to see who the best of ur midpricers are.

Well you'd wait and see Danger play a game or two first just to make sure his hammy is ok and he is back firing, so you get to see 3-4 matches your mid pricers before making the call - might even be an extra week or two longer if Danger doesn't go boom and is projected to drop in price

PowerBug

And when he goes 160 on Easter Monday? Then what?
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quinny88

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on March 14, 2018, 03:17:10 PM
Quote from: ubeaut on March 14, 2018, 02:24:46 PM
Quote from: RaisyDaisy on March 14, 2018, 02:05:33 PM
Start all of Conigs, Libba and Arma

Once Danger is back and firing dump 2 of them to get him and keep the best one of the 3
Interesting, could work in theory.
But if he's back round 2 (im saying he'll 99% be back then if not r1) how do you pick the "best" out of Libbs/Cogs/Armo/JOM after just one round or even 2?"Lets say Libba smashes it while your other 2 have a slow start. U drop the 2 who then have awesome scores for 5-6 'rounds and average 100, ur stuck with Libba who scores 80-85 avg thereafter. Really hard to pick who will be best to keep, and if u wait to "see if Danger is firing" u could miss out on a 150 captains score just to see who the best of ur midpricers are.

Well you'd wait and see Danger play a game or two first just to make sure his hammy is ok and he is back firing, so you get to see 3-4 matches your mid pricers before making the call - might even be an extra week or two longer if Danger doesn't go boom and is projected to drop in price

I'm starting to think this might be the go RD. The only issue is that when you're dumping 2 you need there to be a rookie available on the bubble or atleast playing in that week that hasn't already had a price rise. If you wait it out on Danger for 3-4 weeks all of the rookies would have already gone up

frenzy

One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

Bully

Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 04:21:47 PM
One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

Not a bad strategy & worth considering.

quinny88

Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 04:21:47 PM
One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

And if Jelly scores 130 both weeks? Really gonna trade him?

Money Shot

Quote from: quinny88 on March 14, 2018, 04:26:33 PM
Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 04:21:47 PM
One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

And if Jelly scores 130 both weeks? Really gonna trade him?
That is the reason I am going to start Danger if possible.

Say you get Libba and O'meara and they come out over the first 5 rounds and are averaging 100 are you really going to want to trade them out when you have rookies scoring 50 and new rookies on the bubble???


ubeaut

Quote from: quinny88 on March 14, 2018, 04:26:33 PM
Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 04:21:47 PM
One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

And if Jelly scores 130 both weeks? Really gonna trade him?
Exactly what worries me about this scenario.

Holz

Quote from: ubeaut on March 14, 2018, 05:16:01 PM
Quote from: quinny88 on March 14, 2018, 04:26:33 PM
Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 04:21:47 PM
One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

And if Jelly scores 130 both weeks? Really gonna trade him?
Exactly what worries me about this scenario.

I cant see a possible world where you pick 5 premo they all go huge and Danger also goes huge.

you could negate this even further by having Coefield at m8 then you could change any defender.

I dont like the strategy of 200k on the bench but you will 100% have a good way to find the way to get Danger in if he kills it. If you think he will kill it then start him if you think he wont then dont start him.


frenzy

Quote from: quinny88 on March 14, 2018, 04:26:33 PM
Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 04:21:47 PM
One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

And if Jelly scores 130 both weeks? Really gonna trade him?

If your so desperate to Danger in your squad, close the eyes and press the trade button.

jvalles69

Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 05:21:39 PM
Quote from: quinny88 on March 14, 2018, 04:26:33 PM
Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 04:21:47 PM
One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

And if Jelly scores 130 both weeks? Really gonna trade him?

If your so desperate to Danger in your squad, close the eyes and press the trade button.

There'll be someone worth trading to Danger though. Even might pay to watch Danger for 1 week when he comes back.

ubeaut

Quote from: jvalles69 on March 14, 2018, 05:23:31 PM
Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 05:21:39 PM
Quote from: quinny88 on March 14, 2018, 04:26:33 PM
Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 04:21:47 PM
One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

And if Jelly scores 130 both weeks? Really gonna trade him?

If your so desperate to Danger in your squad, close the eyes and press the trade button.

There'll be someone worth trading to Danger though. Even might pay to watch Danger for 1 week when he comes back.
There might be. There might not. Say u   have Oliver who has a few slightly off games of 90-95. Great u say I've found the trade out candidate. Then u trade him and he averages 120 till the byes and u want to get him back in. That would suck.

jvalles69

Quote from: ubeaut on March 14, 2018, 05:46:16 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on March 14, 2018, 05:23:31 PM
Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 05:21:39 PM
Quote from: quinny88 on March 14, 2018, 04:26:33 PM
Quote from: frenzy on March 14, 2018, 04:21:47 PM
One trade, start Jelwood and bank the $200k, Danger misses rnd 2 aswell, keep Jelly another week. Danger starts, YOLO, welcome back.

And if Jelly scores 130 both weeks? Really gonna trade him?

If your so desperate to Danger in your squad, close the eyes and press the trade button.

There'll be someone worth trading to Danger though. Even might pay to watch Danger for 1 week when he comes back.
There might be. There might not. Say u   have Oliver who has a few slightly off games of 90-95. Great u say I've found the trade out candidate. Then u trade him and he averages 120 till the byes and u want to get him back in. That would suck.

This would be true, however I hold grudges on players that screw me over so he would never come back anyway...also Oliver is a cow...

Not that I agree/disagree with it, I'm just playing devils' advocate...Oliver is still a cow.

frenzy

the reason I'm going Jelwood is what happens when Danger is named and then pulled out late in the warm up. Your left with limited options, sure you could grab Oliver this week.. So I can't see myself starting him week one even if he's named. Too much angst. I'm treating the great man as a correctional trade, something I seem to make plenty of.