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Brownlow 2017

Started by jvalles69, March 21, 2017, 07:57:41 PM

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LordSneeze

After 21

P Dangerfield   32
D Martin   31
T Mitchell   27
G Ablett   20
R Sloane   19
M Duncan   18
M Bontempelli   17
J Kelly   17
M Crouch   17
A Treloar   16
O Wines   15
L Parker   15
Z Merrett   15
C Ward   14
D Zorko   14
L Franklin   13
S Ross   13
JJ Kennedy   13
T Adams   13
L Neale   13
T Cotchin   13
B Gibbs   13
J Selwood   13
D Beams   13
M Murphy   13

LordSneeze

D Martin   34
P Dangerfield   34
T Mitchell   29
R Sloane   21
J Kelly   20
G Ablett   20
M Duncan   18
M Bontempelli   17
M Crouch   17
A Treloar   16
O Wines   15
D Beams   15
Z Merrett   15
L Parker   15
JP Kennedy 15
J Steven   14
M Murphy   14
T Adams   14
D Zorko   14
C Ward   14

One more round to go.

LordSneeze

Final Count

D Martin   37
P Dangerfield   36
T Mitchell   29
R Sloane   21
J Kelly   20
G Ablett   20
M Crouch   20
Z Merrett   18
M Duncan   18
M Bontempelli   17
JP Kennedy   17
A Treloar   16
O Wines   16
L Franklin   16
L Parker   16
C Ward   15
B Brown   15
D Beams   15
D Zorko   15
A Gaff   14
J Steven   14
M Murphy   14
T Adams   14
N Fyfe   14

LordSneeze

By Team

Adelaide
R Sloane   21
M Crouch   20
R Laird   11
T Lynch   9
S Jacobs   8
R Atkins   6
B Crouch   5
J Jenkins   4
T Walker   4
R Douglas   2
C Cameron   1
B Smith   1
E Betts   1
J Lever   1

Brisbane
D Zorko   15
D Beams   15
T Rockliff   10
T Cutler   1
L Taylor   1
H Andrews   1

Carlton
M Murphy   14
B Gibbs   13
S Docherty   10
P Cripps   4
K Simpson   4
M Kreuzer   3
E Curnow   2

Collingwood
A Treloar   16
T Adams   14
S Pendlebury   11
S Sidebottom   10
B Grundy   4
W Hoskin Elliott   3
J Elliott   2
D Wells   1
J Howe   1
T Phillips   1
J Thomas   1
J De Goey   1
J Smith   1

Essendon
Z Merrett   18
D Heppell   11
D Zaharakis   11
J Daniher   8
B Goddard   7
M Hurley   3
C Hooker   3
J Watson   2
D Parish   1
O Fantasia   1
A Mcdonald Tip   1

Freo
N Fyfe   14
L Neale   13
M Walters   9
D Mundy   5
B Hill   5
L Ryan   2
C Blakely   1

Geelong
P Dangerfield   36
M Duncan   18
J Selwood   13
S Menegola   7
T Hawkins   5
Z Touhy   4
J Murdoch   2
S Motlop   2
S Selwood   1
Z Tuohy   1
H Taylor   1

Gold Coast
G Ablett   20
A Hall   8
J Lyons   5
T Lynch   4
B Matera   4
J Martin   2
P Hanley   1
J Harbrow   1

GWS
J Kelly   20
C Ward   15
J Cameron   11
T Greene   8
L Whitfield   8
D Shiel   5
S Mumford   4
Z Williams   4
J Patton   3
H Shaw   3
S Cogniglio   2
T Scully   2
S Coniglio   1

Hawks
T Mitchell   29
B Mcevoy   7
J Gunston   7
J Roughead   6
S Burgoyne   5
I Smith   3
R Henderson   3
L Hodge   2
J Sicily   1
B Hartung   1

Melbourne
N Jones   12
C Oliver   10
T Mcdonald   9
M Hibberd   6
D Tyson   5
J Lewis   5
J Viney   4
G Gartlett   3
J Hogan   3
C Pedersen   3
J Hunt   2
C Salem   2
C Petracca   2
B Vince   1
M Gawn   1

North Melbourne
B Brown   15
B Cunnington   7
S Higgins   7
J Waite   3
T Goldstein   3
A Mullett   2
B Preuss   1
L Mcdonald   1

Port
O Wines   16
P Ryder   13
R Gray   11
C Dixon   9
B Ebert   7
C Wingard   6
T Boak   5
S Powell Pepper   4
S Gray   3
H Hartlett   3
J Westhoff   2
K Amon   2
J Polec   2
Broadbent   2

Richmond
D Martin   37
T Cotchin   13
S Grigg   7
B Houli   4
D Prestia   4
J Caddy   3
T Nankervis   3
J Riewoldt   3
K Lambert   2
A Rance   1

Saints
J Steven   14
S Ross   13
N Riewoldt   8
J Billings   5
L Dunstan   4
B Acres   4
D Roberton   3
J Sinclair   2
J Steele   2
L Montagna   2
J Newnes   1

Swans
JP Kennedy   17
L Franklin   16
L Parker   16
D Hannebery   8
J Lloyd   5
S Reid   3
T Papley   3
G Rohan   3
C Sinclair   3
I Heeney   2
G Hewett   2
N Newman   2
K Tippett   1

West Coast
A Gaff   14
JJ Kennedy   13
E Yeo   9
S Mitchell   9
L Shuey   8
M Priddis   4
S Hurn   3
D Petrie   3
D Sheed   2
J Mcgovern   1
T Barrass   1
L Jetta   1
M LeCras   1

Western Bulldogs
M Bontempelli   17
J Macrae   12
L Dahlhaus   6
L Hunter   6
L Picken   3
J Stringer   3
J Johannisen   2
M Boyd   2
M Wallis   1
L Jong   1
J Johanisson   1
E Wood   1
S Biggs   1
C Daniel   1
C Smith   1


RaisyDaisy

I only ever bet on the Brownlow, so I just walk into the local TAB and put my bets in the self serve machine

Can anyone tell me, can I do multi's in those machines? And if so, how?

