Thinking about 2018

Started by enzedder, August 20, 2017, 11:26:11 AM

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Ricochet

Quote from: quinny88 on October 19, 2017, 09:27:49 PM
Anyone become relevant since being traded?
Would have to look at Matt Kennedy, Devon Smith, Brendon Ah Chee, Harrison Wigg, Sam Murray

quinny88

Can already see they will say Devon Smith is playing mid all pre season then will sit in a forward pocket and average 65 haha



RaisyDaisy

Quote from: quinny88 on October 19, 2017, 09:27:49 PM
Anyone become relevant since being traded?

GAJ will probably kick 100, but other than that without looking over every trade in detail I wouldn't think so as most of the players will be mid pricers, and I'm done with them!

Wigg and possibly Murray might be good cash cows for Rd1

DCAK

Quote from: quinny88 on October 19, 2017, 09:36:00 PM
Can already see they will say Devon Smith is playing mid all pre season then will sit in a forward pocket and average 65 haha

You're spot on! That's how I ended up w/ Caddy in my team this year...  :'(

LordSneeze

There will always be players who through trades will get talked up and have a lot jump on the bandwagon, first thoughts and it will likely be Smith, Gibbs, Stringer, Rocky & Matera . Here are my initial thoughts on each player traded.

Trades
Lever to Melbourne â€" Likely play a similar role to what he played last year, however with Hibberd I wouldn’t feel confident In picking him given he hasn’t consistently shown that he has a high ceiling. Should be priced at 80 average, not premium nor cash to be made.

Smith to Essendon â€" Smith has never been a player that scores really well his best year being in 2014 and that was with an increase in possessions and higher kicks to handballs ratio. Even if he was a MF DPP I would be wary and likely avoiding. Should be priced at 80 average.

Impey to Hawthorn -  Just no, not enough ball nor enough skill. Will provide speed and at best average 75

Crozier to Western Bulldogs â€" I think we can all agree he is not made for Fantasy

Saad to Essendon â€" Will likely improve, but not enough to push past an 85 average. Priced at 73 will likely mean a no.

Watts to Port â€" Has never really been a premium scorer and while moving to a new teammight make him a bit more relevant, its not going to be enough for me to take a risk on him. Id be wanting to see a good preseason, consistent games, removal of the odd 50 games and consistent performances before even considering.

Ah Chee to West Coast â€" Personally I don’t think he will play and wouldn’t be worth it as a MP option.

Balic to Melbourne â€" Unlikely to play and not really worth it.

Wigg to Gold Coast â€" Im expecting him to break into the GC side and be a solid cash cow 60-70 average, knows how to find the ball, but is lacking the body to be a top cash cow option.

Gibbs to Crows â€" Going to be priced at 102 which is probably slightly overpriced, being at a new team it is unknown whether he will be played across HB, Wing or Mid. Wait & See.

Young to Gold Coast â€" Showed in 2016 that he has the ability to score premium levels with 9/21 over 90. Predominetly played HFF for Port. Watch what his role is as he has proven he can score and will be priced at 57ish, could be a good option over one of the more expensive rookies.

Austin to Saints â€" Too risky IMO

Murray to Collingwood â€" Watch preseason as a rookie option.

Gibson to Adelaide â€" Will be fringe, might slot in, but not worth it with the rest of adelaide’s mids all point scorers.

Wilson to Fremantle â€" Has shown he can score, but need to see more consistency.

Lobbe to Carlton â€" Will be a backup only.

Stringer to Essendon â€" No one really knows what he will do, watch & see.

Kennedy to Carlton â€" Will be mid-priced around 65 ish, but there will be points to be gained at Carlton with Gibbs leaving.

Hodge to Brisbane â€" Nope, will be rested at times

Lang to Carlton - Will be mid-priced around 70 ish, but there will be points to be gained at Carlton with Gibbs leaving. Same spot at Kennedy.

Ablett to Geelong â€" Will be priced at 114-115. Likely play more forward. If he has DPP lock in, but unlikely. Ill be holding off to see how he goes. Prefer to start M Crouch, Z Merrett etc instead.

Cameron to Brisbane â€" Worst team, not that good. Do not pick

Matera to Fremantle â€" Matera has always had talent, but is he consistent enough to pick to breakout.

Weller to Gold Coast â€" Give him a few more years to develop.

Schache to Western Bulldogs â€" Likely to replace stringer, but need to see him continue to develop for a few years before picking.


Free Agency
Trengove to Western Bulldogs â€" Probably underpriced, but doesn’t have the potential to be a premium. No.

Rockliff to Port â€" We all know what he can produce and if they price him at 96 then he should be a no brainer pick. Port do not have any big point scoring midfielders and with the fresh start if fit he is the one worth the risk.

Motlop to Port â€" Underpriced for what he can produce, but he will be priced at a point where he will need to become a premium to make it worthwhile. I don’t believe he can push his career best average up more than 15 points.

crowls

Great write up LS.   Gaz will be interesting for people.  Like you I see him as being used predominately forward and may chop out with Dangerfield.    Unlikely to get FWD status next year and for me will be a wait and see to validate how much mid time and point scoring he does.   


Kelly, Merrett, MCrouch, Mitchell all before GAZ at less money and risk.


Rocky/Motlop at Port knocks RGray on the head as a mid or fwd option for me.   Good chance to see Rocky get back to 115+ average so he is available at unders at the start of the year.   Still comes with injury risk and how likely is he to be top 10 points scored for mids next year.       Any chance he get M/F status?

Gigantor

Not sure on Rocky, he's a pretty good forward, feel like he could be part of the rotation with Gray and Wingard. Might stop him from reaching that 110+ mark that we all want, he will be priced around 520k which is an awkward amount.

Money Shot


shaker

Only Wigg and Murray would be of interest out of that lot maybe Ah Chee if cheap , see how Rockliff goes at Port where he plays but will not be starting him

Grufflez

Of the players that moved club only Rocky and Wilson interest me.

Rory Lobb, Wilson, Zac Williams, Callum Mills, Billings, Blakely, and a mid priced midfielder i won't mention are all of interest to me as well.

Peter

Wigg definitely and MKennedy could be the 2016 Clayton Oliver in terms of money making

enzedder

One for discussion... Ryan Griffen. Played 3 games. 56 average.
Unlikely I'd touch him. His best is past him and 32 years next July but if he $250k... I probably still won't have him.
Any takers?

Jroo

GWS have lost a few players so you'd think he slots back into their best 22 once he's fit

Will watch him over the preseason I guess

shaker

Quote from: enzedder on October 22, 2017, 07:23:58 PM
One for discussion... Ryan Griffen. Played 3 games. 56 average.
Unlikely I'd touch him. His best is past him and 32 years next July but if he $250k... I probably still won't have him.
Any takers?

Would not start him even at that price but if he is scoring ok and does not fall over could be grabbed on the bubble

enzedder

Yeah, that's probably the best play with him I'd say.