Rory Sloane

Started by doogz, May 01, 2017, 11:05:26 AM

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_wato

#45
Of course it's a big call but look at the Bont. Everyone mouth watering over his start to the year but he's slowly coming back to the group. Pendles slowly increasing his average, 6/10 over 120 but only averaging 114. Think Sloaney's big big games will slow down. He's an AO specialist, 77 168 124 140 70 177, outside of there he's 146 139 80 119 which is still great but not as impressive. After Rd 14 only 4 more games out of his last 9 vs 8/14 to start the year.

Last 2 at SS 83 and 82. Plays there tomorrow. Then has Saints and hawks both at home so expected 120+ returns.

Then Carlton who he has a highest of 114 against at the G, plays Dogs with a career avg of 95, then has Vince tag again before Geelong again and then Pies who he also has a career avg of 95 against also playing at the G, in which he only averages 90 at compared to 120 at Adelaide Oval. Then has PA, Dons, Sydney so expected 110+ returns and then eagles at Domain which is always tougher.

So could go 80, 125, 125, 110, 100, 100, 110, 100, 115, 115, 115, 105

There's a 110 average ^^ taking into account his record. Yeah maybe a few higher scores to inflate avg. Lower scores too with Vince, and other bad records. Also has the bye to come, so drops the avg further. 110-115 is totally conceivable in this case. I don't think he's a massive must. Rocky on the other hand well 


dylanclements

I see your general thinking, and 115 is plausible enough, I admit it. Even on this analysis though, you point out he averages 122.5 away from home this season, and predict he won't go over 125 again for the whole season - home or away. Pretty massive and somewhat anomalous call. I think it's more natural to assume he gets that 120+ and hits 150 three or four more times, but at the end of the day it aint my job to be lecturing 41st overall  :P

_wato

Quote from: dylanclements on May 31, 2017, 03:37:05 PM
I see your general thinking, and 115 is plausible enough, I admit it. Even on this analysis though, you point out he averages 122.5 away from home this season, and predict he won't go over 125 again for the whole season - home or away. Pretty massive and somewhat anomalous call. I think it's more natural to assume he gets that 120+ and hits 150 three or four more times, but at the end of the day it aint my job to be lecturing 41st overall  :P

That is a fair call. He did play Hawks (titch only mid), Gold Coast (rabble), NM (career avg of 116), and Brisbane (no rocky, robbo) away from home though. Much easier teams to beat up compared to Geelong at SS, Dogs, Melb (Vince), Pies, Dons, WCE at Domain. My conservative numbers got him a 110 average, 2 150's increases the average by 5 to 115. Think he'll notch up 5/6 150's on the run home to get him to 120-125? Doubt it.


dylanclements

Couple of 150s and maybe three or four 140s sounds well likely to me. I don't really believe the top echelon mids tend to shred bad teams any more than they do good teams, as a rule. The Pendles, Selwoods, etc. of the world are near on just as likely to play their best footy when the heat is really turned up as when they're playing Brisbane. I'm thinking, e.g., of Bont towards the end of last season/finals. This is probably different to KPPs, especially forwards, who do make hay while the shines a bit more. I mean all this both as regards SC and impact generally.

Doubt I'm doing much to convince you at this point though mate, haha. Maybe we agree to disagree and the rest of the season shows up one of us right!

_wato

Quote from: dylanclements on May 31, 2017, 04:20:23 PM
Couple of 150s and maybe three or four 140s sounds well likely to me. I don't really believe the top echelon mids tend to shred bad teams any more than they do good teams, as a rule. The Pendles, Selwoods, etc. of the world are near on just as likely to play their best footy when the heat is really turned up as when they're playing Brisbane. I'm thinking, e.g., of Bont towards the end of last season/finals. This is probably different to KPPs, especially forwards, who do make hay while the shines a bit more. I mean all this both as regards SC and impact generally.

Doubt I'm doing much to convince you at this point though mate, haha. Maybe we agree to disagree and the rest of the season shows up one of us right!

I'd just rather Rocky. Freo next week (3 rd 145 avg against) then Port (terrible record) then draw opens up for him. Has Dons (113 career avg), Tigs (pumped a 176 against them this year, career avg of 121)en thn Blues (204, 159, 145, 97, 182) in his last 5 against them from rds 15-18. 7/12 games at the Gabba and he always smashes the second half of the year. Plus his bye is done.

dylanclements

Quote from: _wato on May 31, 2017, 04:31:29 PM
I'd just rather Rocky.

