Which Lynch to get in a Pinch

Started by Holz, May 17, 2017, 10:36:23 AM

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GoLions

Quote from: Judd Magic on May 17, 2017, 08:10:57 PM
Quote from: GoLions on May 17, 2017, 07:42:01 PM
Quote from: Judd Magic on May 17, 2017, 07:33:00 PM
Quote from: Bully on May 17, 2017, 06:46:56 PM
With Heeney & Yeo looking like 100+ performers it's hard to justify any key position players apart from Buddy.
Unless you're making the upgrade this week...

TJ Lynch plays an extra game during the byes, and he'll probably save you about 80k at least (and saving cash is a massive factor this year imo). Also don't have to worry about any further issues relating to GF with Heeney.

Surely Heeney wont cop GF again will he?  :o
Someone said somewhere that he is/was taking a nap during the day like every day because he was so tired and still hadn't fully recovered, I don't know if that's still the case or not. I'm also not confident that he can keep up this scoring regardless.

TomK

Planning to trade WHE to Lynchy from the Suns around round 12 when he has bottomed out, should only cost 80-90k ;D

Holz

Quote from: Bully on May 17, 2017, 06:46:56 PM
With Heeney & Yeo looking like 100+ performers it's hard to justify any key position players apart from Buddy.

Yeo is 140k more though.

Thats 140k can be used elsewhere.

For example yeo at f6 and taranto at f7

Or lynch at f6 lynch at f7 then loophole and cover for injuries

Bully

Quote from: Holz on May 17, 2017, 08:32:19 PM
Quote from: Bully on May 17, 2017, 06:46:56 PM
With Heeney & Yeo looking like 100+ performers it's hard to justify any key position players apart from Buddy.

Yeo is 140k more though.

Thats 140k can be used elsewhere.

For example yeo at f6 and taranto at f7

Or lynch at f6 lynch at f7 then loophole and cover for injuries

Yeo will come down, hasn't copped the tag yet but it will happen.

plumdog millionaire

Quote from: Bully on May 17, 2017, 09:31:19 PM
Quote from: Holz on May 17, 2017, 08:32:19 PM
Quote from: Bully on May 17, 2017, 06:46:56 PM
With Heeney & Yeo looking like 100+ performers it's hard to justify any key position players apart from Buddy.

Yeo is 140k more though.

Thats 140k can be used elsewhere.

For example yeo at f6 and taranto at f7

Or lynch at f6 lynch at f7 then loophole and cover for injuries

Yeo will come down, hasn't copped the tag yet but it will happen.
I fear this but hanging on to the hope that teams would prefer to tag Shuey or Gaff before Yeo

quinny88

Quote from: Judd Magic on May 17, 2017, 08:10:57 PM
Quote from: GoLions on May 17, 2017, 07:42:01 PM
Quote from: Judd Magic on May 17, 2017, 07:33:00 PM
Quote from: Bully on May 17, 2017, 06:46:56 PM
With Heeney & Yeo looking like 100+ performers it's hard to justify any key position players apart from Buddy.
Unless you're making the upgrade this week...

TJ Lynch plays an extra game during the byes, and he'll probably save you about 80k at least (and saving cash is a massive factor this year imo). Also don't have to worry about any further issues relating to GF with Heeney.

Surely Heeney wont cop GF again will he?  :o

Won't cop it again, he still has it. He's just over the worst of it. He said he has to take regular naps and rest to stay on top of it

GoLions

Just having a look at some of my upgrade targets over the next couple of weeks...

Lynch (Suns) should be around 430k next week, and Mitch Wallis will be 470k and had his bye. So, Lynch +40k vs Wallis? I have 2 spots left and 1 was meant to be for Macrae. Tempted to grab both Doggies now as Macrae should drop to around 500k as well. Could be the way to go?

Money Shot

Quote from: GoLions on June 03, 2017, 11:28:15 AM
Just having a look at some of my upgrade targets over the next couple of weeks...

Lynch (Suns) should be around 430k next week, and Mitch Wallis will be 470k and had his bye. So, Lynch +40k vs Wallis? I have 2 spots left and 1 was meant to be for Macrae. Tempted to grab both Doggies now as Macrae should drop to around 500k as well. Could be the way to go?
I already have Dahl and Macrae and although Wallis is looking tempting I don't think we have a big enough sample size to trust him.

batt

I'm taking Wallis over Macrae.  I think Macrae may be forced to play a little more outside with Wallis in the team.  Would still take both over Lynch even though I think Lynch is the biggest talent of the 3.

quinny88

WHE > Lynch (GC) will finish my forward line at the Rd 13 bye
Dahlhaus, Yeo, Macrae, Franklin, Nankervis, Lynch

Money Shot

Is caddy to lynch a wasted trade? Now that caddy played his best game of the season I'm worried that he could average 90+ from here on out.
It'll only be about 40k to do the upgrade though so it might be worth it?

King_Robbo

Quote from: GoLions on June 03, 2017, 11:28:15 AM
Just having a look at some of my upgrade targets over the next couple of weeks...