I want to put on a 5 or 6 leg multi for most team votes

jvalles69

Remember that guy Todd Goldstein who they said would win the Brownlow a few years ago, yeah nah, ruckmen don't poll.  Wouldn't consider Ryder at all.

LordSneeze

Total Team Votes

First number is my total, second number is the expected based on last years win margin trend, its only off 1 years data, so I don't expect it to be exact, but give a solid trend.
.
So I have Brisbane, Carlton & Geelong higher than expected & Richmond & WB lower than expected. Richmond doesn't surprise me as they got quite a few votes in big losses last year. While Carlton & Brisbane had standout players this year in losses.

Based on this metric the Crows SHOULD be the highest voting team.

Adelaide   94   92
Brisbane   43   33
Carlton   50   43
Collingwood   66   61
Essendon   66   72
Fremantle   49   47
Geelong   90   83
Gold Coast   45   40
Greater Western Sydney   86   81
Hawthorn   64   61
Melbourne   68   72
North Melbourne   39   48
Port Adelaide   85   84
Richmond   77   86
StKilda   58   63
Sydney   81   84
WCE   69   71
Western Bulldogs   58   66

LordSneeze

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 19, 2017, 03:11:21 PM
I only ever bet on the Brownlow, so I just walk into the local TAB and put my bets in the self serve machine

Can anyone tell me, can I do multi's in those machines? And if so, how?

I want to put on a 5 or 6 leg multi for most team votes

Been a long time since I did a TAB bet, but most the time you just need to follow the prompts on the card.
You should be able to multi them if they have the option.

Quote from: jvalles69 on September 19, 2017, 03:29:38 PM
Remember that guy Todd Goldstein who they said would win the Brownlow a few years ago, yeah nah, ruckmen don't poll.  Wouldn't consider Ryder at all.

Ryder is a bit of a different kettle to a pure ruckman, given he is a strong forward and ball winning ruck.

elephants

From brief look...

Max Gawn to poll a vote @ 2.25
Geelong most team votes @ 9.00 (dont think it happens but it seems overs)
Sloane top 5 finish @ 2.40
Sloane top 10 finish @ 1.25 (using it as a multi builder)
Callan Ward top 20 finish @ 3.50
Mitch Duncan top 20 finish @ 11.00
Nat Fyfe top 20 finish @ 2.00
Dusty/Mitchell exacta @ 2.05
Dusty/Mitchell/Kelly trifecta @ 4.50
Dusty/Mitchell/Kelly/Sloane boxed pick 4 @ 3.75
R.Sloane leader after round 5 @ 2.50 (could put the same amount on Danger and take the slight profit if you're certain it'll be one of them)

Now some H2Hs (obv these would be multi'd)

Mitchell to beat Kelly @ 1.55
R.Gray to beat M.Murphy @ 1.55
C.Wingard to beat C.Dixon @ 1.55
N.Jones to beat J.Viney @ 1.87

Brownlow Medal Vote record to be broken (ie 36 votes or more) - YES @ 1.60

JPK to win Captains Group (Jelwood, Beams, Murphy, Cotch, C.Ward, Fyfe, Pendles, Heppell, Viney) @ 1.80
Priddis to win Retirees Group (Montagna, Watson, Hodge, Kelly, Boyd, Petrie) @ 3.00
Heeney to win Young Guns Group (Sicily, Orazio, P.Cripps, DeGoey, Tracca, Burton, Sheed, Steele, Daniel, Lever)

Now the Teams

Zorko @ 2.00
Fyfe @ 1.42
Ward @ 1.75 (without Kelly)
Higgins @ 2.90 (?)
R.Gray @ 2.10
JPK @ 1.90
Yeo @ 8.00 (??)

Few smokies thrown around there! Will prob only get on 20% of these buy hey, whats the harm in having a look!

kilbluff1985

i got sloane after rnd 5 @3.75  ;D

kilbluff1985

also LordSneeze ur votes for Billings are much lower than others i seen interesting

elephants

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 19, 2017, 04:49:13 PM
i got sloane after rnd 5 @3.75  ;D

Not super confident on it, Danger could rack for being Danger.

Tbh if I were you, I'd be loading up on Danger at 2.75. Worst case scenario you likely win by 75% of whatever you stake on Danger.

But I'm less confident on Sloane than you probably are haha

kilbluff1985

Sloane is guaranteed 11 votes minimum imo after rnd 5 possibly 12

Danger will have 9 b4 rnd 5 this game decides it

a matter of if Duncan gets the 2 or Danger




RaisyDaisy

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 19, 2017, 04:59:14 PM
also LordSneeze ur votes for Billings are much lower than others i seen interesting

I'm tipping he won't even get 10 votes

Where has all this love for Billings come from?

kilbluff1985

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on September 19, 2017, 05:16:28 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 19, 2017, 04:59:14 PM
also LordSneeze ur votes for Billings are much lower than others i seen interesting

I'm tipping he won't even get 10 votes

Where has all this love for Billings come from?

predictions the other guys have done on here