Can't argue with that. I'd take Sloane tbh - but I'm lucky enough to have one and getting the other. Hard to split em. Shoulder a slight concern but his ceiling is off the rails this year, and will probably win one or two games for me by himself

Bully

Quote from: _wato on May 31, 2017, 04:31:29 PM
Quote from: dylanclements on May 31, 2017, 04:20:23 PM
Couple of 150s and maybe three or four 140s sounds well likely to me. I don't really believe the top echelon mids tend to shred bad teams any more than they do good teams, as a rule. The Pendles, Selwoods, etc. of the world are near on just as likely to play their best footy when the heat is really turned up as when they're playing Brisbane. I'm thinking, e.g., of Bont towards the end of last season/finals. This is probably different to KPPs, especially forwards, who do make hay while the shines a bit more. I mean all this both as regards SC and impact generally.

Doubt I'm doing much to convince you at this point though mate, haha. Maybe we agree to disagree and the rest of the season shows up one of us right!

I'd just rather Rocky. Freo next week (3 rd 145 avg against) then Port (terrible record) then draw opens up for him. Has Dons (113 career avg), Tigs (pumped a 176 against them this year, career avg of 121)en thn Blues (204, 159, 145, 97, 182) in his last 5 against them from rds 15-18. 7/12 games at the Gabba and he always smashes the second half of the year. Plus his bye is done.

Fyfe to Rocky just about a done deal for me.

Holz

Sloane Rocky Pendles Danger you cant go wrong with these guys.

Titchell and Neale need to join the conversation aswell.

Sloane is 580k even if he goes 115 he is a great pick up. Almost certain top 8 mid.




js19

Quote from: Holz on May 31, 2017, 05:27:36 PM
Sloane Rocky Pendles Danger you cant go wrong with these guys.

Titchell and Neale need to join the conversation aswell.

Sloane is 580k even if he goes 115 he is a great pick up. Almost certain top 8 mid.

Agree. Sloane this week for me

Post bye midfield:

Danger, Pendles, Sloane, Rocky, Titch, Selwood, Neale, Murphy  8)

Bluesalltheway

Quote from: js19 on May 31, 2017, 05:50:45 PM
Quote from: Holz on May 31, 2017, 05:27:36 PM
Sloane Rocky Pendles Danger you cant go wrong with these guys.

Titchell and Neale need to join the conversation aswell.

Sloane is 580k even if he goes 115 he is a great pick up. Almost certain top 8 mid.

Agree. Sloane this week for me

Post bye midfield:

Danger, Pendles, Sloane, Rocky, Titch, Selwood, Neale, Murphy  8)

That is a top notch midfield!

js19

Quote from: Bluesalltheway on May 31, 2017, 06:28:56 PM
Quote from: js19 on May 31, 2017, 05:50:45 PM
Quote from: Holz on May 31, 2017, 05:27:36 PM
Sloane Rocky Pendles Danger you cant go wrong with these guys.

Titchell and Neale need to join the conversation aswell.

Sloane is 580k even if he goes 115 he is a great pick up. Almost certain top 8 mid.

Agree. Sloane this week for me

Post bye midfield:

Danger, Pendles, Sloane, Rocky, Titch, Selwood, Neale, Murphy  8)

That is a top notch midfield!

Only Ferraris in the middle!

Unfortunately a few Ladas and Nissan Micras elsewhere... ;D

Dudge

Nothing wrong with the hard working Commo

Huttabito

Quote from: Dudge on May 31, 2017, 08:41:31 PM
Nothing wrong with the hard working Commo
Have you seen Priddis this year though? Not quite the workhorse he use to be.

GCSkiwi

A micra is a solidly reliable vehicle! Ladas however...

my post-bye mids should be Sloane, Pendles, Danger, Jelwood, Titch, Bont, Fyfe and Rocky. I have the first 7 after getting Sloane this week, Rocky the one to come in next week. Pretty happy with that.

H1bb3i2d

Picking him up last week was one of my best trades. Currently averaging 177 in my team  8)