Breakout/POD Thread

Started by fasttrack13, December 23, 2016, 12:27:49 AM

Previous topic - Next topic

elephants

POD's for me are taken in draft, I agree with the above that I won't be taking a POD unless I truly believe they will be top 8-10 in their position by years end

fasttrack13

Quote from: shaker on January 15, 2017, 05:12:27 PM
Quote from: fasttrack13 on January 15, 2017, 02:57:33 PM
Quote from: shaker on January 14, 2017, 01:05:58 PM
I reckon it's about 75% skill and 25% luck to have a chance at winning it , if you do not have any luck dodging injuries , suspensions , and resting's it is virtually impossible and POD's almost always fail if they are mid pricers but a POD gun mid may give you an edge early on and of course the byes you must do some planning with them not doing so and going blind can cost many points

Also gotta look at opening opportunities for breakout/pods...
Gold Coast, Sydney, North, Hawthorn Midfield
Brisbane, Geelong  Half Back

They're the real openings I see...

Fiorini, Miller, Heeney, Lloyd, Hrovat, Clarke, Cutler, Thurlow, Lovell
Guy i really like the look of is burton for hawthorn, dissapointed he wasn't at his fanplanner price of 160k. Elite kick and can run and carry, seemingly a bit like Jeremy Howe, he leaps for the footy nicely! 264k

Also think priddis and shuey become more relevant than usual this year if smitch is a pure mid

Problem I see with players around the $250k mark is most of the time they score like rookies but cost 100k + more sure there might be one or two that work out but if rookies are available I'll go rookies and if these 250k players light it up in the first 2 rounds I'll get them in with a couple of corrective trades

No doubt, not picking many if any of them myself, but love exploring these guys... Burton/Thurlow would be much more preferable than McGrath for me.

shaker

Quote from: fasttrack13 on January 15, 2017, 11:02:18 PM
Quote from: shaker on January 15, 2017, 05:12:27 PM
Quote from: fasttrack13 on January 15, 2017, 02:57:33 PM
Quote from: shaker on January 14, 2017, 01:05:58 PM
I reckon it's about 75% skill and 25% luck to have a chance at winning it , if you do not have any luck dodging injuries , suspensions , and resting's it is virtually impossible and POD's almost always fail if they are mid pricers but a POD gun mid may give you an edge early on and of course the byes you must do some planning with them not doing so and going blind can cost many points

Also gotta look at opening opportunities for breakout/pods...
Gold Coast, Sydney, North, Hawthorn Midfield
Brisbane, Geelong  Half Back

They're the real openings I see...

Fiorini, Miller, Heeney, Lloyd, Hrovat, Clarke, Cutler, Thurlow, Lovell
Guy i really like the look of is burton for hawthorn, dissapointed he wasn't at his fanplanner price of 160k. Elite kick and can run and carry, seemingly a bit like Jeremy Howe, he leaps for the footy nicely! 264k

Also think priddis and shuey become more relevant than usual this year if smitch is a pure mid

Problem I see with players around the $250k mark is most of the time they score like rookies but cost 100k + more sure there might be one or two that work out but if rookies are available I'll go rookies and if these 250k players light it up in the first 2 rounds I'll get them in with a couple of corrective trades

No doubt, not picking many if any of them myself, but love exploring these guys... Burton/Thurlow would be much more preferable than McGrath for me.

Yes Thurlow is interesting and also Ramsay maybe just one of these 250k players haha

LordSneeze

Somewhat hoping that there isn't much spoken about this by the media.

Curtley Hampton
Priced at only $160k & as a defender
Has been training all preseason with the Crows midfield as a potential option to take Lyons spot in the team. He was given burst there in the last 4 games of the SANFL season last year.
His biggest issue is his aerobic capacity means he cannot run our games in the gut, likely to be rested on the HFF. He has experience at the level and a lot more potential than a CEY so I could see how he would get ahead of him.

If he can nail down the spot over the preseason I can realistically see him averaging 80 if not slightly higher. Keep a very close eye on in preseason where he plays and how he gels with the midfield group.

Spite

Quote from: Holz on January 15, 2017, 06:27:18 PM
Quote from: DunnyBrush on January 14, 2017, 12:21:08 AM
Quote from: Holz on January 12, 2017, 06:32:20 PM
my best advice for the year is this.

Most POD/Breakouts will fail.

my biggest POD is having no POD players dragging my team down and that will give me an advantage

This is the recipe for consistently finishing in the top 500-1k not to win it.

umm that strategy had me sitting ranked 2nd with 1 round to go. The reason i actually didnt win the comp was i went unique and traded in yarran for a 50 then a 3 (injury) if i stuck without going POD i likely would have won by like 300+ points.

the POD winning comp thing is a total lie. Look at all the top ranked teams they very rarely have any crazy unique in there.

in fact i reckon of the last 5 winners at most 1 had a very unique team i would guess none had.

if you can pick the 5 out of 100 break out players who suceed then you will win SC by 1000+ points.

