Trade OUT: Otten vs. Hampton

Started by BomberSam, May 10, 2017, 10:06:50 AM

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djbics

Quote from: Gigantor on May 10, 2017, 08:14:04 PM
Quote from: djbics on May 10, 2017, 07:07:57 PM
Quote from: Holz on May 10, 2017, 10:12:15 AM
Quote from: BomberSam on May 10, 2017, 10:06:50 AM
I will trade one this week, and one next week. Both have a 91 BE, Otten is 376.4k and averaging 82.86, and Hampton is 305.5k and averaging 63. I would probably expect both to score around the 60 mark this weekend. Who should be traded first?

well if you expect both to score 60 then trade out the guy who is priced more.

i expect otten to beat hampton so im trading hampton.

I voted Otten only due to your conditions (one this week, one next, expecting them both to score approximately 60). 

As Holz said, the guy priced more (otten) is more valuable to your trades in this outcome, though tbh I agree with the others here that Otten should score more than Hampton so in that case I'd trade Hampton.

This is doubly the case if you were to hold 1 past next week, as Otten is more likely to pull a score that might scrounge a bit more cash, his BE is only so high as his past 3 games have been 101, 61, 69 and that 101 is about to drop from his 3-game rolling average meaning his next BE will be much more achievable

That hundred is already gone, his rolling average is 61,69 + this weeks score. His break even is high because he has scored less then what is his priced at the last two weeks.
If he scores 70 he will drop about 8k and his knew BE will be around 75

Well, technically it hasn't gone until he plays this week, might not get picked  8) Obviously the BE is in relation to his current price and what he scores this week to make up his new rolling average, my point was that 101 cant be counted in his price fluctuation, and whilst he will (likely) have a price decrease this week, he is (likely) to have a much more achievable BE next week.

But to be fair Hampton has the same situation (103, 41, 47) so my point was probably irrelevant anyway  :P

Capper

The only guys i'm looking to trade in are Adams & Roberton to go with Docherty, Laird, Shaw and maybe ZJones as my back 6.

Doesn't matter if i trade Otten or Hampton, i can't afford either Adams or Roberton with just 1 trade.

I have been going over and over in my head about what trade to do this weekend.

Currently i am only starting 1 of Otten or Hampton on the field. So i am going to trade both of them out. Why? because if they both score 100, they only go up $5k each. Hampton will then have a 29 Be, Otten 50.

Currently have 17, 21, 17 players playing during the bye. Getting Adams and Berry in for Otten and Hampton improves my byes to 17, 21, 18 players playing

Judd Magic

I'm leaning on keeping them both for another week.

I want to flower off Treloar as I can't stand his sh1t anymore so have to trade Houston to Mutimer for cash and then Treloar to Rocky.

Next week I might go Hampton > McNeice (1 week late) or Myers and Otten > Selwood via Adams.

smashbox

Ottens scores have been way down since Jenkins came back in. I think he's the one who needs to go as he may drop in price

PICCOLLO

Hampton's 100 is out of his rolling average so he'd be the one to go if trading this week.  If they score well this rd I might keep them until r12

Jroo

Both are gone for me this week so I can get Rocky in  :-*

Lever out, so maybe Otten moves back? He hasn't really scored well down there though