LaHug's Captains 2017 - Round 4

[LaHug]

This is the seventh year in a row I've brought you LaHug's Captains!

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[LaHug]

Two partial lockouts this week so two games worth of VC options. Read on to find the best ones. For those new to the forums, each week I will tell you some statistics on a player's last 3 games, their last 3 against this week's opponent, and their last 3 at this ground. I will also do a quick overview on my thoughts and have a guess at their score for this week. From all this, I'll give you my top 5 captain choices for the week. Requests probably won't happen this year but feel free to point out anyone obvious I've missed.

We have a partial lockout this week for the West Coast vs. Sydney game and the North vs. Bulldogs game which means we can use the CAPTAINS LOOPHOLE!

How it works:

1.   Select a player from the Eagles, Swans, Roos, or Bulldogs as your VICE CAPTAIN.
2.   For now, set your captain to someone worthy of captaincy in another game in case you forget to change it.
3.   IF your VC scores really well, sub a non-playing player onto the field and set them as captain.
4.   Make sure you have an emergency in the position of your non-playing captain!

Note: This has risks if there are any late withdrawals as you won't have cover. I will not accept any responsibility for any such misfortune. Your team, your decision!

The facts & thoughts:

Gaff
Last 3: 107, 115, 144 (122 avg)
Last 3 against Sydney: 103, 100, 100 (101 avg)
Last 3 at Subi: 115, 98, 115 (109 avg)

Gaff is a lock for the ton this week but he doesn't have a high enough scoring record against the Swans to be a prime loophole option. Probably better than any other Eagle though. Prediction - 115

Bontempelli
Last 3: 103, 126, 89 (106 avg)
Last 3 against North: 118, 80, 93 (97 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 126, 102, 137 (122 avg)

We really don't have many loophole options this week but the Bont is one to consider. Good scores at Etihad and did manage a 118 (not enough to loophole, obviously) against the Roos last year. Prediction - 110

Macrae
Last 3: 116, 92, 116 (108 avg)
Last 3 against North: 114, 116, 82 (104 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 92, 96, 112 (100 avg)

Macrae is the best loophole option from the second game because you probably have him and he's likely to hit the ton. Still, nothing jumping out. Prediction - 115

Fyfe
Last 3: 110, 116, 110 (112 avg)
Last 3 against Melbourne: 113, 86, 77 (92 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 113, 113, 110 (112 avg)

Nothing exciting here, just a lock for a decent score. Prediction - 110

Murphy
Last 3: 145, 125, 139 (136 avg)
Last 3 against Gold Coast: 59, 106, 105 (90 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 15, 91, 91 (66 avg)

Murphy does not have the history against the Suns to consider as captain. Nor does he have a great recent record at Etihad (even removing the 15 due to injury). But he's averaging 136 after three games and has to be seriously considered until he slows down. Prediction - 125

Ablett
Last 3: 138, 69, 105 (104 avg)
Last 3 against Carlton: 124, 114, 89 (109 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 127, 119, 71 (106 avg)

Welcome back, Ablett. A big 138 last week and a strong history against the Blues makes GAJ one to consider this week. Just a week ago, I didn't think I'd be saying that any time soon. Prediction - 120

Sloane
Last 3: 139, 152, 68 (120 avg)
Last 3 against Essendon: 128, 136, 89 (118 avg)
Last 3 at AO: 139, 68, 84 (97 avg)

Sloane can kill you every week (see Round 1) but his highs are so damn high. Against the Bombers, he's been big the last two years and his last two weeks show what he's capable of. Risky but high reward. Prediction - 130

Merrett
Last 3: 97, 140, 129 (122 avg)
Last 3 against Adelaide: 101, 31 (66 avg)
Last 3 at AO: 101, 128, 98 (109 avg)

His record against the Crows leaves much to be desired although last year was his breakout so prior scores can be somewhat ignored. Merrett is a fantasy stud and will bounce back from last week. Prediction - 115

Heppell
Last 3: 115, 96, 156 (122 avg)
Last 3 against Adelaide: 128, 102, 76 (102 avg)
Last 3 at AO: 74 (74 avg)

Heppell has a bit more of a history against the Crows than Merrett, making him a potentially safer pick. He should back up last week. Prediction - 115

Treloar
Last 3: 134, 127, 125 (129 avg)
Last 3 against St Kilda: 85, 109, 119 (104 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 134, 128, 93 (118 avg)

Averaging a sniff under 130, Trealoar has proven himself as a viable set and forget option this year. His record against the Saints isn't the best but he loves Etihad as much as the G and should be good. Prediction - 125

Pendlebury
Last 3: 115, 110, 135 (120 avg)
Last 3 against St Kilda: 108, 105, 113 (109 avg)
Last 3 at Etihad: 145, 91, 99 (112 avg)

Pendles has been almost as good as his star teammate and is another option for this week that should be good. Against the Saints, he's good but not great so expect a decent score. Prediction - 115