Good luck though you might as well buy a lotto ticket while your at it, probably a better chance of winning that then SC.

I don't regret many things in life, but convincing you to trade in Yarran is definitely one of them.

For the record I'm pretty sure he got that 50 in a half and then got injured and was deemed fit for the next week and got 2 and injured 5 mins in.... 3 weeks later he comes back and scores 114 :(

RaisyDaisy

Quote from: LordSneeze on January 17, 2017, 04:59:52 PM
Somewhat hoping that there isn't much spoken about this by the media.

Curtley Hampton
Priced at only $160k & as a defender
Has been training all preseason with the Crows midfield as a potential option to take Lyons spot in the team. He was given burst there in the last 4 games of the SANFL season last year.
His biggest issue is his aerobic capacity means he cannot run our games in the gut, likely to be rested on the HFF. He has experience at the level and a lot more potential than a CEY so I could see how he would get ahead of him.

If he can nail down the spot over the preseason I can realistically see him averaging 80 if not slightly higher. Keep a very close eye on in preseason where he plays and how he gels with the midfield group.

At 160k he is already on most peoples radar

If he lines up Round 1, I dare so most people would start him and he would be decent F8 cover at worst

LordSneeze

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on January 17, 2017, 05:29:39 PM
Quote from: LordSneeze on January 17, 2017, 04:59:52 PM
Somewhat hoping that there isn't much spoken about this by the media.

Curtley Hampton
Priced at only $160k & as a defender
Has been training all preseason with the Crows midfield as a potential option to take Lyons spot in the team. He was given burst there in the last 4 games of the SANFL season last year.
His biggest issue is his aerobic capacity means he cannot run our games in the gut, likely to be rested on the HFF. He has experience at the level and a lot more potential than a CEY so I could see how he would get ahead of him.

If he can nail down the spot over the preseason I can realistically see him averaging 80 if not slightly higher. Keep a very close eye on in preseason where he plays and how he gels with the midfield group.

At 160k he is already on most peoples radar

If he lines up Round 1, I dare so most people would start him and he would be decent F8 cover at worst

I hope not. In that case I hope he looks like playing and then doesn't get named so everyone who jumps on a media hype train and doesn't follow the teams closely gets screwed. Lol.

shaker

#67
Think there are many players at the Crows ahead of Curtly but lets see what unfolds but would surprise if he lined up round 1
What are peoples thoughts on Jackson Ramsay as cheapie DEF , don't know how he is tracking ?

RaisyDaisy

Usually not someone I'd consider, but Motlop has dropped weight and plans on spending much more time in the mids this year

Could be a good starting forward option on the cheap

shaker

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on January 17, 2017, 07:36:04 PM
Usually not someone I'd consider, but Motlop has dropped weight and plans on spending much more time in the mids this year

Could be a good starting forward option on the cheap

Think I would take a punt on Ellis-Yolmen before Motlop

DunnyBrush

Quote from: RaisyDaisy on January 17, 2017, 07:36:04 PM
Usually not someone I'd consider, but Motlop has dropped weight and plans on spending much more time in the mids this year

Could be a good starting forward option on the cheap

Motlop has never been consistent but he goes have a good ceiling.
If he wants to stay at Geelong or get a good contract offer elsewhere he will have to pull his finger out.
I think he will have a good year personally but whether that makes him a viable option is another thing.

Southstorm

I am thinking of a Swan priced in the low $400's, highly talented and likely to get closer to the action this year. Thoughts?

DunnyBrush

Quote from: Southstorm on January 22, 2017, 11:50:39 AM
I am thinking of a Swan priced in the low $400's, highly talented and likely to get closer to the action this year. Thoughts?

Read around, Heeney has and is been talked about heavily on many forums.

ronl

Not quite sure who you're referring to, but I'm always reluctant to punt on players who are "likely" to succeed, especially when their pricetag is $400,000+.  Whoever this mystery man is I hope he goes well for you if your end up getting him. :D

Sabretooth Tigers

#74
Quote from: Southstorm on January 22, 2017, 11:50:39 AM
I am thinking of a Swan priced in the low $400's, highly talented and likely to get closer to the action this year. Thoughts?

Perhaps Mills, also rumoured to get a run on the ball, and could be a real smokey. Definitely way up there on my watch list, along with J Loyd.  I have a huge gut hunch that the back line order of merit will change drastically this season. So seriously hoping the selection of rookie defenders to start the season  is enough to enable me to finish filling the other lines first. Cheers.        ;)