Lynch (Suns) should be around 430k next week, and Mitch Wallis will be 470k and had his bye. So, Lynch +40k vs Wallis? I have 2 spots left and 1 was meant to be for Macrae. Tempted to grab both Doggies now as Macrae should drop to around 500k as well. Could be the way to go?

I think Lynch is a great trade in. Has the ability to go massive and I like that in a f6-f7.
I'm thinking of Sandi to Lynch via Nank and then get in Gawn when he's back and push Nank to the forwards and that'll leave Lynch and Nank as f6/7

GCSkiwi

Quote from: tor01doc on June 05, 2017, 04:41:16 PM
Quote from: GCSkiwi on June 05, 2017, 03:59:24 PM
Quote from: tor01doc on June 05, 2017, 02:32:53 PM
Quote from: GCSkiwi on June 05, 2017, 01:51:41 PM
Otten -> Schaz
SPP -> Rocky
Turner -> Lynch (GCS)

Why Lynch?

Can't see the attraction tbh

A few have been talking him up but his numbers just don't do it for me.

Yeah I'm still not 100% sold myself to be honest, but here's my thoughts thus far:

Fwds in general are a bit of a crap shoot at the moment. Have Yeo, Macrae, Dahl and Nank which I'd say most do. F5/6, who knows. Heeney, Buddy, Greene, both Lynch's, JJK, NRoo, Cameron all options. If we're going to be short-sighted, put Wallis and Dixon in there too, but not really for me. Steele a good pick for those who started him but I'm not sure I'm confident bringing him in. So what is there separating all of those guys?
It's dicey for me to bring in a rd13 bye players, so bye Greene, Cameron, AdeLynch. Injuries to NRoo and JJK rule them out.
Down to Heeney, Buddy, GCLynch.
Heeney still 50/50, has a high BE so price not going anywhere (possibly down), and I'm not convinced 500k for what hes shown so far is worth it. 4/6 games over 90, including 3/6 over 100, 1/6 125+.
Buddy offset by a massive game, other than that has been pretty ordinary this year. You'd be picking him on class, not form, and at some point I feel even with proven prems form has to come into the equation. Has to show something before he's worth picking imo, especially at 490k. 4/10 over 100, including 2 125+
GCLynch - two terrible scores dragging down his average, and currently, his price. 6/10 over 90, including 4/10 over 100, 1 125+. Better output than Franklin for 60k less. Plus looking at his season last year, a couple of crap scores before bye, averaged 99.6 after. For 430k I'll take someone who should average 90+ and maybe pop out the odd 120+ at F5/F6.

And our personal conversations continues...

Take out Lynch's and Buddy's highest and lowest scores and they average 89 and 91 respectively.

I already have Buddy but to be honest, if I were too select a new F5/6 now (have Yeo, McCrae, Dahl, Nank, Buddy already) it would be out of Wallis and Heeney.

Wallis having DPP doesn't interest me much as 3 others there do as well.

If it is this week then Wallis but if it can wait, Heeney.

Taking this out of the round 12 trades thread to somewhere vaguely more on topic.

I need an F5 and F6 and would prefer as few KPP as possible. Heeney is shaping up the strongest candidate to finish my fwds, but I can wait a week on him with his BE where it is. Greene also a contender but not with the bye coming up. Wallis I kinda want to pick, but I'm spooked by having 3 of the same team in one line. Though it's worked with Beams, Swan and Pendles a few years ago at the Pies, and once upon a time JPK, Hanners, Parker, Titch and KJack all scored decently playing together...

When comparing players the numbers are always interesting to interpret, means give a quick snapshot but can be easily skewed by particularly good or bad performances. Lynch has 2 terrible scores (49 and 29) which hurt his average, but ultimately are short-lived. Buddy has a string of 70s that are resurrected by his 160 when looking at his average. I don't think it's that fair to just eliminate highest and lowest scores, the question is what can you expect them to put up when they play this week? Looking smack bang in the middle, Buddy's median score is 82, Lynch is 93. For 60k less, that seems worth the punt to me.

Buddy's definitely not coming in, the choice is 1) no trade, 2) Lynch or 3) Wallis this week. If Sandi is a late out I'll have the bare 18 on the field so I'd like to have a bonus someone if needed...

Holz

picked up Crows lynch for 408k and GC lynch this week for 433k very happy.

Both should average 90 for the year and be great premos.

this i dont pick KPP things doesnt make much sense unless you a league player. They will average premo numbers and if you can stick one at F7 then you will do really really well with loophole.

i have both on field as have nank in the ruck at the moment, but sitting one at F7 is great as most have Nank, so really they cover Ruck, Mid and Forward and can be loopholed.


tor01doc

GC Lynch has had 8 scores over 120 in 6 1/2 years

Buddy 24 I think

I know Lynch is on the rise, but those 40's kill me

Heeney would be my preferred F6 but Wallis may come in this week if I look like I am struggling for my main cash league match up

Prob can't go wrong with any of the three (already have Buddy and wouldn't grab him now I think. Swans may put the cue in the rack by SC finals time)

Love the discussion