Rockliff
Last 3: 106, 123, 127 (119 avg)
Last 3 against Richmond: 101, 137, 116 (118 avg)
Last 3 at Gabba: 123, 123, 174 (140 avg)

Here's a good one this week. Rocky adores playing at home, has started the year averaging just under 120, and is great against the Tigers. His floor is safe and his ceiling is high so you've gotta give him a real look. Prediction - 125

Beams
Last 3: 124, 113, 103 (113 avg)
Last 3 against Richmond: 126, 131, 74 (110 avg)
Last 3 at Gabba: 113, 66, 125 (101 avg)

Pretty much Rocky-lite this week. Good scores across the board with slightly less consistency and not quite the ceiling. Beams is still a serious consideration for the second week running. Prediction - 120

D. Martin
Last 3: 156, 86, 139 (127 avg)
Last 3 against Brisbane: 127, 108, 115 (117 avg)
Last 3 at Gabba: 108, 94, 75 (92 avg)

I was wrong about last week. Dusty will not play too much forward unless a player gets injured during the game. Two huge weeks out of three mean he's the perfect captain option if you can avoid those unlucky injuries. Good form against the Lions too. Prediction - 125

T. Mitchell
Last 3: 115, 125, 128 (123 avg)
Last 3 against Geelong: 91, 95, 89 (92 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 125, 128, 141 (131 avg)

He's not great against the Cats but Mitchell has started the year more than well enough to be a real consideration each week. He loves the MCG and should be good again this week. Prediction - 115

Dangerfield
Last 3: 117, 139, 118 (125 avg)
Last 3 against Hawthorn: 113, 107, 137 (119 avg)
Last 3 at MCG: 138, 113, 93 (115 avg)

Danger's been leaving a lot of his dominance to the fourth quarter this year which makes him a SuperCoach star and slight less of a Fantasy one. He's still good, don't get me wrong, just not the weekly captain lock we hoped for. His record against the Hawks is great though so you've got nothing to fear this week. Prediction - 125

LAHUG'S ROUGHIE OF THE WEEK!

In this segment, I'll talk about someone that, because of stats and/or gut feeling, I think will go huge this week. It'll usually be somebody that you wouldn't usually give the C to but, if you have him and are feeling brave, might be worth a look.

Oliver
Last 3: 111, 135, 122 (123 avg)
Last 3 against Fremantle: N/A
Last 3 at MCG: 135, 93, 92 (107 avg)

The kid has never even played Freo before but is averaging 123 this year, including a 135 at the MCG. If Melbourne bounce back this week like I think they will, he'll be big. Gutsy prediction - 135

The verdict:
1.   Sloane (130)

2.   Rockliff (125)
3.   Dangerfield (125)
4.   Treloar (125)
5.   D. Martin (125)

[WhatMate]

Im backing Danger, hawks have conceded pn avergare the most points per game, the most 100+s per game and the most 120+s per game

[WhatMate]

With Zak Jones as vice  ;D

[LaHug]

That's a good point. I just order them as who I honestly think will score the most. Danger's safer than Sloane but I think Sloane scores more.

For what it's worth, I don't have Sloane, Rocky, or Dusty. I'll be giving the VC to Macrae (because he's all I've got) in DT and I won't even be loopholing in AF. Danger for C because I don't have the top two.

[Ricochet]

Have had the C on Rocky all year and will keep it there this week

[GoLions]

Have had the C on Rocky all year and will keep it there this week

[LaHug]

Update: Two partial lockouts in both AF & DT this week so we can loophole our Bulldogs in both comps :D

[Thunderbolts]

Danger for me presently  ;)

[WhatMate]

Update: Two partial lockouts in both AF & DT this week so we can loophole our Bulldogs in both comps :D

Really? Is that to help with the monday game? quite helpful really.

[LaHug]

Update: Two partial lockouts in both AF & DT this week so we can loophole our Bulldogs in both comps :D

Really? Is that to help with the monday game? quite helpful really.

Nah, I think it's just because the Friday game is before final teams need to be announced. Still won't help Monday final teams.

[Thunderbolts]

Update: Two partial lockouts in both AF & DT this week so we can loophole our Bulldogs in both comps :D

Really? Is that to help with the monday game? quite helpful really.

No it's to do with both a Thursday and Good Friday game

[Gigantor]

Update: Two partial lockouts in both AF & DT this week so we can loophole our Bulldogs in both comps :D

Really? Is that to help with the monday game? quite helpful really.

Nah, I think it's just because the Friday game is before final teams need to be announced. Still won't help Monday final teams.

Are you sure about this in AF? The RDT site clearly states a double partial lock out but the AF site makes no mention of Friday being a partial lock out.

[pommyadam]

Update: Two partial lockouts in both AF & DT this week so we can loophole our Bulldogs in both comps :D

with that in mind, can I get a JJK vs Buddy for a VC option

cmon Horse and Simmo, we don't need a defence, let's have a shootout plz :P

[LaHug]

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