Money Shot 2018

Started by Money Shot, December 11, 2017, 04:16:08 PM

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Money Shot



First attempt with 11k in the bank.

Chose the 3/5/2/3 players who i think will be the top in there position by seasons end. Birchall and Bennell are my two mid pricers who i think will be good enough to make some great coin and potentially become D/F6 keepers. Have money for one of the first few draft picks in the middle whether it be Rayner/Brayshaw/Dow/Davies-Uniacke and the rest to be cheap rookies.

Let me know what you think.

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Mid Price Watchlist
Def: Birchall, Brayshaw, Wilson, Hanley
Mid: Graham, O'meara, Armitage, Coniglio
FWD: Bennell, Ah Chee, Christensen, Rioli, Delidio, Stringer, Lobb, Robinson, Petrecca, De Goey, Smith

enzedder

Like your 3/5/2/3 player thinking.
I reckon you can't go past NicNat and Gawn for value but wouldn't be surprised if Ryder smashes them both on points.
As for the poll I reckon Hurley and Buddy looks the safest bet premo wise.
Good luck for the season.

crowls

Good team MS.  Nailed the structure.   Now just need to get the rookies right.

shaker

13 guns I will be going with same structure so I like your team  :P

Huttabito

Pure Guns, couple of returning injured past premiums and the rest rookies? Gets my approval.

I was super keen on Menagloa however I'm not sure how Ablett will affect him. Huge punt being the top priced forward but that's just nitpicking, nice team!

Money Shot

Quote from: enzedder on December 11, 2017, 04:27:09 PM
Like your 3/5/2/3 player thinking.
I reckon you can't go past NicNat and Gawn for value but wouldn't be surprised if Ryder smashes them both on points.
As for the poll I reckon Hurley and Buddy looks the safest bet premo wise.
Good luck for the season.
Yeah i would rather Nic Nat and Fyfe over Ryder and Coniglio though so im happy to lose a few points in the ruck department to get a top 5 mid in the midfield from the start of the season.

Quote from: crowls on December 11, 2017, 05:18:17 PM
Good team MS.  Nailed the structure.   Now just need to get the rookies right.
Always the hardest part. Thanks mate.

Quote from: shaker on December 11, 2017, 05:49:05 PM
13 guns I will be going with same structure so I like your team  :P
Cheers mate! always a good first draft the 3/5/2/3 structure.

Quote from: Huttabito on December 12, 2017, 02:24:56 PM
Pure Guns, couple of returning injured past premiums and the rest rookies? Gets my approval.

I was super keen on Menagloa however I'm not sure how Ablett will affect him. Huge punt being the top priced forward but that's just nitpicking, nice team!

Thanks mate. Yeah Menagola is a bit of a risk with Ablett coming in but i feel as though Ablett may play as more of a half forward role like Motlop and Lang did last season. Obviously a wait and see but with Menegola being the most expensive forward it will always be easy to downgrade him to a Greene or a Billings.

SilverLion

Sound structure, looks good all round. Can't critique on your mid-pricers as you have listed many that you could swap depending on injuries/JLT form ;D

I'm not sold on Yeo personally. His 102 average is flattered by his great start to last year, and we don't really know what position he'll find himself in. Just a bit too much risk for mine to start straight off the bat.


Money Shot

Quote from: SilverLion on December 13, 2017, 12:28:50 PM
Sound structure, looks good all round. Can't critique on your mid-pricers as you have listed many that you could swap depending on injuries/JLT form ;D

I'm not sold on Yeo personally. His 102 average is flattered by his great start to last year, and we don't really know what position he'll find himself in. Just a bit too much risk for mine to start straight off the bat.
Haha cheers mate, pretty much have every somewhat viable mid price option on my watchlist haha.

As for Yeo I do agree with you however the backline does not have any locks apart from Laird in my opinion now that Docherty is done for the season.

Yeo is only young and still improving and with Priddis and Mitchell retiring i think there is a chance that midfield minutes could come his way and if he looks like he is playing a non supercoach friendly role i can just downgrade him to someone like Hibberd.

thanks mate :)

Ringo

Nice team and structure MS. Solid premiums, couple of fallen prems which you have explained and rookies as place holders.

