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Brownlow 2017

Started by jvalles69, March 21, 2017, 07:57:41 PM

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LordSneeze

#480
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 15, 2017, 10:49:46 AM
Quote from: LordSneeze on September 15, 2017, 10:37:52 AM
Just been looking at Oliver and im starting to feel that he is going to get a lot more votes than people think including myself.

Personally I don't feel he was a standout in a lot of matches, but last year he polled in round 1 & round 9. In both those games he only had 22 & 21 possessions respectively and was not a standout. This year he was probably 4th to 5th best in a lot of matches, got a lot of contested possessions and was in and around the umpires a lot.

I feel that he is the player that will sneak in to get the 2 or 1 in a lot of the matches where he may not have been in the top 3. Could be wrong, but I think that the Melbourne votes are really really questionable this year.

Yeah bookies have me a little scared with this one too, we all could be completely off with Oliver.  I have left Jones out in my major multi's, but have used him and Billings separately to boost a few other odds.

I only had him polling in 2 games in the first 14, the Brownlow predictor has him in 7 or 8 (cant remember which). It has me very worried that im way off on him and just feel that he is going to be challenging Jones for the most votes. Definetly see Jones as good value, but cannot feel confident. 
The fact the coaches had him ranked 2nd in the coaches award behind Sloane after round 6 has me concerned I only have him on 2 votes at that point.

jvalles69

Just noticed Geelong for most team votes is at $9! This might be what I put my free bet on...

kilbluff1985

Quote from: jvalles69 on September 15, 2017, 02:42:36 PM
Just noticed Geelong for most team votes is at $9! This might be what I put my free bet on...

have u seen Billings in the lefties group on sb

jvalles69

Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 15, 2017, 03:29:47 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 15, 2017, 02:42:36 PM
Just noticed Geelong for most team votes is at $9! This might be what I put my free bet on...

have u seen Billings in the lefties group on sb

Yeah, too close to call.

LordSneeze

Quote from: jvalles69 on September 15, 2017, 02:42:36 PM
Just noticed Geelong for most team votes is at $9! This might be what I put my free bet on...

After 15 rounds I have it showing as

Geelong
GWS
Crows
Port (6 Votes separating top 4)
Melbourne
GAP

jvalles69

Don't judge me, but here are my Brownlow bets...a few are bonus bets, but not many...if any. ;D

SB
Pick 4 - Dusty/Titch/Sloane/Bont @ $41
Boxed tri - Dusty/Titch/Sloane @ $5.50
BL teams - Heppel(W/O Merrett)/Sloane/Billings/Jones/Zorko @ $217
BL teams - Jones/Zorko @ $12.30
BL teams - Billings/Zorko @ $12.30
BL teams - Fyfe/Adams/Murphy/Ward(W/O Kelly)/Zorko @ $14.70

WH
Tigers prem/Dusty BL/Dusty Norm @ $81
Dusty BL/Crows prem/Sloane leads at rd 5 @ $11
Skippers - Murphy @ $9
Most team votes - Geelong @ $7
Bont over 22 votes @ $7
Sloane over 23 votes @ $3.25
Titch over 27 @ $3.25
Titch over 29 @ $7
JPK/Ablett most combined votes in group @ $12

Crown
Team votes - Sloane/Zorko/Murphy/Adams/Fyfe/Billings/Buddy/JKK @ $282
Team votes - Sloane/Beams/Murphy/Adams/Fyfe @ $10.88
Group - Shuey @ $8.50
Group - Murphy @ $5.50

Lads
Buddy Coleman & Dusty BL @ $10.50

TAB
Team - Sloane/Murphy/Adams/Fyfe/Ward(W/O Kelly) @ $9.95
Team - Billings/Adams/Murphy/Jones/Zorko @ $800
Team - Billings/Adams/Murphy/Jones/Zorko @ $494
Team - Sloane/Zorko/Murphy/Adams/Zerrett/Kelly/Jones/Billings @ $700
Team - JKK/Buddy/Billings/Jones/Kelly/Merrett/Murphy/Zorko/Sloane @ $1200
Team - Zorko/Merrett/Kelly/Buddy/JKK/Sloane @ $15
Team - Zorko/Murphy/Adams/Merrett/Kelly/Buddy/Jones/JKK @$889

Bet365
Group - Kreuzer @ $6
Group - Laird @ $6.50
Group - Gray @ $9

Madbookie
Team most votes - Geelong @ $9
Dusty leader at rd 5 @ $4.50
H2H - Ward over Neale/Wingard over Dixon/Murphy over Gray/Titchell over Kelly/Dahl over B.Crouch/Macrae over Sidey/Jones over Viney @$56

Ubet
Group - Murphy @ $17
Box tri - Dusty/Titch/Sloane @ $6
Trios - Murphy @ $3.20 (Pendles/Oliver)
Trios - Sloane @ $2.60 (Merrett/Buddy)
Trios - Wingard @ $3.40 (S.Mitchell/B.Brown)
Trios - Ward @$3.25 (Gray/Gaff)
Trios - Shuey @ $3.60 (Macrae/Daniher)
Trios - Rocky @ $3 (Tex/Patton)

kilbluff1985

Madbookie let u multi h2h ?

jvalles69


jvalles69

The biggest issue could be tied votes...they have flowered me in the past.

_wato

Flower you must be confident on Billings?

elephants


jvalles69

Quote from: elephants on September 15, 2017, 05:25:30 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 15, 2017, 05:21:04 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 15, 2017, 05:15:42 PM
Madbookie let u multi h2h ?

Yep!

Madbookie any good? Their sign up bonus seems juicy atm haha

They're a bit behind on sports markets but getting better, and yeah I joined up for the bonus, then when I turned my bonus over I cashed most of it out...ever fortnight or so if you're inactive they send you a deposit promo.

jvalles69

Quote from: _wato on September 15, 2017, 05:25:03 PM
Flower you must be confident on Billings?

Got enough without Billings to still reap a profit.  ;)

elephants

Quote from: jvalles69 on September 15, 2017, 05:36:28 PM
Quote from: elephants on September 15, 2017, 05:25:30 PM
Quote from: jvalles69 on September 15, 2017, 05:21:04 PM
Quote from: kilbluff1985 on September 15, 2017, 05:15:42 PM
Madbookie let u multi h2h ?

Yep!

Madbookie any good? Their sign up bonus seems juicy atm haha

They're a bit behind on sports markets but getting better, and yeah I joined up for the bonus, then when I turned my bonus over I cashed most of it out...ever fortnight or so if you're inactive they send you a deposit promo.

Perfect second choice bookie by the sounds haha, cheers mate

kilbluff1985

@ele luxbet got a good deposit offer to deposit $50 and get a $150 bonus bet