Still not sold on Menengola with the Ablett effect but as you say plenty of alternatives.

Money Shot

Quote from: Ringo on December 13, 2017, 04:32:27 PM
Nice team and structure MS. Solid premiums, couple of fallen prems which you have explained and rookies as place holders.

Still not sold on Menengola with the Ablett effect but as you say plenty of alternatives.
Cheers mate. Look into the Menegola thread for my reason on picking him... at this stage anyways.

thanks mate :)

GoLions

Team looks really good. Not really anything to fault at this stage. Keep an eye on Heeney and Bennell i guess haha

Money Shot

Quote from: GoLions on December 14, 2017, 02:04:28 AM
Team looks really good. Not really anything to fault at this stage. Keep an eye on Heeney and Bennell i guess haha
Cheers mate. Don't you worry about me I will be keeping an eye on every player this off season :P

Money Shot

I told my self I wouldn't change my team this season until just before the JLT for a pre JLT side. But Holz has convinced me that starting with Menegola is not a smart option as there is a lot more down side than upside.

'Every year I seem to have one guy i go big time against the grain on, this year its Menegola

no way am i paying 550k for a guy who has played 25 games in his career

He averaged 93 with Selwood in the team in the regular season
He averaged 121 with Selwood out of the team

He averaged 85 in the finals (with selwood)

as others have said now you add Ablett into the squad.


seems absolutely insane to me to pick him up, whats the worse case in not picking him up he averages 100 again?

as long as you dont stuff up the other premo you pick instead its a few points lost. For the same price I can pick up Joel Selwood who has gone 105+ for the last 9 years with 7 of them 110+.

at his price 95 would be considered a passable mark. Danger Ablett Selwood Duncan i can see beating him in SC so barring injury can you see a 5th option at best going 95+?

He is officially Holz's Spud Pick of the year. Not saying he wont go 90+ im just not going near him with all that risk at that price.'


So I have made a few changes and will post shortly.

GoLions

If 93 is his floor, then I'm happy :P

Buddy - Getting older, will he start to decline? Also, always has a rough patch where he bottoms out and you can pick him up cheaply
Heeney - Just went in for knee surgery...
Greene - Gets suspended way too easily
JJK - Like all KPFs, will drop in price eventually, and you can pick him up cheaper
Wingard - Quite a few new players coming in to the Port 22, and they have the early bye
Billings - Took the next step in 2017, can he go further again in 2018, or will he stay around a 90avg? (i have him as well fwiw)
Gray - Similar to Wingard, also was extremely inconsistent last year playing fwd, could happen again this year
Dixon - Another Port guy, early bye hurts, inconsistent as well so will definitely get cheaper
Dahl - Was poor last year, can he return to his best? (I'm backing him in for the moment)

After Menegola, those guys round out the top 10. Basically all have question marks on them, so I'm very happy to lock in Menegola for the time being.

Money Shot

Quote from: GoLions on December 14, 2017, 12:07:31 PM
If 93 is his floor, then I'm happy :P

Buddy - Getting older, will he start to decline? Also, always has a rough patch where he bottoms out and you can pick him up cheaply
Heeney - Just went in for knee surgery...
Greene - Gets suspended way too easily
JJK - Like all KPFs, will drop in price eventually, and you can pick him up cheaper
Wingard - Quite a few new players coming in to the Port 22, and they have the early bye
Billings - Took the next step in 2017, can he go further again in 2018, or will he stay around a 90avg? (i have him as well fwiw)
Gray - Similar to Wingard, also was extremely inconsistent last year playing fwd, could happen again this year
Dixon - Another Port guy, early bye hurts, inconsistent as well so will definitely get cheaper
Dahl - Was poor last year, can he return to his best? (I'm backing him in for the moment)

After Menegola, those guys round out the top 10. Basically all have question marks on them, so I'm very happy to lock in Menegola for the time being.
Good Points but still think I will pass on Menegola.

Buddy is a gun, Heeney is only going to improve. Played with shot knees last season and still was a top 3 forward so he can do anything, Greene could be the top forward come seasons end if he doesnt get suspended which hopefully he will improve on as he matures.

Not touching Port/Gold Coast premiums at this stage.